Compendium › Grace Crossover › XLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLK
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 24 trades in period

+4.97%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,822.98
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$12,216.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:21:34

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 29.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.2

30-Day Momentum

46
+5.7%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
6.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.4 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,216.00
Current Value
$12,822.98
Period P&L
$607.01
Max Drawdown
-13.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
10 / 14
Best Trade
+4.30%
Worst Trade
-3.38%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
18.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$575,872.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$607.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$607.01
Gross Return
+4.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,216.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $143.96 84 $12,092.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET $143.48 84 $12,052.32 $12,176.07 $-39.90
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 12:15pm ET $142.82 85 $12,140.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $142.84 85 $12,141.40 $12,177.34 +$1.27
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $139.40 87 $12,128.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $138.74 87 $12,070.81 $12,119.92 $-57.42
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 2:10pm ET $139.76 86 $12,019.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $140.58 86 $12,089.88 $12,190.01 +$70.09
(+0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $138.97 87 $12,090.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $140.44 87 $12,218.28 $12,317.90 +$127.89
(+1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $143.17 86 $12,312.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $138.34 86 $11,896.81 $11,902.09 $-415.81
(-3.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:30am ET $136.93 86 $11,776.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $137.57 86 $11,831.02 $11,956.70 +$54.61
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:25am ET $139.14 85 $11,826.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $138.98 85 $11,813.30 $11,943.10 $-13.60
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $137.79 86 $11,849.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $137.52 86 $11,826.72 $11,920.31 $-22.79
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $140.89 84 $11,834.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:15am ET $140.33 84 $11,787.72 $11,873.27 $-47.04
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $138.81 85 $11,798.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $138.51 85 $11,773.35 $11,847.77 $-25.50
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $137.22 86 $11,800.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:05pm ET $136.90 86 $11,772.97 $11,819.82 $-27.95
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $139.73 84 $11,737.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $139.47 84 $11,715.48 $11,797.98 $-21.84
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 12:10pm ET $137.75 85 $11,708.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:05pm ET $137.45 85 $11,683.25 $11,772.48 $-25.50
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $137.13 85 $11,655.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $136.16 85 $11,574.02 $11,690.88 $-81.60
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET $131.74 88 $11,593.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $131.13 88 $11,539.44 $11,636.76 $-54.12
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $129.18 90 $11,626.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $134.74 90 $12,126.60 $12,137.16 +$500.40
(+4.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $135.53 89 $12,062.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $135.98 89 $12,101.78 $12,176.77 +$39.61
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $141.68 85 $12,042.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $141.26 85 $12,006.68 $12,140.65 $-36.12
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:40pm ET $147.30 82 $12,078.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $148.76 82 $12,197.91 $12,259.94 +$119.29
(+1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $151.65 80 $12,132.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $154.57 80 $12,365.60 $12,493.14 +$233.20
(+1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:05am ET $157.41 79 $12,435.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:55am ET $156.96 79 $12,399.45 $12,457.19 $-35.95
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
50m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:15pm ET $157.08 79 $12,409.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $158.18 79 $12,496.22 $12,544.09 +$86.90
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
24 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $162.07 77 $12,479.77 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $165.70 77 $12,758.66 $12,822.98 +$278.89
(+2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,822.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,822.98
Total Return: +28.23%
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