Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-21 19:51:10

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.8/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 31.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 31.6

30-Day Momentum

49
+6.6%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.5 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,013.35
Current Value
$13,270.33
Period P&L
$257.05
Max Drawdown
-10.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+4.93%
Worst Trade
-2.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$666,498.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$257.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$257.05
Gross Return
+1.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,013.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $77.35 164 $12,684.58
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $78.69 164 $12,905.16 $12,978.84 +$220.58
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $80.63 160 $12,900.78
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $79.90 160 $12,784.80 $12,862.86 $-115.98
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $77.92 165 $12,856.80
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $77.69 165 $12,819.67 $12,825.74 $-37.12
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $77.81 164 $12,760.84
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $80.94 164 $13,274.16 $13,339.06 +$513.32
(+4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $81.64 163 $13,307.32
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $81.56 163 $13,294.28 $13,326.02 $-13.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $84.82 157 $13,316.27
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $84.62 157 $13,285.34 $13,295.09 $-30.93
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $85.48 155 $13,249.40
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $82.95 155 $12,857.25 $12,902.94 $-392.15
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $80.60 160 $12,896.27
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:35am ET $81.21 160 $12,993.62 $13,000.28 +$97.34
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:55am ET $81.89 158 $12,939.41
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $81.45 158 $12,869.10 $12,929.97 $-70.31
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $81.79 158 $12,922.03
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $80.04 158 $12,646.32 $12,654.26 $-275.71
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET $81.42 155 $12,620.10
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $80.77 155 $12,519.35 $12,553.51 $-100.75
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $82.62 151 $12,475.76
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $81.54 151 $12,311.79 $12,389.54 $-163.97
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $79.80 155 $12,369.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $80.82 155 $12,527.10 $12,547.64 +$158.10
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
14 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 3:30pm ET $79.05 158 $12,489.90
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $78.93 158 $12,470.15 $12,527.89 $-19.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
15 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:00pm ET $73.95 169 $12,497.55
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $73.87 169 $12,484.03 $12,514.37 $-13.52
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
16 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $73.35 170 $12,469.48
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $73.17 170 $12,438.90 $12,483.79 $-30.58
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
17 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $74.37 167 $12,419.79
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:35am ET $74.16 167 $12,384.72 $12,448.72 $-35.07
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
18 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $75.76 164 $12,425.46
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 12:10pm ET $76.21 164 $12,497.62 $12,520.88 +$72.16
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $77.32 161 $12,447.72
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $76.67 161 $12,343.87 $12,417.03 $-103.85
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
20 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $76.22 162 $12,348.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $76.85 162 $12,449.70 $12,518.73 +$101.70
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $77.54 161 $12,483.94
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $81.36 161 $13,098.96 $13,133.75 +$615.02
(+4.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $81.86 160 $13,097.60
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $81.84 160 $13,094.40 $13,130.55 $-3.20
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $81.63 160 $13,060.80
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $81.63 160 $13,060.80 $13,130.55 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:10pm ET $81.55 161 $13,129.55
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:45pm ET $83.47 161 $13,438.67 $13,439.67 +$309.12
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $84.07 159 $13,367.13
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $84.68 159 $13,464.91 $13,537.45 +$97.78
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:55am ET $84.64 159 $13,457.76
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $82.96 159 $13,190.64 $13,270.33 $-267.12
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,270.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,270.33
Total Return: +32.70%
Back to Grace Crossover