Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 13:05:15

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

40
+5.4%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.0 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+37 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,957
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,737.35
Current Value
$9,080.42
Period P&L
$343.08
Max Drawdown
-12.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
11 / 16
Best Trade
+3.11%
Worst Trade
-1.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
16.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$458,143.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$343.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$343.08
Gross Return
+3.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,737.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $306.40 28 $8,579.34
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $305.69 28 $8,559.32 $8,717.32 $-20.02
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $307.04 28 $8,597.12
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:10am ET $304.41 28 $8,523.48 $8,643.68 $-73.64
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $305.05 28 $8,541.26
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $304.50 28 $8,526.00 $8,628.42 $-15.26
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $299.35 28 $8,381.80
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $299.23 28 $8,378.58 $8,625.20 $-3.22
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:30am ET $299.43 28 $8,384.04
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $301.01 28 $8,428.14 $8,669.30 +$44.10
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:30am ET $303.65 28 $8,502.20
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $302.50 28 $8,470.00 $8,637.10 $-32.20
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:45am ET $305.80 28 $8,562.40
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $308.16 28 $8,628.48 $8,703.18 +$66.08
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $304.41 28 $8,523.48
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $304.23 28 $8,518.44 $8,698.14 $-5.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET $315.89 27 $8,528.90
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $315.70 27 $8,523.90 $8,693.15 $-4.99
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $317.04 27 $8,560.08
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:35am ET $313.32 27 $8,459.64 $8,592.71 $-100.44
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $310.03 27 $8,370.88
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $308.87 27 $8,339.49 $8,561.32 $-31.39
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:15am ET $307.86 27 $8,312.09
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $307.08 27 $8,291.16 $8,540.39 $-20.93
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $334.72 25 $8,368.00
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $336.21 25 $8,405.37 $8,577.76 +$37.37
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
14 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $334.33 25 $8,358.13
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $332.55 25 $8,313.63 $8,533.26 $-44.50
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
15 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $328.52 25 $8,213.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:10am ET $322.09 25 $8,052.33 $8,372.59 $-160.67
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $322.04 25 $8,051.05
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:30pm ET $321.55 25 $8,038.75 $8,360.29 $-12.30
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
17 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:45am ET $320.61 26 $8,335.86
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $323.46 26 $8,409.96 $8,434.39 +$74.10
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
18 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $321.26 26 $8,352.63
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:40am ET $321.36 26 $8,355.29 $8,437.05 +$2.66
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
19 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $326.79 25 $8,169.63
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:15am ET $332.65 25 $8,316.25 $8,583.67 +$146.62
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $329.17 26 $8,558.42
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $330.44 26 $8,591.56 $8,616.81 +$33.14
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
21 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $326.32 26 $8,484.32
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $326.23 26 $8,481.98 $8,614.47 $-2.34
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
22 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $322.25 26 $8,378.50
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $330.11 26 $8,582.99 $8,818.96 +$204.49
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $311.40 28 $8,719.20
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $321.08 28 $8,990.38 $9,090.14 +$271.18
(+3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $324.91 27 $8,772.57
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $320.05 27 $8,641.35 $8,958.92 $-131.22
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:55am ET $324.92 27 $8,772.84
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $322.65 27 $8,711.55 $8,897.63 $-61.29
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $322.70 27 $8,712.90
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $323.98 27 $8,747.46 $8,932.19 +$34.56
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $326.27 27 $8,809.42
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $331.77 27 $8,957.66 $9,080.42 +$148.23
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,080.42
Net Profit/Loss: $-919.58
Total Return: -9.20%
Back to Grace Crossover