VXX Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 32 trades in period
-12.37%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,531.13
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$8,594.22
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality
3.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 3.7
30-Day Momentum
7
-7.6%
30d Return
11%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,594.22
Current Value
$7,531.13
Period P&L
$-1,063.11
Max Drawdown
-42.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
8 /
24
Best Trade
+8.04%
Worst Trade
-5.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.39%
Avg Hold Time
14.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$524,354.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,063.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,063.11
Gross Return
-12.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.37%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,594.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.39 | 242 | $8,564.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $34.71 | 242 | $8,399.82 | $8,429.68 |
$-164.56 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.03 | 240 | $8,407.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $37.85 | 240 | $9,082.80 | $9,105.28 |
+$675.60 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $38.56 | 236 | $9,098.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.21 | 236 | $8,781.56 | $8,787.86 |
$-317.42 (-3.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $34.60 | 253 | $8,755.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $34.83 | 253 | $8,811.99 | $8,844.79 |
+$56.93 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $34.13 | 259 | $8,839.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $33.94 | 259 | $8,790.46 | $8,796.12 |
$-48.67 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $32.03 | 274 | $8,777.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $31.83 | 274 | $8,722.79 | $8,741.32 |
$-54.80 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $30.57 | 285 | $8,712.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.94 | 285 | $8,247.90 | $8,276.77 |
$-464.55 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $29.27 | 282 | $8,254.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $29.30 | 282 | $8,262.68 | $8,285.31 |
+$8.54 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $28.77 | 287 | $8,258.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $28.64 | 287 | $8,220.74 | $8,247.63 |
$-37.68 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $29.53 | 279 | $8,240.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $29.51 | 279 | $8,233.29 | $8,240.66 |
$-6.97 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.64 | 278 | $8,239.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $29.53 | 278 | $8,209.34 | $8,210.08 |
$-30.58 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $29.46 | 278 | $8,189.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $29.36 | 278 | $8,162.08 | $8,182.28 |
$-27.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.27 | 279 | $8,166.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $29.00 | 279 | $8,092.39 | $8,108.34 |
$-73.94 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $28.63 | 283 | $8,102.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $28.85 | 283 | $8,164.55 | $8,170.60 |
+$62.26 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:30pm ET | $28.32 | 288 | $8,154.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $28.11 | 288 | $8,095.68 | $8,111.56 |
$-59.04 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $28.06 | 289 | $8,109.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $27.98 | 289 | $8,086.22 | $8,088.44 |
$-23.12 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 3:25pm ET | $28.06 | 288 | $8,079.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 3:40pm ET | $27.86 | 288 | $8,025.12 | $8,033.72 |
$-54.72 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 12:10pm ET | $28.04 | 286 | $8,019.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $28.60 | 286 | $8,181.03 | $8,195.31 |
+$161.59 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 3:15pm ET | $28.06 | 292 | $8,192.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $28.20 | 292 | $8,235.86 | $8,239.11 |
+$43.80 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 11:30am ET | $27.76 | 296 | $8,218.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:20pm ET | $27.45 | 296 | $8,126.68 | $8,147.35 |
$-91.76 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $27.11 | 300 | $8,133.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $26.94 | 300 | $8,083.50 | $8,097.85 |
$-49.50 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 12:55pm ET | $26.19 | 309 | $8,094.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $26.16 | 309 | $8,083.44 | $8,087.04 |
$-10.81 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.59 | 316 | $8,086.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.46 | 316 | $8,045.36 | $8,046.05 |
$-40.99 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 3:00pm ET | $24.03 | 334 | $8,027.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 3:25pm ET | $23.95 | 334 | $7,999.53 | $8,017.89 |
$-28.16 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $24.53 | 326 | $7,997.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $24.38 | 326 | $7,947.88 | $7,968.17 |
$-49.72 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 2:40pm ET | $23.84 | 334 | $7,964.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:05pm ET | $23.82 | 334 | $7,954.21 | $7,958.15 |
$-10.02 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:00pm ET | $24.65 | 322 | $7,937.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $24.48 | 322 | $7,880.95 | $7,901.80 |
$-56.35 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.76 | 306 | $7,882.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $26.24 | 306 | $8,027.91 | $8,047.15 |
+$145.35 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $25.19 | 319 | $8,037.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 12:15pm ET | $24.82 | 319 | $7,915.99 | $7,925.93 |
$-121.22 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 2:35pm ET | $22.76 | 348 | $7,920.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $22.41 | 348 | $7,798.68 | $7,804.13 |
$-121.80 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 11:40am ET | $23.05 | 338 | $7,790.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $22.06 | 338 | $7,456.28 | $7,469.51 |
$-334.62 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $23.60 | 316 | $7,457.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $23.80 | 316 | $7,519.22 | $7,531.13 |
+$61.62 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,531.13
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,468.87
Total Return:
-24.69%