Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-2.6%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,541.45
Current Value
$7,398.85
Period P&L
$-1,142.66
Max Drawdown
-26.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
5 / 24
Best Trade
+3.04%
Worst Trade
-4.14%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
15.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$447,131.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,142.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,142.66
Gross Return
-13.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,541.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $419.55 20 $8,391.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $419.29 20 $8,385.80 $8,536.31 $-5.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $426.88 19 $8,110.72
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $422.56 19 $8,028.64 $8,454.23 $-82.08
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:35am ET $407.80 20 $8,155.90
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $410.15 20 $8,202.90 $8,501.23 +$47.00
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:35am ET $411.59 20 $8,231.81
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:30pm ET $410.13 20 $8,202.64 $8,472.06 $-29.17
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $411.64 20 $8,232.80
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $407.29 20 $8,145.80 $8,385.06 $-87.00
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $416.83 20 $8,336.60
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $402.38 20 $8,047.60 $8,096.06 $-289.00
(-3.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $402.40 20 $8,048.00
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $401.72 20 $8,034.43 $8,082.49 $-13.57
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $397.47 20 $7,949.40
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $403.88 20 $8,077.60 $8,210.69 +$128.20
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $402.46 20 $8,049.20
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $395.47 20 $7,909.38 $8,070.87 $-139.82
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:50am ET $389.50 20 $7,790.00
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $401.33 20 $8,026.60 $8,307.47 +$236.60
(+3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:30pm ET $399.85 20 $7,996.90
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:45pm ET $397.51 20 $7,950.10 $8,260.67 $-46.80
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $399.00 20 $7,980.00
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $397.86 20 $7,957.20 $8,237.87 $-22.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $397.74 20 $7,954.81
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $397.07 20 $7,941.30 $8,224.36 $-13.51
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $398.39 20 $7,967.80
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $397.01 20 $7,940.20 $8,196.76 $-27.60
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $383.82 21 $8,060.22
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $380.24 21 $7,985.04 $8,121.58 $-75.18
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $379.98 21 $7,979.58
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $376.52 21 $7,906.92 $8,048.92 $-72.66
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET $367.80 21 $7,723.90
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $361.16 21 $7,584.36 $7,909.38 $-139.54
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $380.13 20 $7,602.60
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $364.39 20 $7,287.80 $7,594.58 $-314.80
(-4.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $351.27 21 $7,376.57
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $345.43 21 $7,254.03 $7,472.04 $-122.54
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $348.54 21 $7,319.44
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $346.68 21 $7,280.28 $7,432.89 $-39.15
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $346.64 21 $7,279.44
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:45am ET $345.77 21 $7,261.17 $7,414.62 $-18.27
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $356.93 20 $7,138.60
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $364.84 20 $7,296.80 $7,572.82 +$158.20
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:25pm ET $388.86 19 $7,388.43
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:35pm ET $387.96 19 $7,371.24 $7,555.63 $-17.19
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $392.92 19 $7,465.48
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET $389.96 19 $7,409.24 $7,499.39 $-56.24
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:40am ET $377.82 19 $7,178.58
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $376.88 19 $7,160.72 $7,481.53 $-17.86
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET $375.41 19 $7,132.79
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $371.13 19 $7,051.47 $7,400.21 $-81.32
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:00am ET $378.99 19 $7,200.81
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $378.00 19 $7,182.00 $7,381.40 $-18.81
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $372.91 19 $7,085.29
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $371.64 19 $7,061.07 $7,357.18 $-24.22
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
29 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $389.46 18 $7,010.28
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $391.77 18 $7,051.95 $7,398.85 +$41.67
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,398.85
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,601.15
Total Return: -26.01%
Back to Grace Crossover