Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:16:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 19.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.3

30-Day Momentum

55
+9.9%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 65.7 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+36 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,152
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,728.02
Current Value
$11,619.55
Period P&L
$-108.51
Max Drawdown
-13.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
63
Winners / Losers
16 / 47
Best Trade
+8.09%
Worst Trade
-4.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.00%
Avg Hold Time
14.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,372,133.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-108.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-108.51
Gross Return
-0.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 63 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,728.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 12:15pm ET $82.07 142 $11,653.94
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 2:40pm ET $81.99 142 $11,642.58 $11,716.70 $-11.36
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:25pm ET $81.41 143 $11,641.63
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $79.86 143 $11,419.98 $11,495.05 $-221.65
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:35am ET $77.29 148 $11,438.92
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $77.22 148 $11,428.26 $11,484.40 $-10.66
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $75.47 152 $11,471.44
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $74.90 152 $11,384.80 $11,397.76 $-86.64
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:15am ET $75.39 151 $11,383.89
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:40am ET $75.11 151 $11,341.61 $11,355.48 $-42.28
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:50am ET $72.72 156 $11,344.32
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:00am ET $71.96 156 $11,225.76 $11,236.92 $-118.56
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:00pm ET $76.44 147 $11,235.95
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $75.77 147 $11,138.19 $11,139.16 $-97.76
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $79.68 139 $11,075.52
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $77.78 139 $10,810.73 $10,874.37 $-264.80
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $78.48 138 $10,830.24
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET $78.12 138 $10,780.56 $10,824.69 $-49.68
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:15am ET $80.91 133 $10,761.03
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET $81.88 133 $10,890.04 $10,953.70 +$129.01
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:05pm ET $82.09 133 $10,917.31
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:40pm ET $81.93 133 $10,896.69 $10,933.08 $-20.61
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:10am ET $81.90 133 $10,892.70
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 2:10pm ET $82.73 133 $11,003.09 $11,043.47 +$110.39
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 12:20pm ET $81.89 134 $10,972.79
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET $81.78 134 $10,957.85 $11,028.53 $-14.94
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 11:20am ET $80.45 137 $11,021.65
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 11:40am ET $79.80 137 $10,932.60 $10,939.48 $-89.05
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 12:15pm ET $79.61 137 $10,905.89
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 12:25pm ET $79.29 137 $10,862.73 $10,896.33 $-43.15
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $80.40 135 $10,854.00
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET $79.11 135 $10,679.85 $10,722.18 $-174.15
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 2:15pm ET $80.21 133 $10,667.27
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:05pm ET $80.09 133 $10,651.97 $10,706.88 $-15.29
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:05pm ET $80.43 133 $10,697.19
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET $79.96 133 $10,634.68 $10,644.37 $-62.51
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 3:35pm ET $79.90 133 $10,626.04
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:50pm ET $79.67 133 $10,595.45 $10,613.78 $-30.59
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:55am ET $78.79 134 $10,557.86
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 11:55am ET $78.52 134 $10,521.68 $10,577.60 $-36.18
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 12:30pm ET $77.73 136 $10,571.28
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 12:50pm ET $77.56 136 $10,548.16 $10,554.48 $-23.12
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:15pm ET $78.02 135 $10,532.70
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $80.74 135 $10,899.90 $10,921.68 +$367.20
(+3.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:50pm ET $81.21 134 $10,882.15
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $81.36 134 $10,902.24 $10,941.77 +$20.09
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:00pm ET $80.75 135 $10,901.25
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $80.71 135 $10,895.85 $10,936.37 $-5.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $80.67 135 $10,890.45
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $80.57 135 $10,876.95 $10,922.87 $-13.50
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:30pm ET $82.27 132 $10,859.64
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $82.16 132 $10,845.12 $10,908.35 $-14.52
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:30am ET $83.18 131 $10,896.58
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:50am ET $82.66 131 $10,828.46 $10,840.23 $-68.12
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $83.43 129 $10,762.47
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:20pm ET $83.24 129 $10,737.96 $10,815.72 $-24.51
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:55am ET $80.51 134 $10,788.34
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $80.07 134 $10,729.38 $10,756.76 $-58.96
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 1:50pm ET $79.16 135 $10,686.60
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $82.06 135 $11,078.10 $11,148.26 +$391.50
(+3.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:30am ET $80.61 138 $11,123.49
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $80.46 138 $11,102.79 $11,127.56 $-20.70
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $79.83 139 $11,096.37
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:10am ET $79.43 139 $11,040.77 $11,071.96 $-55.60
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $77.71 142 $11,034.11
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $77.14 142 $10,953.88 $10,991.73 $-80.23
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $75.52 145 $10,950.40
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $75.26 145 $10,911.98 $10,953.30 $-38.43
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $72.68 150 $10,902.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $72.07 150 $10,811.25 $10,862.55 $-90.75
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET $68.06 159 $10,821.54
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $67.68 159 $10,761.12 $10,802.13 $-60.42
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $70.08 154 $10,792.32
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $72.47 154 $11,161.15 $11,170.96 +$368.83
(+3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET $69.74 160 $11,158.40
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $69.67 160 $11,147.20 $11,159.76 $-11.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:05am ET $71.67 155 $11,108.85
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 12:45pm ET $71.33 155 $11,056.15 $11,107.06 $-52.70
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $71.80 154 $11,057.20
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $71.40 154 $10,995.60 $11,045.46 $-61.60
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:55am ET $73.81 149 $10,996.95
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:55am ET $73.31 149 $10,922.45 $10,970.96 $-74.50
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $72.64 151 $10,968.64
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $71.01 151 $10,722.51 $10,724.83 $-246.13
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:30am ET $71.64 149 $10,674.36
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $72.60 149 $10,817.40 $10,867.87 +$143.04
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $73.39 148 $10,861.72
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $72.06 148 $10,664.88 $10,671.03 $-196.84
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET $72.46 147 $10,652.35
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $72.49 147 $10,655.30 $10,673.97 +$2.94
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $73.75 144 $10,620.00
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:10am ET $73.14 144 $10,532.16 $10,586.13 $-87.84
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $71.26 148 $10,546.48
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET $71.10 148 $10,522.80 $10,562.45 $-23.68
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $71.76 147 $10,548.72
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:35am ET $72.63 147 $10,676.61 $10,690.34 +$127.89
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $72.57 147 $10,667.06
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $69.51 147 $10,217.97 $10,241.25 $-449.09
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $70.02 146 $10,222.92
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $70.50 146 $10,293.00 $10,311.33 +$70.08
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $68.97 149 $10,276.53
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $70.08 149 $10,441.92 $10,476.72 +$165.39
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $65.26 160 $10,441.01
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $64.51 160 $10,321.60 $10,357.31 $-119.41
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $68.41 151 $10,329.91
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $67.83 151 $10,242.33 $10,269.73 $-87.58
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $68.45 150 $10,267.50
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $69.08 150 $10,362.75 $10,364.98 +$95.25
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $69.19 149 $10,309.31
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:25am ET $74.79 149 $11,143.71 $11,199.38 +$834.40
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $76.71 145 $11,123.67
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $76.56 145 $11,101.20 $11,176.91 $-22.47
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:45am ET $78.83 141 $11,115.04
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $78.53 141 $11,072.73 $11,134.60 $-42.31
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $78.29 142 $11,116.47
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $78.86 142 $11,198.12 $11,216.25 +$81.65
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $77.33 145 $11,213.57
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:20am ET $76.44 145 $11,083.80 $11,086.48 $-129.77
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $76.57 144 $11,026.08
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $76.51 144 $11,017.44 $11,077.84 $-8.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:35pm ET $73.30 151 $11,068.30
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $73.06 151 $11,032.06 $11,041.60 $-36.24
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
62 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $76.07 145 $11,030.15
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $77.78 145 $11,278.10 $11,289.55 +$247.95
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
63 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $76.73 147 $11,278.59
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:20am ET $78.97 147 $11,608.59 $11,619.55 +$330.00
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,619.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,619.55
Total Return: +16.20%
Back to Grace Crossover