Compendium › Grace Crossover › SOXL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOXL
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 26 trades in period

+21.14%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,135.33
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$10,017.55
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 17.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 17.6

30-Day Momentum

62
+21.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
2.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 76.9 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+45 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,017.55
Current Value
$12,135.33
Period P&L
$2,117.79
Max Drawdown
-51.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+19.96%
Worst Trade
-5.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.87%
Avg Hold Time
17.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$530,873.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,117.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,117.79
Gross Return
+21.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,017.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:20am ET $63.95 156 $9,976.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:40am ET $63.45 156 $9,898.20 $9,939.54 $-78.00
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET $63.76 155 $9,882.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $63.59 155 $9,856.45 $9,913.96 $-25.58
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:25am ET $65.35 151 $9,867.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 11:40am ET $64.77 151 $9,780.27 $9,826.38 $-87.58
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $66.84 147 $9,825.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $66.62 147 $9,793.14 $9,794.04 $-32.34
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $69.06 141 $9,736.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $70.33 141 $9,916.53 $9,973.82 +$179.78
(+1.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $61.75 161 $9,941.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $58.17 161 $9,365.37 $9,397.44 $-576.38
(-5.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $55.21 170 $9,385.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 2:10pm ET $54.13 170 $9,202.10 $9,213.84 $-183.60
(-2.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $52.83 174 $9,192.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $50.29 174 $8,750.46 $8,771.90 $-441.94
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET $47.74 183 $8,737.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $52.11 183 $9,536.13 $9,570.70 +$798.80
(+9.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:45am ET $56.32 169 $9,518.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:40am ET $56.46 169 $9,541.74 $9,594.36 +$23.66
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $51.85 185 $9,592.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET $51.35 185 $9,499.75 $9,501.86 $-92.50
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET $54.84 173 $9,487.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:10am ET $54.31 173 $9,395.63 $9,409.82 $-92.04
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:30pm ET $55.77 168 $9,369.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $55.64 168 $9,347.52 $9,387.98 $-21.84
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $52.66 178 $9,373.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.14 178 $8,924.92 $8,939.42 $-448.56
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $56.46 158 $8,920.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $56.88 158 $8,987.04 $9,005.78 +$66.36
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:40am ET $48.20 186 $8,965.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $47.74 186 $8,879.64 $8,920.20 $-85.58
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
50m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $42.83 208 $8,907.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $46.44 208 $9,660.56 $9,673.16 +$752.96
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $52.26 185 $9,668.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $53.88 185 $9,967.78 $9,972.84 +$299.68
(+3.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $55.56 179 $9,945.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $66.65 179 $11,930.10 $11,957.70 +$1,984.86
(+20.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $77.02 155 $11,938.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:55am ET $76.69 155 $11,887.72 $11,907.33 $-50.37
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:40am ET $85.03 140 $11,904.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET $84.30 140 $11,802.00 $11,805.13 $-102.20
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
50m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $88.09 134 $11,804.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $93.55 134 $12,535.70 $12,536.77 +$731.64
(+6.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:20am ET $98.48 127 $12,506.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $97.08 127 $12,329.79 $12,359.60 $-177.17
(-1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $126.33 97 $12,254.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $121.27 97 $11,763.19 $11,868.78 $-490.82
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $114.74 103 $11,818.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $114.89 103 $11,833.67 $11,884.23 +$15.45
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:15am ET $127.52 93 $11,859.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:35am ET $130.22 93 $12,110.46 $12,135.33 +$251.10
(+2.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,135.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,135.33
Total Return: +21.35%
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