Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

15
+0.5%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.7 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,650
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
136 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,586.57
Current Value
$9,944.43
Period P&L
$357.85
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
58
Winners / Losers
19 / 39
Best Trade
+2.53%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
18.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,129,865.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$357.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$357.85
Gross Return
+3.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 136 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 58 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,586.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 12:05pm ET $471.01 20 $9,420.20
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 2:10pm ET $482.92 20 $9,658.40 $9,824.78 +$238.20
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:20am ET $472.65 20 $9,453.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 1:20pm ET $472.32 20 $9,446.40 $9,818.18 $-6.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:45am ET $462.08 21 $9,703.58
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:00pm ET $461.54 21 $9,692.34 $9,806.94 $-11.23
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 1:00pm ET $461.24 21 $9,686.04
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 2:25pm ET $459.83 21 $9,656.43 $9,777.33 $-29.61
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 2:55pm ET $460.82 21 $9,677.22
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:30pm ET $459.26 21 $9,644.46 $9,744.57 $-32.76
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:20am ET $463.75 21 $9,738.75
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:20pm ET $464.50 21 $9,754.50 $9,760.32 +$15.75
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 2:10pm ET $475.18 20 $9,503.60
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:05pm ET $474.95 20 $9,499.00 $9,755.73 $-4.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
54m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 11:55am ET $475.27 20 $9,505.40
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 12:10pm ET $475.06 20 $9,501.20 $9,751.53 $-4.20
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 12:10pm ET $475.17 20 $9,503.41
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 1:00pm ET $474.43 20 $9,488.50 $9,736.62 $-14.91
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:35am ET $480.00 20 $9,600.00
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:50am ET $479.30 20 $9,586.00 $9,722.62 $-14.00
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 12:55pm ET $480.57 20 $9,611.40
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:05pm ET $480.43 20 $9,608.60 $9,719.82 $-2.80
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:15pm ET $477.85 20 $9,557.00
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 12:10pm ET $478.88 20 $9,577.60 $9,740.42 +$20.60
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:05pm ET $479.68 20 $9,593.60
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:25am ET $487.51 20 $9,750.20 $9,897.02 +$156.60
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:00pm ET $484.81 20 $9,696.20
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET $484.00 20 $9,680.00 $9,880.82 $-16.20
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 2:55pm ET $480.69 20 $9,613.80
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 3:00pm ET $480.37 20 $9,607.40 $9,874.42 $-6.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:30pm ET $481.66 20 $9,633.20
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $480.47 20 $9,609.40 $9,850.62 $-23.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:40am ET $482.37 20 $9,647.40
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 1:45pm ET $483.58 20 $9,671.60 $9,874.82 +$24.20
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET $484.91 20 $9,698.20
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:15am ET $486.75 20 $9,735.00 $9,911.62 +$36.80
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:20pm ET $484.75 20 $9,695.00
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 2:15pm ET $484.45 20 $9,689.00 $9,905.62 $-6.00
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
54m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:30pm ET $484.07 20 $9,681.30
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $483.61 20 $9,672.20 $9,896.52 $-9.10
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $481.34 20 $9,626.78
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:05pm ET $481.12 20 $9,622.40 $9,892.14 $-4.38
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:05am ET $491.43 20 $9,828.60
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:50am ET $493.81 20 $9,876.20 $9,939.74 +$47.60
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:10am ET $491.38 20 $9,827.60
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $492.59 20 $9,851.80 $9,963.94 +$24.20
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:00am ET $493.88 20 $9,877.60
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $494.13 20 $9,882.60 $9,968.94 +$5.00
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $489.94 20 $9,798.80
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $489.25 20 $9,785.00 $9,955.14 $-13.80
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:20am ET $494.01 20 $9,880.20
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $493.89 20 $9,877.80 $9,952.74 $-2.40
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $486.66 20 $9,733.20
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET $487.64 20 $9,752.80 $9,972.34 +$19.60
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $495.42 20 $9,908.40
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $494.69 20 $9,893.80 $9,957.74 $-14.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:50am ET $492.57 20 $9,851.40
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:55am ET $492.31 20 $9,846.20 $9,952.54 $-5.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $489.69 20 $9,793.80
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET $489.32 20 $9,786.40 $9,945.14 $-7.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 11:45am ET $489.14 20 $9,782.80
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 12:55pm ET $487.97 20 $9,759.40 $9,921.74 $-23.40
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $487.59 20 $9,751.80
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $493.84 20 $9,876.80 $10,046.74 +$125.00
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $493.38 20 $9,867.60
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $491.79 20 $9,835.80 $10,014.94 $-31.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $494.64 20 $9,892.70
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $498.73 20 $9,974.60 $10,096.84 +$81.90
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:35am ET $503.96 20 $10,079.20
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $503.22 20 $10,064.40 $10,082.04 $-14.80
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $496.27 20 $9,925.40
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $494.31 20 $9,886.20 $10,042.84 $-39.20
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $497.47 20 $9,949.40
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:30am ET $493.48 20 $9,869.60 $9,963.04 $-79.80
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $493.55 20 $9,871.00
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:35am ET $492.12 20 $9,842.40 $9,934.44 $-28.60
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:00am ET $495.52 20 $9,910.40
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:35am ET $494.65 20 $9,893.00 $9,917.04 $-17.40
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:35am ET $490.39 20 $9,807.90
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $488.17 20 $9,763.50 $9,872.64 $-44.40
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:40am ET $481.14 20 $9,622.80
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $485.43 20 $9,708.60 $9,958.44 +$85.80
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:05am ET $475.68 20 $9,513.60
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $474.23 20 $9,484.70 $9,929.54 $-28.90
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $472.12 21 $9,914.52
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $479.13 21 $10,061.73 $10,076.75 +$147.21
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:25pm ET $474.51 21 $9,964.64
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $473.98 21 $9,953.58 $10,065.69 $-11.06
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $469.20 21 $9,853.20
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $468.86 21 $9,846.06 $10,058.55 $-7.14
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $470.42 21 $9,878.82
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $470.25 21 $9,875.25 $10,054.98 $-3.57
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $466.74 21 $9,801.54
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $458.52 21 $9,628.92 $9,882.36 $-172.62
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $463.78 21 $9,739.38
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $461.99 21 $9,701.79 $9,844.77 $-37.59
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:00am ET $464.74 21 $9,759.54
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $467.21 21 $9,811.41 $9,896.64 +$51.87
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.2d held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $466.09 21 $9,787.89
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $464.14 21 $9,746.94 $9,855.69 $-40.95
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $478.23 20 $9,564.60
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:30am ET $477.99 20 $9,559.72 $9,850.81 $-4.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $479.46 20 $9,589.30
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $484.75 20 $9,695.00 $9,956.51 +$105.70
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $483.69 20 $9,673.80
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET $483.96 20 $9,679.20 $9,961.91 +$5.40
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET $493.90 20 $9,878.00
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $493.64 20 $9,872.80 $9,956.71 $-5.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $495.02 20 $9,900.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:50am ET $494.68 20 $9,893.60 $9,949.91 $-6.80
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $492.81 20 $9,856.20
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $491.29 20 $9,825.80 $9,919.51 $-30.40
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $491.60 20 $9,832.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $491.82 20 $9,836.40 $9,923.91 +$4.40
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
58 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $496.89 19 $9,440.91
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $497.97 19 $9,461.43 $9,944.43 +$20.52
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,944.43
Net Profit/Loss: $-55.57
Total Return: -0.56%
Back to Grace Crossover