Compendium › Grace Crossover › XLF
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLF
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 27 trades in period

-6.00%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,213.21
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$10,864.86
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
4.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 10.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.0

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.6%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,864.86
Current Value
$10,213.21
Period P&L
$-651.59
Max Drawdown
-6.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+1.90%
Worst Trade
-1.65%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
19.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$567,529.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-651.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-651.59
Gross Return
-6.00%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,864.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:25am ET $54.28 200 $10,856.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:15am ET $54.15 200 $10,829.00 $10,837.80 $-27.00
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
48m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $53.49 202 $10,805.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET $53.26 202 $10,758.52 $10,790.33 $-47.47
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $51.97 207 $10,758.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:50pm ET $52.08 207 $10,781.59 $10,813.10 +$22.77
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $52.62 205 $10,787.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET $51.84 205 $10,627.20 $10,652.69 $-160.41
(-1.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $50.91 209 $10,640.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:05pm ET $50.94 209 $10,647.50 $10,660.00 +$7.31
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $51.85 205 $10,629.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $51.96 205 $10,650.78 $10,681.55 +$21.55
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 11:00am ET $51.22 208 $10,652.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $51.35 208 $10,679.76 $10,708.59 +$27.04
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET $51.42 208 $10,695.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $51.46 208 $10,702.64 $10,715.87 +$7.28
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $51.19 209 $10,699.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $50.49 209 $10,553.45 $10,569.57 $-146.30
(-1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $49.63 212 $10,522.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $49.58 212 $10,509.90 $10,556.85 $-12.72
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $49.55 213 $10,554.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:55pm ET $49.46 213 $10,533.92 $10,536.62 $-20.23
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:30pm ET $48.93 215 $10,519.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $48.87 215 $10,505.98 $10,522.65 $-13.97
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $49.32 213 $10,505.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $49.33 213 $10,506.23 $10,523.72 +$1.07
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $49.72 211 $10,491.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:55am ET $48.90 211 $10,318.95 $10,350.70 $-173.02
(-1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:55am ET $49.33 209 $10,308.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $49.29 209 $10,302.57 $10,344.35 $-6.35
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $49.38 209 $10,321.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET $49.34 209 $10,312.06 $10,334.95 $-9.40
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $48.30 213 $10,287.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $48.53 213 $10,335.83 $10,382.88 +$47.93
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $49.54 209 $10,354.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $49.63 209 $10,371.63 $10,399.83 +$16.95
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.7d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $51.17 203 $10,388.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $50.99 203 $10,350.97 $10,362.28 $-37.55
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:25am ET $50.79 204 $10,361.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $51.76 204 $10,558.02 $10,559.14 +$196.86
(+1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $52.29 201 $10,511.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $52.08 201 $10,469.08 $10,516.93 $-42.21
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:10pm ET $52.59 199 $10,465.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $52.53 199 $10,452.48 $10,504.06 $-12.87
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:20pm ET $52.44 200 $10,489.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:35am ET $52.28 200 $10,455.00 $10,470.06 $-34.00
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:45am ET $52.13 200 $10,426.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $51.59 200 $10,318.00 $10,362.06 $-108.00
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $51.80 200 $10,360.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $52.03 200 $10,407.00 $10,409.06 +$47.00
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $51.88 200 $10,376.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $51.47 200 $10,294.00 $10,327.06 $-82.00
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
27 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:25am ET $52.13 198 $10,320.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:35am ET $51.55 198 $10,206.90 $10,213.21 $-113.85
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,213.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$213.21
Total Return: +2.13%
Back to Grace Crossover