Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

46
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.7/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 46.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 46.1

30-Day Momentum

31
+3.2%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,666.96
Current Value
$13,988.20
Period P&L
$321.24
Max Drawdown
-6.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
11 / 15
Best Trade
+4.89%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
19.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$708,226.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$321.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$321.24
Gross Return
+2.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,666.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET $131.21 104 $13,645.32
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:00am ET $130.38 104 $13,559.00 $13,580.64 $-86.32
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $127.09 106 $13,471.54
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $126.99 106 $13,460.70 $13,569.80 $-10.84
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $129.48 104 $13,465.92
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 11:20am ET $127.57 104 $13,267.28 $13,371.16 $-198.64
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET $126.57 105 $13,289.85
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $127.11 105 $13,346.55 $13,427.86 +$56.70
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:55pm ET $126.57 106 $13,415.89
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 1:10pm ET $126.28 106 $13,385.68 $13,397.65 $-30.21
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $124.71 107 $13,343.98
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $124.56 107 $13,327.92 $13,381.59 $-16.06
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $128.50 104 $13,364.00
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:05am ET $127.57 104 $13,267.28 $13,284.87 $-96.72
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $126.67 104 $13,173.68
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $127.33 104 $13,242.84 $13,354.03 +$69.16
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $122.59 108 $13,239.72
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $122.64 108 $13,245.12 $13,359.43 +$5.40
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $123.49 108 $13,336.93
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $125.43 108 $13,546.44 $13,568.94 +$209.51
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $125.55 108 $13,559.40
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $125.41 108 $13,544.28 $13,553.82 $-15.12
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:50pm ET $123.19 110 $13,550.92
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $123.00 110 $13,530.00 $13,532.90 $-20.92
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $119.62 113 $13,517.06
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $119.87 113 $13,545.31 $13,561.15 +$28.25
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $122.86 110 $13,514.60
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:05am ET $122.60 110 $13,486.00 $13,532.55 $-28.60
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $123.42 109 $13,452.78
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $123.86 109 $13,501.28 $13,581.05 +$48.50
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET $124.02 109 $13,518.18
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:10am ET $123.82 109 $13,496.38 $13,559.25 $-21.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $126.46 107 $13,530.92
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:50pm ET $126.37 107 $13,521.59 $13,549.92 $-9.33
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $123.22 109 $13,430.98
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $129.25 109 $14,088.25 $14,207.19 +$657.27
(+4.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $126.82 112 $14,203.84
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:45pm ET $124.69 112 $13,965.28 $13,968.63 $-238.56
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $123.96 112 $13,884.08
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $124.20 112 $13,910.40 $13,994.95 +$26.32
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $124.97 111 $13,872.22
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:30am ET $124.55 111 $13,825.05 $13,947.78 $-47.17
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $128.22 108 $13,847.76
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $129.20 108 $13,953.60 $14,053.62 +$105.84
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $129.87 108 $14,025.96
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $132.05 108 $14,261.40 $14,289.06 +$235.44
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $129.63 110 $14,259.30
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET $127.35 110 $14,008.50 $14,038.26 $-250.80
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET $126.79 110 $13,946.90
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $127.54 110 $14,029.73 $14,121.09 +$82.83
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $131.69 107 $14,091.04
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $130.45 107 $13,958.15 $13,988.20 $-132.89
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,988.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,988.20
Total Return: +39.88%
Back to Grace Crossover