Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:21:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

27
+1.9%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 33.0 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,094
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,624.40
Current Value
$8,636.36
Period P&L
$-988.07
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
20 / 40
Best Trade
+2.01%
Worst Trade
-2.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
12.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,080,797.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-988.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-988.07
Gross Return
-10.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,624.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:20pm ET $305.50 31 $9,470.50
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:55am ET $306.37 31 $9,497.47 $9,651.42 +$26.97
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:50am ET $304.39 31 $9,436.09
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 1:45pm ET $305.55 31 $9,472.05 $9,687.38 +$35.96
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:40am ET $293.60 32 $9,395.04
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:50am ET $292.72 32 $9,367.04 $9,659.38 $-28.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:25pm ET $289.52 33 $9,554.19
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 2:30pm ET $289.68 33 $9,559.44 $9,664.63 +$5.25
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 2:30pm ET $292.92 32 $9,373.44
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:35pm ET $292.02 32 $9,344.64 $9,635.83 $-28.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $301.82 31 $9,356.27
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 2:45pm ET $305.19 31 $9,460.89 $9,740.46 +$104.63
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 3:00pm ET $303.85 32 $9,723.32
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:10am ET $302.85 32 $9,691.20 $9,708.34 $-32.12
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 11:55am ET $304.98 31 $9,454.38
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:10pm ET $304.90 31 $9,451.90 $9,705.86 $-2.48
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:45am ET $302.70 32 $9,686.51
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:15pm ET $302.62 32 $9,683.84 $9,703.18 $-2.67
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 1:25pm ET $307.92 31 $9,545.37
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:20pm ET $306.76 31 $9,509.41 $9,667.22 $-35.96
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
54m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $313.12 30 $9,393.45
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 12:05pm ET $310.37 30 $9,310.95 $9,584.72 $-82.50
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 1:25pm ET $312.23 30 $9,366.90
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 1:50pm ET $311.41 30 $9,342.30 $9,560.12 $-24.60
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:35am ET $313.11 30 $9,393.15
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:25am ET $311.44 30 $9,343.20 $9,510.17 $-49.95
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 12:40pm ET $306.83 30 $9,204.90
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 2:40pm ET $307.34 30 $9,220.20 $9,525.47 +$15.30
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:55pm ET $309.64 30 $9,289.20
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $308.68 30 $9,260.40 $9,496.67 $-28.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:00am ET $304.74 31 $9,446.94
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 1:35pm ET $304.95 31 $9,453.45 $9,503.18 +$6.51
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:30pm ET $301.43 31 $9,344.18
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:35am ET $302.48 31 $9,376.88 $9,535.89 +$32.71
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:30am ET $302.93 31 $9,390.74
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $303.52 31 $9,409.12 $9,554.27 +$18.38
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:05am ET $304.62 31 $9,443.22
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 11:15am ET $303.92 31 $9,421.37 $9,532.41 $-21.85
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 1:10pm ET $303.98 31 $9,423.38
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 1:15pm ET $303.83 31 $9,418.73 $9,527.76 $-4.65
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:45pm ET $297.28 32 $9,512.96
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:55pm ET $296.66 32 $9,493.12 $9,507.92 $-19.84
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $296.12 32 $9,475.68
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $295.72 32 $9,463.04 $9,495.28 $-12.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:50am ET $299.72 31 $9,291.17
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $300.24 31 $9,307.29 $9,511.40 +$16.12
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $304.48 31 $9,438.88
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $302.39 31 $9,374.09 $9,446.61 $-64.79
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $308.39 30 $9,251.70
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:00pm ET $307.12 30 $9,213.68 $9,408.58 $-38.02
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $301.86 31 $9,357.66
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $306.05 31 $9,487.55 $9,538.47 +$129.89
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET $295.84 32 $9,466.88
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $294.82 32 $9,434.24 $9,505.83 $-32.64
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:40pm ET $296.90 32 $9,500.72
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:10pm ET $296.68 32 $9,493.76 $9,498.88 $-6.96
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $292.48 32 $9,359.36
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:45pm ET $291.80 32 $9,337.60 $9,477.12 $-21.76
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:55am ET $296.40 31 $9,188.40
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:00am ET $295.70 31 $9,166.70 $9,455.42 $-21.70
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:25am ET $294.14 32 $9,412.48
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:50am ET $293.22 32 $9,383.04 $9,425.98 $-29.44
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:45pm ET $307.74 30 $9,232.20
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET $301.38 30 $9,041.40 $9,235.18 $-190.80
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $289.69 31 $8,980.39
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $283.32 31 $8,782.92 $9,037.71 $-197.47
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:45am ET $288.28 31 $8,936.68
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:50am ET $287.79 31 $8,921.49 $9,022.52 $-15.19
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $294.48 30 $8,834.25
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $296.67 30 $8,900.10 $9,088.37 +$65.85
(+0.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET $258.77 35 $9,056.78
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $258.01 35 $9,030.35 $9,061.94 $-26.43
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $260.39 34 $8,853.26
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $256.00 34 $8,704.00 $8,912.68 $-149.26
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $256.89 34 $8,734.26
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:00pm ET $256.73 34 $8,728.82 $8,907.24 $-5.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $235.34 37 $8,707.40
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:40am ET $231.34 37 $8,559.58 $8,759.42 $-147.82
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $238.29 36 $8,578.44
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $238.05 36 $8,569.80 $8,750.78 $-8.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:30am ET $238.55 36 $8,587.80
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $238.25 36 $8,577.00 $8,739.98 $-10.80
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $239.21 36 $8,611.56
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $238.01 36 $8,568.36 $8,696.78 $-43.20
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $257.91 33 $8,511.03
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $255.84 33 $8,442.72 $8,628.47 $-68.31
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $254.39 33 $8,394.87
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $253.46 33 $8,364.26 $8,597.86 $-30.61
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $248.85 34 $8,460.90
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $247.25 34 $8,406.50 $8,543.46 $-54.40
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:20am ET $247.73 34 $8,422.73
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $247.40 34 $8,411.43 $8,532.16 $-11.30
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $253.94 33 $8,380.02
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:25am ET $250.76 33 $8,275.08 $8,427.22 $-104.94
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $247.32 34 $8,409.05
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET $248.75 34 $8,457.50 $8,475.67 +$48.45
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $240.74 35 $8,425.90
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET $240.81 35 $8,428.35 $8,478.12 +$2.45
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $236.17 35 $8,265.95
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET $237.49 35 $8,312.15 $8,524.32 +$46.20
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $245.21 34 $8,336.97
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:05am ET $243.60 34 $8,282.40 $8,469.75 $-54.57
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $245.98 34 $8,363.32
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $246.05 34 $8,365.70 $8,472.13 +$2.38
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $244.63 34 $8,317.59
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $245.17 34 $8,335.78 $8,490.32 +$18.19
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $237.09 35 $8,298.15
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $236.18 35 $8,266.30 $8,458.47 $-31.85
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $233.43 36 $8,403.30
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:15am ET $232.68 36 $8,376.48 $8,431.65 $-26.82
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $240.10 35 $8,403.50
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $244.92 35 $8,572.20 $8,600.35 +$168.70
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $250.72 34 $8,524.48
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET $252.94 34 $8,599.85 $8,675.72 +$75.37
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $253.28 34 $8,611.51
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:50am ET $255.00 34 $8,670.00 $8,734.21 +$58.49
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $228.44 38 $8,680.72
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $229.56 38 $8,723.28 $8,776.77 +$42.56
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
60 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:15am ET $233.04 37 $8,622.66
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $229.25 37 $8,482.25 $8,636.36 $-140.41
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,636.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,363.64
Total Return: -13.64%
Back to Grace Crossover