Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 2.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.1%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,880
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,488.48
Current Value
$7,647.16
Period P&L
$-841.34
Max Drawdown
-29.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
8 / 21
Best Trade
+4.36%
Worst Trade
-4.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
6.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$471,227.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-841.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-841.34
Gross Return
-9.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,488.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $47.34 179 $8,473.86
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $47.31 179 $8,468.49 $8,483.13 $-5.37
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET $47.96 176 $8,440.96
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:35am ET $47.74 176 $8,402.24 $8,444.41 $-38.72
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $50.57 166 $8,394.62
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $50.11 166 $8,318.26 $8,368.05 $-76.36
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $48.83 171 $8,349.93
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $49.00 171 $8,379.02 $8,397.14 +$29.09
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $49.37 170 $8,392.90
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $48.94 170 $8,319.80 $8,324.04 $-73.10
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $50.16 165 $8,276.48
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $49.01 165 $8,085.83 $8,133.38 $-190.66
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $49.86 163 $8,127.18
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $49.35 163 $8,044.05 $8,050.25 $-83.13
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.37 163 $8,046.66
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:35am ET $51.52 163 $8,397.76 $8,401.35 +$351.10
(+4.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $52.70 159 $8,379.30
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 11:45am ET $51.78 159 $8,232.23 $8,254.28 $-147.07
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $53.29 154 $8,206.66
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $52.97 154 $8,157.38 $8,205.00 $-49.28
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $51.96 157 $8,157.72
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $51.69 157 $8,115.68 $8,162.95 $-42.04
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET $53.69 152 $8,160.88
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $54.35 152 $8,261.96 $8,264.03 +$101.08
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $53.24 155 $8,252.97
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $52.20 155 $8,091.02 $8,102.07 $-161.96
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $54.08 149 $8,057.92
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 2:10pm ET $55.88 149 $8,326.12 $8,370.27 +$268.20
(+3.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $55.73 150 $8,359.50
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $55.66 150 $8,349.00 $8,359.77 $-10.50
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $56.57 147 $8,315.79
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $54.67 147 $8,036.49 $8,080.47 $-279.30
(-3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET $61.12 132 $8,067.83
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:55am ET $60.90 132 $8,038.80 $8,051.44 $-29.03
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $55.03 146 $8,034.38
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $55.16 146 $8,053.36 $8,070.42 +$18.98
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $55.49 145 $8,046.77
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $54.87 145 $7,956.15 $7,979.80 $-90.63
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET $50.77 157 $7,970.89
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:55am ET $50.62 157 $7,947.34 $7,956.25 $-23.55
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $49.53 160 $7,924.80
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $49.68 160 $7,948.80 $7,980.25 +$24.00
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $45.69 174 $7,950.06
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET $45.47 174 $7,912.65 $7,942.84 $-37.41
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $43.60 182 $7,935.20
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $43.53 182 $7,922.46 $7,930.10 $-12.74
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET $43.83 180 $7,888.50
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $44.28 180 $7,970.40 $8,012.00 +$81.90
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:15am ET $43.56 183 $7,971.48
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:20am ET $43.45 183 $7,951.35 $7,991.87 $-20.13
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET $43.00 185 $7,954.98
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:45am ET $42.94 185 $7,943.90 $7,980.79 $-11.08
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:10am ET $43.56 183 $7,971.94
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $43.61 183 $7,980.63 $7,989.48 +$8.69
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
28 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $41.47 192 $7,962.24
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $41.43 192 $7,954.56 $7,981.80 $-7.68
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
29 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $42.35 188 $7,961.80
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $40.57 188 $7,627.16 $7,647.16 $-334.64
(-4.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,647.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,352.84
Total Return: -23.53%
Back to Grace Crossover