Compendium › Grace Crossover › SPY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPY
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 28 trades in period

-3.39%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,712.55
Current Value
14%
Win Rate
$11,089.04
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
7.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 18.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 18.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.2%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,089.04
Current Value
$10,712.55
Period P&L
$-376.47
Max Drawdown
-6.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
4 / 24
Best Trade
+0.77%
Worst Trade
-0.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
11.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$592,368.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-376.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-376.47
Gross Return
-3.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,089.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $695.81 15 $10,437.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:10am ET $694.90 15 $10,423.50 $11,075.37 $-13.65
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:35am ET $692.78 15 $10,391.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $691.48 15 $10,372.27 $11,056.02 $-19.35
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $681.16 16 $10,898.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $679.81 16 $10,876.96 $11,034.34 $-21.68
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $686.89 16 $10,990.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $683.96 16 $10,943.36 $10,987.46 $-46.88
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $687.59 15 $10,313.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $686.54 15 $10,298.10 $10,971.71 $-15.75
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $681.60 16 $10,905.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $686.86 16 $10,989.84 $11,055.95 +$84.24
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $687.32 16 $10,997.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $683.51 16 $10,936.16 $10,994.99 $-60.96
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $684.68 16 $10,954.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $685.88 16 $10,974.08 $11,014.19 +$19.20
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $682.46 16 $10,919.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:45am ET $679.84 16 $10,877.44 $10,972.27 $-41.92
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:05am ET $675.95 16 $10,815.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $673.81 16 $10,780.96 $10,938.04 $-34.23
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $675.97 16 $10,815.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $674.98 16 $10,799.68 $10,922.20 $-15.84
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $669.58 16 $10,713.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $668.65 16 $10,698.40 $10,907.27 $-14.93
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $671.85 16 $10,749.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $671.18 16 $10,738.88 $10,896.55 $-10.72
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $657.56 16 $10,520.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $657.00 16 $10,512.00 $10,887.59 $-8.96
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $659.64 16 $10,554.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $655.63 16 $10,490.08 $10,823.43 $-64.16
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $638.51 16 $10,216.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $636.32 16 $10,181.04 $10,788.31 $-35.12
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $656.29 16 $10,500.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $653.26 16 $10,452.16 $10,739.75 $-48.56
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $657.93 16 $10,526.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $655.30 16 $10,484.80 $10,697.67 $-42.08
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $675.13 15 $10,126.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET $674.60 15 $10,119.00 $10,689.79 $-7.88
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $679.69 15 $10,195.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $678.96 15 $10,184.40 $10,678.84 $-10.95
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $693.60 15 $10,404.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $698.85 15 $10,482.75 $10,757.59 +$78.75
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $707.98 15 $10,619.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $707.94 15 $10,619.10 $10,756.99 $-0.60
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $708.33 15 $10,624.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $708.91 15 $10,633.65 $10,765.69 +$8.70
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $709.28 15 $10,639.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $707.55 15 $10,613.25 $10,739.74 $-25.95
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $713.95 15 $10,709.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET $713.47 15 $10,701.98 $10,732.47 $-7.27
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $710.63 15 $10,659.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $710.25 15 $10,653.74 $10,726.76 $-5.71
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20h held
27 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $723.04 14 $10,122.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $722.42 14 $10,113.95 $10,718.08 $-8.68
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
28 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $717.88 14 $10,050.25 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $717.48 14 $10,044.72 $10,712.55 $-5.53
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,712.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$712.55
Total Return: +7.13%
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