Compendium › Grace Crossover › VTI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VTI
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 26 trades in period

-3.34%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,578.38
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$9,909.66
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:21:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

21
+1.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.0 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,909.66
Current Value
$9,578.38
Period P&L
$-331.22
Max Drawdown
-11.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
7 / 19
Best Trade
+1.32%
Worst Trade
-1.57%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
14.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$496,100.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-331.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-331.22
Gross Return
-3.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,909.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $342.98 28 $9,603.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $342.90 28 $9,601.20 $9,907.35 $-2.24
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $343.78 28 $9,625.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $341.82 28 $9,570.96 $9,852.47 $-54.88
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $336.63 29 $9,762.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $337.27 29 $9,780.83 $9,871.03 +$18.56
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $339.18 29 $9,836.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $338.52 29 $9,817.08 $9,851.89 $-19.14
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $336.77 29 $9,766.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $336.20 29 $9,749.80 $9,835.22 $-16.67
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:45pm ET $339.13 29 $9,834.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $341.65 29 $9,907.85 $9,908.22 +$73.00
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:35am ET $338.61 29 $9,819.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $335.24 29 $9,721.96 $9,810.49 $-97.73
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:35am ET $333.61 29 $9,674.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $335.83 29 $9,738.93 $9,874.73 +$64.24
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:00pm ET $332.51 29 $9,642.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $331.98 29 $9,627.42 $9,859.36 $-15.37
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:00am ET $334.27 29 $9,693.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $332.40 29 $9,639.60 $9,804.99 $-54.38
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $329.78 29 $9,563.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $326.71 29 $9,474.73 $9,716.10 $-88.89
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $331.04 29 $9,600.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET $331.11 29 $9,602.05 $9,717.99 +$1.89
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $328.93 29 $9,538.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 2:40pm ET $323.76 29 $9,388.90 $9,567.92 $-150.07
(-1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $325.08 29 $9,427.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $324.84 29 $9,420.36 $9,560.96 $-6.96
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $326.60 29 $9,471.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $325.54 29 $9,440.66 $9,530.22 $-30.74
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $315.08 30 $9,452.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:05am ET $313.63 30 $9,408.90 $9,486.72 $-43.50
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $323.83 29 $9,391.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $323.39 29 $9,378.31 $9,473.96 $-12.76
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $324.82 29 $9,419.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $323.71 29 $9,387.59 $9,441.77 $-32.19
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $335.55 28 $9,395.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $335.52 28 $9,394.56 $9,440.79 $-0.98
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $342.31 27 $9,242.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $343.48 27 $9,273.83 $9,472.25 +$31.46
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:50pm ET $345.90 27 $9,339.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $350.45 27 $9,462.15 $9,595.10 +$122.85
(+1.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $349.25 27 $9,429.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $350.33 27 $9,458.91 $9,624.26 +$29.16
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $350.15 27 $9,454.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $349.20 27 $9,428.53 $9,598.74 $-25.52
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $352.17 27 $9,508.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET $351.88 27 $9,500.76 $9,591.04 $-7.70
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $350.23 27 $9,456.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET $350.09 27 $9,452.40 $9,587.36 $-3.68
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $356.36 26 $9,265.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $356.01 26 $9,256.26 $9,578.38 $-8.98
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,578.38
Net Profit/Loss: $-421.62
Total Return: -4.22%
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