Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 00:04:42

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.8/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 49.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 48.4

30-Day Momentum

21
+2.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.7 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,561.15
Current Value
$14,358.76
Period P&L
$797.61
Max Drawdown
-6.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
11 / 15
Best Trade
+4.89%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$727,570.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$797.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$797.61
Gross Return
+5.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,561.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $122.86 110 $13,514.60
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:05am ET $122.60 110 $13,486.00 $13,532.55 $-28.60
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $123.42 109 $13,452.78
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $123.86 109 $13,501.28 $13,581.05 +$48.50
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET $124.02 109 $13,518.18
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:10am ET $123.82 109 $13,496.38 $13,559.25 $-21.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $126.46 107 $13,530.92
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:50pm ET $126.37 107 $13,521.59 $13,549.92 $-9.33
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $123.22 109 $13,430.98
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $129.25 109 $14,088.25 $14,207.19 +$657.27
(+4.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $126.82 112 $14,203.84
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:45pm ET $124.69 112 $13,965.28 $13,968.63 $-238.56
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $123.96 112 $13,884.08
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $124.20 112 $13,910.40 $13,994.95 +$26.32
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $124.97 111 $13,872.22
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:30am ET $124.55 111 $13,825.05 $13,947.78 $-47.17
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $128.22 108 $13,847.76
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $129.20 108 $13,953.60 $14,053.62 +$105.84
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $129.87 108 $14,025.96
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $132.05 108 $14,261.40 $14,289.06 +$235.44
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $129.63 110 $14,259.30
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET $127.35 110 $14,008.50 $14,038.26 $-250.80
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET $126.79 110 $13,946.90
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $127.54 110 $14,029.73 $14,121.09 +$82.83
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $131.69 107 $14,091.04
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $130.45 107 $13,958.15 $13,988.20 $-132.89
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $130.69 107 $13,983.83
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $130.93 107 $14,009.51 $14,013.88 +$25.68
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
15 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $127.14 110 $13,985.95
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $130.30 110 $14,333.00 $14,360.93 +$347.05
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
16 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $133.87 107 $14,324.09
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:25am ET $131.86 107 $14,109.02 $14,145.86 $-215.07
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
17 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:20pm ET $134.41 105 $14,113.05
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:45pm ET $134.25 105 $14,096.25 $14,129.06 $-16.80
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
18 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $121.67 116 $14,113.72
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $121.48 116 $14,091.70 $14,107.04 $-22.02
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
19 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $120.15 117 $14,057.55
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $119.99 117 $14,038.83 $14,088.32 $-18.72
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
20 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:00am ET $118.65 118 $14,001.29
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $118.75 118 $14,012.50 $14,099.53 +$11.21
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $114.19 123 $14,045.98
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $113.24 123 $13,928.52 $13,982.06 $-117.47
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:40pm ET $116.87 119 $13,907.53
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:40am ET $119.63 119 $14,235.97 $14,310.50 +$328.44
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $121.11 118 $14,291.57
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $120.71 118 $14,243.19 $14,262.12 $-48.38
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $120.25 118 $14,188.91
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $121.65 118 $14,355.29 $14,428.50 +$166.38
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $118.19 122 $14,419.18
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $117.82 122 $14,374.04 $14,383.36 $-45.14
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $119.79 120 $14,375.40
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 2:45pm ET $119.59 120 $14,350.80 $14,358.76 $-24.60
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,358.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,358.76
Total Return: +43.59%
Back to Grace Crossover