Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:08:54

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 4.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

46
+6.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.4 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+41 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,476.95
Current Value
$9,130.26
Period P&L
$-346.68
Max Drawdown
-14.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
9 / 21
Best Trade
+8.06%
Worst Trade
-9.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
21.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$514,179.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-346.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-346.68
Gross Return
-3.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,476.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $497.24 19 $9,447.56
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET $488.27 19 $9,277.13 $9,306.51 $-170.43
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:55am ET $493.10 18 $8,875.71
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $491.56 18 $8,848.08 $9,278.88 $-27.63
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $481.17 19 $9,142.23
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET $482.41 19 $9,165.79 $9,302.44 +$23.56
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $497.81 18 $8,960.58
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:55am ET $497.18 18 $8,949.24 $9,291.10 $-11.34
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $485.63 19 $9,226.93
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $482.04 19 $9,158.76 $9,222.93 $-68.17
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $502.76 18 $9,049.59
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $497.42 18 $8,953.56 $9,126.90 $-96.03
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:15am ET $502.84 18 $9,051.12
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $522.44 18 $9,403.92 $9,479.70 +$352.80
(+3.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $528.22 17 $8,979.82
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $528.97 17 $8,992.49 $9,492.36 +$12.66
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:20pm ET $517.29 18 $9,311.22
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.67 18 $8,471.97 $8,653.11 $-839.25
(-9.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $473.77 18 $8,527.95
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $467.35 18 $8,412.30 $8,537.46 $-115.65
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:40pm ET $468.69 18 $8,436.42
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $467.60 18 $8,416.80 $8,517.84 $-19.62
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $471.02 18 $8,478.27
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $470.23 18 $8,464.18 $8,503.75 $-14.09
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $465.79 18 $8,384.22
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $465.69 18 $8,382.42 $8,501.95 $-1.80
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $472.83 17 $8,038.03
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:50pm ET $472.43 17 $8,031.31 $8,495.23 $-6.72
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
15 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $464.91 18 $8,368.38
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:05am ET $462.07 18 $8,317.24 $8,444.09 $-51.14
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:35pm ET $460.96 18 $8,297.28
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:10pm ET $459.58 18 $8,272.44 $8,419.25 $-24.84
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
17 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $452.02 18 $8,136.36
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:05am ET $439.38 18 $7,908.84 $8,191.73 $-227.52
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
18 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:25pm ET $449.82 18 $8,096.67
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $450.05 18 $8,100.99 $8,196.05 +$4.32
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
19 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:45am ET $448.40 18 $8,071.20
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $448.50 18 $8,073.00 $8,197.85 +$1.80
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
20 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:40pm ET $446.98 18 $8,045.73
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $446.67 18 $8,040.06 $8,192.18 $-5.67
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
21 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $450.16 18 $8,102.88
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $486.44 18 $8,755.92 $8,845.22 +$653.04
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $492.61 17 $8,374.29
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $489.20 17 $8,316.40 $8,787.34 $-57.88
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $472.74 18 $8,509.32
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:10pm ET $473.02 18 $8,514.45 $8,792.47 +$5.13
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:45am ET $473.68 18 $8,526.24
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:35am ET $473.56 18 $8,524.08 $8,790.31 $-2.16
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $483.33 18 $8,699.94
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $482.98 18 $8,693.73 $8,784.10 $-6.21
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $474.50 18 $8,541.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $472.76 18 $8,509.68 $8,752.78 $-31.32
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $472.60 18 $8,506.80
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $474.90 18 $8,548.20 $8,794.18 +$41.40
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:40am ET $463.58 18 $8,344.35
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:40am ET $461.91 18 $8,314.38 $8,764.21 $-29.97
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 11:40am ET $463.50 18 $8,342.98
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $462.83 18 $8,330.94 $8,752.17 $-12.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $466.11 18 $8,390.07
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $487.12 18 $8,768.16 $9,130.26 +$378.09
(+4.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,130.26
Net Profit/Loss: $-869.74
Total Return: -8.70%
Back to Grace Crossover