Compendium › Grace Crossover › VXX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VXX
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 29 trades in period

-6.50%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,111.56
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$8,675.06
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:58

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.3%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,870
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,675.06
Current Value
$8,111.56
Period P&L
$-563.52
Max Drawdown
-42.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
8 / 21
Best Trade
+8.54%
Worst Trade
-5.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
12h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$480,842.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-563.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-563.52
Gross Return
-6.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,675.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $26.73 324 $8,658.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.63 324 $8,627.63 $8,643.82 $-31.27
(-0.4%) 		📅 Sim Ended
36m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET $27.27 316 $8,617.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:15am ET $26.88 316 $8,492.50 $8,519.00 $-124.82
(-1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $28.43 299 $8,500.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $28.16 299 $8,419.84 $8,438.27 $-80.73
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $29.58 285 $8,430.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:10am ET $28.39 285 $8,091.15 $8,099.12 $-339.15
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $29.24 276 $8,070.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $27.88 276 $7,694.88 $7,723.76 $-375.36
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $29.07 265 $7,703.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:05am ET $28.53 265 $7,560.45 $7,580.66 $-143.10
(-1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $29.24 259 $7,573.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $28.99 259 $7,508.41 $7,515.99 $-64.67
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $29.26 256 $7,490.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $31.76 256 $8,130.56 $8,155.99 +$640.00
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:50pm ET $33.87 240 $8,128.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $33.46 240 $8,030.40 $8,057.59 $-98.40
(-1.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $32.20 250 $8,050.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:55am ET $32.67 250 $8,167.50 $8,175.09 +$117.50
(+1.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $33.78 242 $8,174.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:35am ET $33.43 242 $8,090.06 $8,090.36 $-84.72
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $33.22 243 $8,072.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $32.88 243 $7,988.63 $8,006.53 $-83.84
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $31.91 250 $7,977.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $33.92 250 $8,480.00 $8,509.03 +$502.50
(+6.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $34.39 247 $8,494.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 11:40am ET $34.74 247 $8,579.55 $8,594.24 +$85.22
(+1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $35.39 242 $8,564.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:30pm ET $34.71 242 $8,399.82 $8,429.68 $-164.56
(-1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $35.03 240 $8,407.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $37.85 240 $9,082.80 $9,105.28 +$675.60
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $38.56 236 $9,098.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $37.21 236 $8,781.56 $8,787.86 $-317.42
(-3.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $34.60 253 $8,755.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $34.83 253 $8,811.99 $8,844.79 +$56.93
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $34.13 259 $8,839.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $33.94 259 $8,790.46 $8,796.12 $-48.67
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $32.03 274 $8,777.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $31.83 274 $8,722.79 $8,741.32 $-54.80
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:55am ET $30.57 285 $8,712.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $28.94 285 $8,247.90 $8,276.77 $-464.55
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $29.27 282 $8,254.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $29.30 282 $8,262.68 $8,285.31 +$8.54
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $28.77 287 $8,258.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $28.64 287 $8,220.74 $8,247.63 $-37.68
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET $29.53 279 $8,240.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $29.51 279 $8,233.29 $8,240.66 $-6.97
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $29.64 278 $8,239.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $29.53 278 $8,209.34 $8,210.08 $-30.58
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET $29.46 278 $8,189.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $29.36 278 $8,162.08 $8,182.28 $-27.80
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $29.27 279 $8,166.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $29.00 279 $8,092.39 $8,108.34 $-73.94
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:00am ET $28.63 283 $8,102.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $28.85 283 $8,164.55 $8,170.60 +$62.26
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $28.32 288 $8,154.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $28.11 288 $8,095.68 $8,111.56 $-59.04
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,111.56
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,888.44
Total Return: -18.88%
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