ARM Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-12-21 to present • 57 trades in period
+22.21%
Last 6 Months Return
$6,528.45
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$5,342.00
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality
3.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 3.3
30-Day Momentum
84
+32.5%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
5.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 96.3
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+81 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,687
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)
Market Closed (7 days)
2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$5,342.00
Current Value
$6,528.45
Period P&L
$1,186.31
Max Drawdown
-53.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
57
Winners / Losers
22 /
35
Best Trade
+12.19%
Worst Trade
-4.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.41%
Avg Hold Time
12.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$598,685.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,186.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,186.31
Gross Return
+22.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.21%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 57 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $5,342.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $116.10 | 46 | $5,340.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 11:00am ET | $114.75 | 46 | $5,278.50 | $5,280.02 |
$-62.10 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 11:50am ET | $112.21 | 47 | $5,273.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 12:50pm ET | $111.53 | 47 | $5,241.68 | $5,248.06 |
$-31.96 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:45am ET | $111.18 | 47 | $5,225.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 1:10pm ET | $111.00 | 47 | $5,217.00 | $5,239.60 |
$-8.46 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 1:15pm ET | $110.37 | 47 | $5,187.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 1:20pm ET | $111.52 | 47 | $5,241.44 | $5,293.65 |
+$54.05 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.49 | 46 | $5,266.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $114.85 | 46 | $5,283.10 | $5,310.21 |
+$16.56 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:25pm ET | $115.88 | 45 | $5,214.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.37 | 45 | $5,191.43 | $5,287.03 |
$-23.18 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $112.19 | 47 | $5,272.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 12:25pm ET | $111.90 | 47 | $5,259.11 | $5,273.45 |
$-13.59 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $111.39 | 47 | $5,235.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.78 | 47 | $5,206.80 | $5,244.91 |
$-28.53 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $107.26 | 48 | $5,148.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $107.10 | 48 | $5,140.80 | $5,237.23 |
$-7.68 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $106.71 | 49 | $5,228.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $105.51 | 49 | $5,169.75 | $5,178.19 |
$-59.04 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
54m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.26 | 45 | $5,141.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $113.27 | 45 | $5,097.15 | $5,133.64 |
$-44.55 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $115.31 | 44 | $5,073.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $114.70 | 44 | $5,046.58 | $5,106.62 |
$-27.02 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:25pm ET | $110.18 | 46 | $5,068.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $109.47 | 46 | $5,035.62 | $5,073.96 |
$-32.66 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:40pm ET | $107.30 | 47 | $5,043.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $106.49 | 47 | $5,004.80 | $5,035.66 |
$-38.30 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:05pm ET | $102.74 | 49 | $5,034.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $104.01 | 49 | $5,096.49 | $5,097.89 |
+$62.23 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $117.13 | 43 | $5,036.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.23 | 43 | $5,126.90 | $5,188.20 |
+$90.31 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $128.00 | 40 | $5,120.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $125.75 | 40 | $5,030.00 | $5,098.20 |
$-90.00 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $124.47 | 40 | $4,978.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:15pm ET | $129.01 | 40 | $5,160.40 | $5,279.80 |
+$181.60 (+3.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:55pm ET | $128.55 | 41 | $5,270.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $127.72 | 41 | $5,236.52 | $5,245.77 |
$-34.03 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.94 | 40 | $5,157.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:25pm ET | $132.26 | 40 | $5,290.60 | $5,378.77 |
+$133.00 (+2.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $123.96 | 43 | $5,330.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $123.71 | 43 | $5,319.53 | $5,368.02 |
$-10.75 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $120.09 | 44 | $5,283.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $119.61 | 44 | $5,262.62 | $5,346.68 |
$-21.34 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $113.61 | 47 | $5,339.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $113.95 | 47 | $5,355.65 | $5,362.90 |
+$16.21 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $122.81 | 43 | $5,280.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $121.63 | 43 | $5,229.96 | $5,312.24 |
$-50.66 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $115.09 | 46 | $5,294.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $115.70 | 46 | $5,322.20 | $5,340.30 |
+$28.06 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.42 | 42 | $5,309.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $125.57 | 42 | $5,273.94 | $5,304.60 |
$-35.70 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $129.20 | 41 | $5,297.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:25am ET | $127.77 | 41 | $5,238.67 | $5,246.27 |
$-58.33 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:55pm ET | $136.10 | 38 | $5,171.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET | $136.71 | 38 | $5,194.98 | $5,269.45 |
+$23.18 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $160.96 | 32 | $5,150.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $158.79 | 32 | $5,081.44 | $5,200.17 |
$-69.28 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $145.02 | 35 | $5,075.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $144.28 | 35 | $5,049.80 | $5,174.27 |
$-25.90 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.74 | 35 | $5,030.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.98 | 35 | $5,459.30 | $5,602.84 |
+$428.57 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:30pm ET | $147.93 | 37 | $5,473.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $148.75 | 37 | $5,503.75 | $5,633.18 |
+$30.34 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:40am ET | $147.40 | 38 | $5,601.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $149.04 | 38 | $5,663.33 | $5,695.50 |
+$62.32 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $151.27 | 37 | $5,596.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:45pm ET | $149.80 | 37 | $5,542.60 | $5,641.11 |
$-54.39 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $160.60 | 35 | $5,621.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.75 | 35 | $5,556.18 | $5,576.29 |
$-64.82 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.53 | 33 | $5,429.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $165.78 | 33 | $5,470.74 | $5,617.44 |
+$41.15 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $175.73 | 31 | $5,447.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $174.50 | 31 | $5,409.50 | $5,579.31 |
$-38.13 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:40pm ET | $205.50 | 27 | $5,548.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $204.09 | 27 | $5,510.43 | $5,541.24 |
$-38.07 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $234.23 | 23 | $5,387.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.49 | 23 | $5,163.27 | $5,317.22 |
$-224.02 (-4.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.71 | 26 | $5,270.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $194.24 | 26 | $5,050.37 | $5,097.13 |
$-220.09 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $213.04 | 23 | $4,899.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $212.91 | 23 | $4,896.93 | $5,094.26 |
$-2.88 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.92 | 22 | $5,036.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $222.65 | 22 | $4,898.19 | $4,956.27 |
$-137.99 (-2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 11:35am ET | $215.26 | 23 | $4,951.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $214.59 | 23 | $4,935.58 | $4,940.76 |
$-15.51 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $212.06 | 23 | $4,877.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $212.34 | 23 | $4,883.71 | $4,947.09 |
+$6.33 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:40pm ET | $222.35 | 22 | $4,891.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $212.00 | 22 | $4,663.98 | $4,719.26 |
$-227.83 (-4.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 11:30am ET | $209.02 | 22 | $4,598.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $207.96 | 22 | $4,575.23 | $4,696.05 |
$-23.21 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.38 | 19 | $4,567.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 1:05pm ET | $252.60 | 19 | $4,799.40 | $4,928.26 |
+$232.21 (+5.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.09 | 15 | $4,636.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 1:30pm ET | $316.09 | 15 | $4,741.35 | $5,033.26 |
+$105.00 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 2:30pm ET | $305.15 | 16 | $4,882.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:00pm ET | $304.10 | 16 | $4,865.60 | $5,016.46 |
$-16.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 3:40pm ET | $352.64 | 14 | $4,936.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $395.64 | 14 | $5,538.96 | $5,618.46 |
+$602.00 (+12.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $406.32 | 13 | $5,282.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $410.00 | 13 | $5,330.00 | $5,666.30 |
+$47.84 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET | $390.24 | 14 | $5,463.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $391.03 | 14 | $5,474.42 | $5,677.29 |
+$10.99 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $354.78 | 16 | $5,676.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 12:25pm ET | $353.02 | 16 | $5,648.32 | $5,649.13 |
$-28.16 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $317.11 | 17 | $5,390.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $320.74 | 17 | $5,452.58 | $5,710.80 |
+$61.67 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $332.00 | 17 | $5,644.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $362.85 | 17 | $6,168.45 | $6,235.25 |
+$524.45 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $381.33 | 16 | $6,101.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $411.95 | 16 | $6,591.12 | $6,725.09 |
+$489.84 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held |
|
| 57 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $416.00 | 16 | $6,656.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $403.71 | 16 | $6,459.36 | $6,528.45 |
$-196.64 (-3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,528.45
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,471.55
Total Return:
-34.72%