Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.4

30-Day Momentum

7
-8.5%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,773
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,001.71
Current Value
$8,501.95
Period P&L
$-1,499.75
Max Drawdown
-14.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
8 / 19
Best Trade
+3.90%
Worst Trade
-9.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.60%
Avg Hold Time
20h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$498,515.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,499.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,499.75
Gross Return
-14.99%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,001.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET $543.61 18 $9,785.07
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $543.77 18 $9,787.86 $10,004.49 +$2.79
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 2:35pm ET $527.11 18 $9,487.98
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:15pm ET $524.76 18 $9,445.68 $9,962.19 $-42.30
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $505.78 19 $9,609.82
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:45am ET $503.69 19 $9,570.11 $9,922.48 $-39.71
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $511.85 19 $9,725.15
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET $509.96 19 $9,689.24 $9,886.57 $-35.91
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:35am ET $511.16 19 $9,712.04
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:35am ET $517.47 19 $9,831.93 $10,006.46 +$119.89
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $513.69 19 $9,760.11
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $514.96 19 $9,784.24 $10,030.59 +$24.13
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $508.14 19 $9,654.66
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $508.59 19 $9,663.21 $10,039.14 +$8.55
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $512.48 19 $9,737.12
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $504.61 19 $9,587.59 $9,889.61 $-149.53
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $503.17 19 $9,560.23
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $502.47 19 $9,546.93 $9,876.31 $-13.30
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:30am ET $502.83 19 $9,553.86
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $501.14 19 $9,521.75 $9,844.20 $-32.11
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:30pm ET $477.81 20 $9,556.20
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $465.91 20 $9,318.20 $9,606.20 $-238.00
(-2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $470.82 20 $9,416.40
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $474.50 20 $9,490.00 $9,679.80 +$73.60
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $467.42 20 $9,348.40
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:40pm ET $463.39 20 $9,267.80 $9,599.20 $-80.60
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $485.74 19 $9,229.06
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $479.30 19 $9,106.79 $9,476.94 $-122.26
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $497.24 19 $9,447.56
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET $488.27 19 $9,277.13 $9,306.51 $-170.43
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:55am ET $493.10 18 $8,875.71
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $491.56 18 $8,848.08 $9,278.88 $-27.63
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $481.17 19 $9,142.23
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET $482.41 19 $9,165.79 $9,302.44 +$23.56
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $497.81 18 $8,960.58
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:55am ET $497.18 18 $8,949.24 $9,291.10 $-11.34
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $485.63 19 $9,226.93
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $482.04 19 $9,158.76 $9,222.93 $-68.17
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $502.76 18 $9,049.59
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $497.42 18 $8,953.56 $9,126.90 $-96.03
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:15am ET $502.84 18 $9,051.12
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $522.44 18 $9,403.92 $9,479.70 +$352.80
(+3.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
10d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $528.22 17 $8,979.82
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $528.97 17 $8,992.49 $9,492.36 +$12.66
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:20pm ET $517.29 18 $9,311.22
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.67 18 $8,471.97 $8,653.11 $-839.25
(-9.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $473.77 18 $8,527.95
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $467.35 18 $8,412.30 $8,537.46 $-115.65
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:40pm ET $468.69 18 $8,436.42
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $467.60 18 $8,416.80 $8,517.84 $-19.62
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $471.02 18 $8,478.27
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $470.23 18 $8,464.18 $8,503.75 $-14.09
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
27 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $465.79 18 $8,384.22
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $465.69 18 $8,382.42 $8,501.95 $-1.80
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,501.95
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,498.05
Total Return: -14.98%
Back to Grace Crossover