SPY Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 30 trades in period
-0.46%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,837.01
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,887.61
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026
20
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
8.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
20.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 20.2
30-Day Momentum
12
-0.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,887.61
Current Value
$10,837.01
Period P&L
$-50.58
Max Drawdown
-6.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
10 /
20
Best Trade
+1.19%
Worst Trade
-0.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
12.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$626,064.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-50.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-50.58
Gross Return
-0.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.46%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,887.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $659.64 | 16 | $10,554.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET | $655.63 | 16 | $10,490.08 | $10,823.43 |
$-64.16 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $638.51 | 16 | $10,216.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $636.32 | 16 | $10,181.04 | $10,788.31 |
$-35.12 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $656.29 | 16 | $10,500.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:15pm ET | $653.26 | 16 | $10,452.16 | $10,739.75 |
$-48.56 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $657.93 | 16 | $10,526.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $655.30 | 16 | $10,484.80 | $10,697.67 |
$-42.08 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $675.13 | 15 | $10,126.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $674.60 | 15 | $10,119.00 | $10,689.79 |
$-7.88 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $679.69 | 15 | $10,195.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $678.96 | 15 | $10,184.40 | $10,678.84 |
$-10.95 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $693.60 | 15 | $10,404.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $698.85 | 15 | $10,482.75 | $10,757.59 |
+$78.75 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $707.98 | 15 | $10,619.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $707.94 | 15 | $10,619.10 | $10,756.99 |
$-0.60 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $708.33 | 15 | $10,624.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $708.91 | 15 | $10,633.65 | $10,765.69 |
+$8.70 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $709.28 | 15 | $10,639.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:35pm ET | $707.55 | 15 | $10,613.25 | $10,739.74 |
$-25.95 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $713.95 | 15 | $10,709.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $713.47 | 15 | $10,701.98 | $10,732.47 |
$-7.27 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $710.63 | 15 | $10,659.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $710.25 | 15 | $10,653.74 | $10,726.76 |
$-5.71 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $723.04 | 14 | $10,122.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $722.42 | 14 | $10,113.95 | $10,718.08 |
$-8.68 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $717.88 | 14 | $10,050.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $717.48 | 14 | $10,044.72 | $10,712.55 |
$-5.53 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $728.01 | 14 | $10,192.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $736.70 | 14 | $10,313.80 | $10,834.21 |
+$121.66 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET | $734.29 | 14 | $10,280.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $742.32 | 14 | $10,392.41 | $10,946.56 |
+$112.35 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $741.50 | 14 | $10,381.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 2:35pm ET | $740.87 | 14 | $10,372.18 | $10,937.74 |
$-8.82 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 3:20pm ET | $735.97 | 14 | $10,303.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 2:45pm ET | $735.69 | 14 | $10,299.66 | $10,933.82 |
$-3.92 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $740.09 | 14 | $10,361.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $740.40 | 14 | $10,365.53 | $10,938.09 |
+$4.27 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $750.30 | 14 | $10,504.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 3:00pm ET | $748.98 | 14 | $10,485.72 | $10,919.61 |
$-18.48 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $756.18 | 14 | $10,586.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $756.79 | 14 | $10,595.06 | $10,928.15 |
+$8.54 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $758.95 | 14 | $10,625.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $759.34 | 14 | $10,630.76 | $10,933.68 |
+$5.53 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $755.33 | 14 | $10,574.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:10pm ET | $755.07 | 14 | $10,570.98 | $10,930.04 |
$-3.64 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $741.76 | 14 | $10,384.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $742.41 | 14 | $10,393.74 | $10,939.14 |
+$9.10 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $731.56 | 14 | $10,241.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $732.26 | 14 | $10,251.64 | $10,948.95 |
+$9.81 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $729.48 | 15 | $10,942.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $727.09 | 15 | $10,906.35 | $10,913.10 |
$-35.85 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:40pm ET | $741.88 | 14 | $10,386.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:00pm ET | $741.16 | 14 | $10,376.24 | $10,903.02 |
$-10.08 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET | $755.16 | 14 | $10,572.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $753.25 | 14 | $10,545.50 | $10,876.28 |
$-26.74 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 11:55am ET | $746.30 | 14 | $10,448.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:15pm ET | $746.59 | 14 | $10,452.33 | $10,880.34 |
+$4.06 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $737.42 | 14 | $10,323.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $734.33 | 14 | $10,280.55 | $10,837.01 |
$-43.33 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,837.01
Net Profit/Loss:
+$837.01
Total Return:
+8.37%