Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-24 02:27:06

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
49.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
0.7%
Range Pos
20%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

4
+0.0%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,373.75
Current Value
$9,041.69
Period P&L
$-332.08
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
8 / 20
Best Trade
+0.34%
Worst Trade
-1.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
19.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$512,956.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-332.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-332.08
Gross Return
-3.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,373.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $86.18 109 $9,393.08
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $85.69 109 $9,340.75 $9,366.13 $-52.32
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:40pm ET $86.83 107 $9,291.34
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:55pm ET $86.73 107 $9,279.95 $9,354.73 $-11.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $86.13 108 $9,301.50
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $85.48 108 $9,231.84 $9,285.07 $-69.66
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $86.62 107 $9,268.34
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:00pm ET $86.89 107 $9,296.70 $9,313.42 +$28.35
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:00am ET $86.54 107 $9,259.78
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $86.61 107 $9,266.83 $9,320.47 +$7.05
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $86.73 107 $9,280.11
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:40pm ET $86.15 107 $9,218.05 $9,258.41 $-62.06
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:30am ET $86.62 106 $9,181.72
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $86.88 106 $9,208.75 $9,285.44 +$27.03
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $86.44 107 $9,249.08
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $86.43 107 $9,248.54 $9,284.90 $-0.54
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $86.87 106 $9,208.22
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $86.83 106 $9,203.98 $9,280.66 $-4.24
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $87.04 106 $9,226.24
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $86.99 106 $9,220.41 $9,274.83 $-5.83
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $86.82 106 $9,203.45
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $86.68 106 $9,188.61 $9,259.99 $-14.84
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $86.69 106 $9,189.14
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:30am ET $86.61 106 $9,181.19 $9,252.04 $-7.95
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $86.36 107 $9,241.05
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $86.29 107 $9,232.50 $9,243.48 $-8.56
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $85.85 107 $9,185.95
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $85.72 107 $9,172.57 $9,230.11 $-13.38
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $85.79 107 $9,179.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $85.74 107 $9,174.18 $9,225.29 $-4.82
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
16 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $84.93 108 $9,172.98
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $84.91 108 $9,170.28 $9,222.59 $-2.70
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
17 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $86.11 107 $9,213.24
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 11:05am ET $86.11 107 $9,213.77 $9,223.12 +$0.53
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held
18 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $86.09 107 $9,211.63
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $86.06 107 $9,208.42 $9,219.91 $-3.21
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
19 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $84.84 108 $9,162.72
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:25am ET $83.62 108 $9,030.96 $9,088.15 $-131.76
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9d held
20 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:30pm ET $83.11 109 $9,059.53
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET $82.92 109 $9,038.28 $9,066.90 $-21.25
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
21 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $83.85 108 $9,055.80
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $83.62 108 $9,030.96 $9,042.06 $-24.84
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
22 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $85.05 106 $9,015.13
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:50am ET $85.25 106 $9,036.50 $9,063.43 +$21.37
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
23 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $85.82 105 $9,011.62
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $85.79 105 $9,007.95 $9,059.76 $-3.67
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $85.25 106 $9,036.66
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $85.54 106 $9,067.77 $9,090.87 +$31.11
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $85.24 106 $9,034.91
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $84.87 106 $8,996.22 $9,052.18 $-38.69
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $85.18 106 $9,028.55
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:05pm ET $85.18 106 $9,028.55 $9,052.18 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $85.95 105 $9,024.75
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:10am ET $85.85 105 $9,014.26 $9,041.69 $-10.49
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $86.36 104 $8,980.92
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $86.36 104 $8,980.92 $9,041.69 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,041.69
Net Profit/Loss: $-958.31
Total Return: -9.58%
Back to Grace Crossover