Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:30:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
8.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 18.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 17.8

30-Day Momentum

14
+0.4%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.4 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,768
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
132 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,678.26
Current Value
$11,074.63
Period P&L
$396.36
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
64
Winners / Losers
22 / 42
Best Trade
+4.35%
Worst Trade
-1.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
9.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,380,094.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$396.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$396.36
Gross Return
+3.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 132 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 64 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,678.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 1:30pm ET $365.29 29 $10,593.41
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $363.88 29 $10,552.38 $10,591.70 $-41.04
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:45am ET $365.78 28 $10,241.84
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:45pm ET $367.83 28 $10,299.10 $10,648.96 +$57.26
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET $374.92 28 $10,497.62
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 11:40am ET $374.39 28 $10,482.78 $10,634.12 $-14.84
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 12:35pm ET $359.44 29 $10,423.76
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 1:20pm ET $358.16 29 $10,386.50 $10,596.85 $-37.27
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:35pm ET $338.60 31 $10,496.60
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:40pm ET $341.39 31 $10,583.09 $10,683.34 +$86.49
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 2:30pm ET $344.00 31 $10,664.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:45pm ET $342.50 31 $10,617.50 $10,636.84 $-46.50
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:40am ET $353.34 30 $10,600.20
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $353.52 30 $10,605.45 $10,642.09 +$5.25
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:45pm ET $365.95 29 $10,612.55
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:55pm ET $365.61 29 $10,602.69 $10,632.23 $-9.86
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 11:35am ET $364.74 29 $10,577.32
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 12:35pm ET $364.06 29 $10,557.74 $10,612.66 $-19.58
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 2:00pm ET $362.03 29 $10,498.87
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $360.80 29 $10,463.20 $10,576.99 $-35.67
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $371.58 28 $10,404.24
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 12:15pm ET $371.37 28 $10,398.34 $10,571.09 $-5.90
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 1:00pm ET $373.39 28 $10,454.92
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 1:45pm ET $372.08 28 $10,418.10 $10,534.27 $-36.82
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 2:00pm ET $362.51 29 $10,512.69
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $362.35 29 $10,508.15 $10,529.73 $-4.54
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:35am ET $365.79 28 $10,242.12
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 1:45pm ET $381.71 28 $10,687.88 $10,975.49 +$445.76
(+4.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 1:55pm ET $381.25 28 $10,675.00
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 2:00pm ET $380.86 28 $10,664.08 $10,964.57 $-10.92
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:05pm ET $381.11 28 $10,670.94
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:45am ET $380.40 28 $10,651.20 $10,944.83 $-19.74
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 2:15pm ET $376.28 29 $10,912.12
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:35pm ET $375.94 29 $10,902.26 $10,934.97 $-9.86
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $379.48 28 $10,625.44
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:05pm ET $380.70 28 $10,659.60 $10,969.13 +$34.16
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 10:45am ET $382.57 28 $10,711.96
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 1:00pm ET $383.11 28 $10,727.08 $10,984.25 +$15.12
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:40pm ET $377.22 29 $10,939.38
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 1:45pm ET $376.48 29 $10,917.92 $10,962.79 $-21.46
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 1:55pm ET $374.40 29 $10,857.60
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 2:05pm ET $374.15 29 $10,850.35 $10,955.54 $-7.25
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET $370.41 29 $10,741.89
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:50am ET $369.59 29 $10,718.11 $10,931.76 $-23.78
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:00am ET $381.20 28 $10,673.46
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:40pm ET $384.19 28 $10,757.32 $11,015.62 +$83.86
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $381.68 28 $10,687.04
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:00pm ET $381.54 28 $10,683.12 $11,011.70 $-3.92
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $384.01 28 $10,752.28
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $382.96 28 $10,722.88 $10,982.30 $-29.40
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $360.18 30 $10,805.40
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $359.86 30 $10,795.72 $10,972.61 $-9.68
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:40pm ET $356.32 30 $10,689.60
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 11:05am ET $358.29 30 $10,748.79 $11,031.80 +$59.19
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $355.93 30 $10,677.95
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $358.29 30 $10,748.70 $11,102.56 +$70.75
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $360.31 30 $10,809.30
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET $361.40 30 $10,842.00 $11,135.26 +$32.70
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:45am ET $358.48 31 $11,112.88
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:50am ET $357.93 31 $11,095.83 $11,118.21 $-17.05
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $361.71 30 $10,851.30
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $357.61 30 $10,728.15 $10,995.06 $-123.15
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $347.33 31 $10,767.23
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:30am ET $350.82 31 $10,875.42 $11,103.25 +$108.19
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $349.54 31 $10,835.59
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $353.61 31 $10,962.06 $11,229.73 +$126.48
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $355.58 31 $11,022.98
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $354.49 31 $10,989.34 $11,196.10 $-33.63
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $360.53 31 $11,176.43
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $359.14 31 $11,133.34 $11,153.01 $-43.09
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $363.82 30 $10,914.60
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $365.39 30 $10,961.70 $11,200.11 +$47.10
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $356.13 31 $11,040.03
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $355.02 31 $11,005.47 $11,165.55 $-34.56
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $341.80 32 $10,937.60
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $345.26 32 $11,048.44 $11,276.39 +$110.84
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.6h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:55am ET $341.32 33 $11,263.56
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:20am ET $341.73 33 $11,277.09 $11,289.92 +$13.53
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $319.43 35 $11,180.05
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:05pm ET $321.01 35 $11,235.35 $11,345.22 +$55.30
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $330.12 34 $11,224.08
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:45am ET $332.98 34 $11,321.49 $11,442.63 +$97.41
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $312.41 36 $11,246.76
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $307.10 36 $11,055.42 $11,251.29 $-191.34
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:55am ET $301.10 37 $11,140.70
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $300.08 37 $11,102.96 $11,213.55 $-37.74
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $304.33 36 $10,955.70
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:45am ET $303.62 36 $10,930.32 $11,188.17 $-25.38
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $304.02 36 $10,944.90
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $301.06 36 $10,838.16 $11,081.43 $-106.74
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
6h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $303.86 36 $10,938.96
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:25am ET $301.64 36 $10,859.22 $11,001.69 $-79.74
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $297.84 36 $10,722.24
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $296.40 36 $10,670.40 $10,949.85 $-51.84
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $293.33 37 $10,853.03
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $294.26 37 $10,887.62 $10,984.44 +$34.59
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 11:05am ET $302.01 36 $10,872.36
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $301.46 36 $10,852.56 $10,964.64 $-19.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:40pm ET $300.92 36 $10,832.94
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:05pm ET $300.27 36 $10,809.90 $10,941.60 $-23.04
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:40am ET $295.79 36 $10,648.35
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $299.19 36 $10,770.75 $11,064.00 +$122.40
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $304.71 36 $10,969.56
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $304.00 36 $10,944.00 $11,038.44 $-25.56
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $300.28 36 $10,810.08
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $300.04 36 $10,801.29 $11,029.65 $-8.79
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET $305.12 36 $10,984.32
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $303.49 36 $10,925.82 $10,971.15 $-58.50
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $315.83 34 $10,738.22
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $315.43 34 $10,724.69 $10,957.62 $-13.53
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $314.35 34 $10,687.73
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $314.14 34 $10,680.93 $10,950.82 $-6.80
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $327.49 33 $10,807.17
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $326.92 33 $10,788.36 $10,932.01 $-18.81
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET $332.01 32 $10,624.16
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:00pm ET $331.66 32 $10,613.12 $10,920.97 $-11.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $331.12 32 $10,595.84
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET $331.96 32 $10,622.88 $10,948.01 +$27.04
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $314.35 34 $10,687.90
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:20pm ET $314.30 34 $10,686.23 $10,946.34 $-1.67
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $318.15 34 $10,817.27
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:15pm ET $318.23 34 $10,819.82 $10,948.89 +$2.55
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:25pm ET $321.30 34 $10,924.03
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $321.16 34 $10,919.44 $10,944.30 $-4.59
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
63 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:15am ET $320.90 34 $10,910.49
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $319.77 34 $10,872.01 $10,905.82 $-38.48
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
64 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $315.81 34 $10,737.54
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:30am ET $320.77 34 $10,906.35 $11,074.63 +$168.81
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,074.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,074.63
Total Return: +10.75%
Back to Grace Crossover