Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:27:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality 3.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

7
-9.6%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,189
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,488.20
Current Value
$4,956.27
Period P&L
$-532.07
Max Drawdown
-53.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
59
Winners / Losers
17 / 42
Best Trade
+8.52%
Worst Trade
-4.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
10.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$619,101.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-532.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-532.07
Gross Return
-9.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 59 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $5,488.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:55am ET $155.98 35 $5,459.30
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 12:15pm ET $155.03 35 $5,426.05 $5,455.07 $-33.25
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $151.23 36 $5,444.32
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:30am ET $148.66 36 $5,351.76 $5,362.51 $-92.56
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 2:35pm ET $140.59 38 $5,342.42
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:15pm ET $138.86 38 $5,276.49 $5,296.58 $-65.93
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $142.39 37 $5,268.43
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:15am ET $141.39 37 $5,231.30 $5,259.45 $-37.13
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:00pm ET $135.79 38 $5,159.87
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:10pm ET $135.59 38 $5,152.42 $5,252.00 $-7.45
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 1:00pm ET $136.73 38 $5,195.55
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 1:30pm ET $136.08 38 $5,171.04 $5,227.49 $-24.51
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:50am ET $129.81 40 $5,192.40
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $131.69 40 $5,267.60 $5,302.69 +$75.20
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 12:15pm ET $129.30 41 $5,301.30
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 2:25pm ET $129.01 41 $5,289.41 $5,290.80 $-11.89
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:10pm ET $133.48 39 $5,205.72
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:45pm ET $133.05 39 $5,188.95 $5,274.03 $-16.77
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $137.49 38 $5,224.72
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:25am ET $136.56 38 $5,189.28 $5,238.59 $-35.44
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 12:30pm ET $137.48 38 $5,224.05
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 12:45pm ET $140.14 38 $5,325.32 $5,339.86 +$101.27
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 1:20pm ET $141.58 37 $5,238.30
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 2:15pm ET $141.45 37 $5,233.65 $5,335.22 $-4.65
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
54m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 2:35pm ET $141.48 37 $5,234.70
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:10pm ET $141.27 37 $5,226.81 $5,327.32 $-7.90
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:05pm ET $134.96 39 $5,263.59
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:15pm ET $135.29 39 $5,276.31 $5,340.03 +$12.72
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 12:35pm ET $126.46 42 $5,311.11
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 12:45pm ET $126.11 42 $5,296.62 $5,325.54 $-14.49
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 1:45pm ET $120.73 44 $5,312.12
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 2:10pm ET $120.26 44 $5,291.44 $5,304.86 $-20.68
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 3:25pm ET $114.02 46 $5,244.92
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:00pm ET $114.83 46 $5,282.18 $5,342.12 +$37.26
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $116.10 46 $5,340.60
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 11:00am ET $114.75 46 $5,278.50 $5,280.02 $-62.10
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 11:50am ET $112.21 47 $5,273.64
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 12:50pm ET $111.53 47 $5,241.68 $5,248.06 $-31.96
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 10:45am ET $111.18 47 $5,225.46
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:10pm ET $111.00 47 $5,217.00 $5,239.60 $-8.46
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:15pm ET $110.37 47 $5,187.39
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 1:20pm ET $111.52 47 $5,241.44 $5,293.65 +$54.05
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $114.49 46 $5,266.54
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $114.85 46 $5,283.10 $5,310.21 +$16.56
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:25pm ET $115.88 45 $5,214.60
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $115.37 45 $5,191.43 $5,287.03 $-23.18
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $112.19 47 $5,272.70
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $111.90 47 $5,259.11 $5,273.45 $-13.59
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $111.39 47 $5,235.33
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $110.78 47 $5,206.80 $5,244.91 $-28.53
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $107.26 48 $5,148.48
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $107.10 48 $5,140.80 $5,237.23 $-7.68
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET $106.71 49 $5,228.79
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET $105.51 49 $5,169.75 $5,178.19 $-59.04
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
54m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $114.26 45 $5,141.70
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET $113.27 45 $5,097.15 $5,133.64 $-44.55
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $115.31 44 $5,073.60
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $114.70 44 $5,046.58 $5,106.62 $-27.02
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $110.18 46 $5,068.28
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $109.47 46 $5,035.62 $5,073.96 $-32.66
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $107.30 47 $5,043.10
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET $106.49 47 $5,004.80 $5,035.66 $-38.30
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $102.74 49 $5,034.26
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $104.01 49 $5,096.49 $5,097.89 +$62.23
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $117.13 43 $5,036.59
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.23 43 $5,126.90 $5,188.20 +$90.31
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $128.00 40 $5,120.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $125.75 40 $5,030.00 $5,098.20 $-90.00
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $124.47 40 $4,978.80
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $129.01 40 $5,160.40 $5,279.80 +$181.60
(+3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:55pm ET $128.55 41 $5,270.55
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $127.72 41 $5,236.52 $5,245.77 $-34.03
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $128.94 40 $5,157.60
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $132.26 40 $5,290.60 $5,378.77 +$133.00
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $123.96 43 $5,330.28
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $123.71 43 $5,319.53 $5,368.02 $-10.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $120.09 44 $5,283.96
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $119.61 44 $5,262.62 $5,346.68 $-21.34
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:10am ET $113.61 47 $5,339.44
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $113.95 47 $5,355.65 $5,362.90 +$16.21
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET $122.81 43 $5,280.62
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:40am ET $121.63 43 $5,229.96 $5,312.24 $-50.66
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $115.09 46 $5,294.14
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $115.70 46 $5,322.20 $5,340.30 +$28.06
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $126.42 42 $5,309.64
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:50am ET $125.57 42 $5,273.94 $5,304.60 $-35.70
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $129.20 41 $5,297.00
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:25am ET $127.77 41 $5,238.67 $5,246.27 $-58.33
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:55pm ET $136.10 38 $5,171.80
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $136.71 38 $5,194.98 $5,269.45 +$23.18
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $160.96 32 $5,150.72
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $158.79 32 $5,081.44 $5,200.17 $-69.28
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $145.02 35 $5,075.70
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $144.28 35 $5,049.80 $5,174.27 $-25.90
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $143.74 35 $5,030.73
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $155.98 35 $5,459.30 $5,602.84 +$428.57
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:30pm ET $147.93 37 $5,473.41
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $148.75 37 $5,503.75 $5,633.18 +$30.34
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:40am ET $147.40 38 $5,601.01
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $149.04 38 $5,663.33 $5,695.50 +$62.32
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $151.27 37 $5,596.99
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $149.80 37 $5,542.60 $5,641.11 $-54.39
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $160.60 35 $5,621.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $158.75 35 $5,556.18 $5,576.29 $-64.82
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $164.53 33 $5,429.59
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $165.78 33 $5,470.74 $5,617.44 +$41.15
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
6h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $175.73 31 $5,447.63
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $174.50 31 $5,409.50 $5,579.31 $-38.13
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $205.50 27 $5,548.50
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $204.09 27 $5,510.43 $5,541.24 $-38.07
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $234.23 23 $5,387.29
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $224.49 23 $5,163.27 $5,317.22 $-224.02
(-4.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $202.71 26 $5,270.46
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $194.24 26 $5,050.37 $5,097.13 $-220.09
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
58 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:45am ET $213.04 23 $4,899.81
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $212.91 23 $4,896.93 $5,094.26 $-2.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
59 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $228.92 22 $5,036.18
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $222.65 22 $4,898.19 $4,956.27 $-137.99
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,956.27
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,043.73
Total Return: -50.44%
Back to Grace Crossover