Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:07:03

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

14
-21.7%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,939.43
Current Value
$8,901.65
Period P&L
$-37.77
Max Drawdown
-51.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
15 / 13
Best Trade
+19.96%
Worst Trade
-20.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
17.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$623,708.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-37.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-37.77
Gross Return
-0.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,939.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $56.46 158 $8,920.68
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $56.88 158 $8,987.04 $9,005.78 +$66.36
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:40am ET $48.20 186 $8,965.22
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $47.74 186 $8,879.64 $8,920.20 $-85.58
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $42.83 208 $8,907.60
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $46.44 208 $9,660.56 $9,673.16 +$752.96
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $52.26 185 $9,668.10
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $53.88 185 $9,967.78 $9,972.84 +$299.68
(+3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $55.56 179 $9,945.24
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $66.65 179 $11,930.10 $11,957.70 +$1,984.86
(+20.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $77.02 155 $11,938.10
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:55am ET $76.69 155 $11,887.72 $11,907.33 $-50.37
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:40am ET $85.03 140 $11,904.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET $84.30 140 $11,802.00 $11,805.13 $-102.20
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $88.09 134 $11,804.06
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $93.55 134 $12,535.70 $12,536.77 +$731.64
(+6.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:20am ET $98.48 127 $12,506.96
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $97.08 127 $12,329.79 $12,359.60 $-177.17
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $126.33 97 $12,254.01
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $121.27 97 $11,763.19 $11,868.78 $-490.82
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $114.74 103 $11,818.22
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $114.89 103 $11,833.67 $11,884.23 +$15.45
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:15am ET $127.52 93 $11,859.36
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:35am ET $130.22 93 $12,110.46 $12,135.33 +$251.10
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
13 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.00 77 $12,012.00
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $159.59 77 $12,288.05 $12,411.38 +$276.05
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
14 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $186.13 66 $12,284.58
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $186.43 66 $12,304.05 $12,430.85 +$19.47
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
15 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $169.37 73 $12,364.01
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $159.97 73 $11,678.06 $11,744.90 $-685.95
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:10pm ET $156.63 74 $11,590.62
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:20pm ET $155.21 74 $11,485.91 $11,640.19 $-104.71
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
17 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $212.87 54 $11,494.98
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $214.25 54 $11,569.50 $11,714.71 +$74.52
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
18 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $214.67 54 $11,592.18
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $212.32 54 $11,465.02 $11,587.55 $-127.16
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
19 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $230.93 50 $11,546.50
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $220.17 50 $11,008.50 $11,049.55 $-538.00
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $240.40 45 $10,818.00
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:55am ET $261.01 45 $11,745.23 $11,976.78 +$927.23
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $276.52 43 $11,890.15
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $240.00 43 $10,320.00 $10,406.63 $-1,570.15
(-13.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $209.74 49 $10,277.26
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $214.46 49 $10,508.54 $10,637.91 +$231.28
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $184.21 57 $10,499.97
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $199.38 57 $11,364.65 $11,502.59 +$864.68
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $194.54 59 $11,477.86
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $197.90 59 $11,675.81 $11,700.54 +$197.95
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $264.52 44 $11,638.66
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $265.45 44 $11,679.58 $11,741.46 +$40.92
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $253.99 46 $11,683.54
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $245.86 46 $11,309.56 $11,367.48 $-373.98
(-3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $293.63 38 $11,157.75
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $234.40 38 $8,907.20 $9,116.93 $-2,250.55
(-20.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:45am ET $232.14 39 $9,053.46
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:25am ET $226.62 39 $8,838.18 $8,901.65 $-215.28
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,901.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,098.35
Total Return: -10.98%
Back to Grace Crossover