Compendium › Grace Crossover › VOO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VOO
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 26 trades in period

-4.58%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,720.60
Current Value
23%
Win Rate
$11,235.66
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
7.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 20.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 19.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.2%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,235.66
Current Value
$10,720.60
Period P&L
$-515.06
Max Drawdown
-4.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.39

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
6 / 20
Best Trade
+0.76%
Worst Trade
-1.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
15.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$547,110.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-515.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-515.06
Gross Return
-4.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,235.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $635.61 17 $10,805.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $638.81 17 $10,859.77 $11,290.06 +$54.40
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $639.44 17 $10,870.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET $636.16 17 $10,814.72 $11,234.30 $-55.76
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $626.47 17 $10,649.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $625.07 17 $10,626.19 $11,210.50 $-23.80
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $631.70 17 $10,738.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $629.02 17 $10,693.34 $11,164.94 $-45.56
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $632.44 17 $10,751.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $631.71 17 $10,739.07 $11,152.53 $-12.41
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $632.10 17 $10,745.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $628.64 17 $10,686.80 $11,093.63 $-58.90
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $629.69 17 $10,704.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $630.09 17 $10,711.53 $11,100.43 +$6.80
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $628.22 17 $10,679.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $617.41 17 $10,495.97 $10,916.66 $-183.77
(-1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $616.41 17 $10,479.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $620.78 17 $10,553.26 $10,990.86 +$74.20
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $615.76 17 $10,467.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $610.17 17 $10,372.89 $10,895.83 $-95.03
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $618.18 17 $10,509.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET $617.98 17 $10,505.66 $10,892.43 $-3.40
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:05pm ET $613.36 17 $10,427.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $612.78 17 $10,417.26 $10,882.49 $-9.94
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $606.40 17 $10,308.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $605.62 17 $10,295.54 $10,869.31 $-13.18
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $608.27 17 $10,340.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $604.51 17 $10,276.67 $10,805.36 $-63.95
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $586.95 18 $10,565.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET $584.04 18 $10,512.72 $10,752.98 $-52.38
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $603.30 17 $10,256.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $602.48 17 $10,242.16 $10,739.04 $-13.94
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $604.83 17 $10,282.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $602.36 17 $10,240.20 $10,697.14 $-41.90
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $620.61 17 $10,550.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET $620.13 17 $10,542.13 $10,688.90 $-8.24
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $624.81 17 $10,621.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $624.19 17 $10,611.23 $10,678.36 $-10.54
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $637.62 16 $10,201.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $642.44 16 $10,278.96 $10,755.40 +$77.04
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $650.88 16 $10,414.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $650.79 16 $10,412.64 $10,753.96 $-1.44
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $651.19 16 $10,419.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $651.72 16 $10,427.52 $10,762.44 +$8.48
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $652.09 16 $10,433.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $650.45 16 $10,407.20 $10,736.28 $-26.16
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $656.34 16 $10,501.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET $655.92 16 $10,494.80 $10,729.64 $-6.64
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $653.31 16 $10,452.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:10am ET $653.32 16 $10,453.04 $10,729.72 +$0.08
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $664.72 16 $10,635.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $664.16 16 $10,626.48 $10,720.60 $-9.12
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,720.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$720.60
Total Return: +7.21%
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