Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.9/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

41
+3.7%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.2 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,469
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,023.48
Current Value
$13,413.62
Period P&L
$1,390.12
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
62
Winners / Losers
22 / 40
Best Trade
+6.05%
Worst Trade
-2.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
14.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,557,205.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,390.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,390.12
Gross Return
+11.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 62 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,023.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:20pm ET $912.97 13 $11,868.61
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 1:35pm ET $968.19 13 $12,586.41 $12,741.28 +$717.79
(+6.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $1,006.41 12 $12,076.92
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 11:30am ET $1,004.11 12 $12,049.32 $12,713.68 $-27.60
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 2:30pm ET $1,028.96 12 $12,347.49
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:15pm ET $1,023.64 12 $12,283.62 $12,649.82 $-63.87
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:35am ET $1,022.96 12 $12,275.52
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 1:50pm ET $1,025.13 12 $12,301.56 $12,675.86 +$26.04
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $1,039.00 12 $12,468.00
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 2:25pm ET $1,048.48 12 $12,581.70 $12,789.56 +$113.70
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:40am ET $1,050.35 12 $12,604.14
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $1,060.82 12 $12,729.84 $12,915.26 +$125.70
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $1,067.98 12 $12,815.76
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 2:15pm ET $1,098.35 12 $13,180.20 $13,279.70 +$364.44
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 2:30pm ET $1,105.80 12 $13,269.63
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $1,090.65 12 $13,087.74 $13,097.81 $-181.89
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET $1,066.67 12 $12,800.04
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:10am ET $1,057.46 12 $12,689.46 $12,987.23 $-110.58
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 11:35am ET $1,039.84 12 $12,478.08
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:45am ET $1,035.58 12 $12,426.96 $12,936.11 $-51.12
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 12:55pm ET $1,015.03 12 $12,180.40
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 1:55pm ET $1,013.50 12 $12,162.00 $12,917.71 $-18.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 2:40pm ET $1,010.00 12 $12,120.01
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 2:50pm ET $1,009.27 12 $12,111.18 $12,908.89 $-8.83
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:00pm ET $994.98 12 $11,939.76
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:50am ET $997.02 12 $11,964.24 $12,933.37 +$24.48
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $1,010.31 12 $12,123.72
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:45am ET $989.08 12 $11,868.96 $12,678.61 $-254.76
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 12:05pm ET $1,019.35 12 $12,232.20
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET $1,049.04 12 $12,588.48 $13,034.89 +$356.28
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:55am ET $1,056.09 12 $12,673.08
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:35pm ET $1,052.01 12 $12,624.12 $12,985.93 $-48.96
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 2:05pm ET $1,067.25 12 $12,807.00
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:15pm ET $1,064.33 12 $12,771.90 $12,950.83 $-35.10
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 2:55pm ET $1,071.21 12 $12,854.46
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:10pm ET $1,069.62 12 $12,835.44 $12,931.81 $-19.02
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 11:15am ET $1,077.83 11 $11,856.13
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 11:20am ET $1,075.34 11 $11,828.74 $12,904.42 $-27.39
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 1:00pm ET $1,076.98 11 $11,846.78
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:55am ET $1,073.59 11 $11,809.54 $12,867.18 $-37.24
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:05am ET $1,080.74 11 $11,888.14
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 11:10am ET $1,078.05 11 $11,858.55 $12,837.59 $-29.59
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 12:30pm ET $1,079.40 11 $11,873.40
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 12:55pm ET $1,078.75 11 $11,866.25 $12,830.44 $-7.15
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:15pm ET $1,071.38 11 $11,785.18
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET $1,058.83 11 $11,647.16 $12,692.42 $-138.02
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $1,057.67 12 $12,692.04
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $1,103.46 12 $13,241.46 $13,241.84 +$549.42
(+4.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,086.48 12 $13,037.76
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:50am ET $1,083.91 12 $13,006.92 $13,211.00 $-30.84
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET $1,072.23 12 $12,866.70
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,068.00 12 $12,816.00 $13,160.30 $-50.70
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,082.98 12 $12,995.76
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,079.10 12 $12,949.20 $13,113.74 $-46.56
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,031.44 12 $12,377.28
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,031.03 12 $12,372.36 $13,108.82 $-4.92
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $1,041.70 12 $12,500.34
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,039.08 12 $12,468.90 $13,077.38 $-31.44
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $1,075.30 12 $12,903.60
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:30am ET $1,082.40 12 $12,988.80 $13,162.58 +$85.20
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,072.69 12 $12,872.28
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,069.08 12 $12,828.96 $13,119.26 $-43.32
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
54m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $1,064.01 12 $12,768.12
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,061.50 12 $12,738.00 $13,089.14 $-30.12
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $1,010.54 12 $12,126.48
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:35am ET $1,028.52 12 $12,342.24 $13,304.90 +$215.76
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET $1,048.88 12 $12,586.56
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $1,050.76 12 $12,609.06 $13,327.40 +$22.50
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,007.48 13 $13,097.24
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,001.82 13 $13,023.66 $13,253.82 $-73.58
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $1,037.76 12 $12,453.14
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,030.36 12 $12,364.32 $13,164.99 $-88.82
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,052.71 12 $12,632.58
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,050.40 12 $12,604.74 $13,137.15 $-27.84
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $1,047.41 12 $12,568.92
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET $1,047.19 12 $12,566.28 $13,134.51 $-2.64
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:15am ET $1,016.03 12 $12,192.36
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:55am ET $1,018.04 12 $12,216.54 $13,158.69 +$24.18
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,052.33 12 $12,627.96
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $1,039.13 12 $12,469.56 $13,000.29 $-158.40
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET $1,048.86 12 $12,586.33
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:10am ET $1,043.68 12 $12,524.16 $12,938.12 $-62.17
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,011.38 12 $12,136.52
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,037.38 12 $12,448.56 $13,250.16 +$312.04
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,006.51 13 $13,084.57
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,000.47 13 $13,006.05 $13,171.64 $-78.52
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $1,004.49 13 $13,058.37
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,002.04 13 $13,026.52 $13,139.79 $-31.85
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $972.23 13 $12,638.99
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $967.49 13 $12,577.37 $13,078.17 $-61.62
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $989.72 13 $12,866.30
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $995.79 13 $12,945.27 $13,157.14 +$78.97
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:05am ET $999.00 13 $12,987.00
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:30am ET $995.00 13 $12,935.00 $13,105.14 $-52.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $978.41 13 $12,719.33
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:25am ET $988.99 13 $12,856.87 $13,242.68 +$137.54
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $984.04 13 $12,792.52
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $984.60 13 $12,799.80 $13,249.96 +$7.28
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:00am ET $917.21 14 $12,840.92
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $918.18 14 $12,854.52 $13,263.56 +$13.60
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $917.48 14 $12,844.72
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $901.53 14 $12,621.49 $13,040.33 $-223.23
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $906.24 14 $12,687.43
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $901.59 14 $12,622.26 $12,975.16 $-65.17
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $888.73 14 $12,442.18
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:30am ET $887.61 14 $12,426.54 $12,959.52 $-15.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $936.06 13 $12,168.78
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $934.52 13 $12,148.70 $12,939.44 $-20.08
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET $916.97 14 $12,837.58
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $927.17 14 $12,980.38 $13,082.24 +$142.80
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:50am ET $949.86 13 $12,348.18
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $957.51 13 $12,447.63 $13,181.69 +$99.45
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $930.32 14 $13,024.48
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $934.63 14 $13,084.75 $13,241.96 +$60.27
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET $910.50 14 $12,747.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $902.86 14 $12,640.04 $13,135.00 $-106.96
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:05am ET $923.97 14 $12,935.65
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $926.48 14 $12,970.72 $13,170.07 +$35.07
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $881.98 14 $12,347.72
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $881.26 14 $12,337.64 $13,159.99 $-10.08
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:10pm ET $854.53 15 $12,818.02
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $851.54 15 $12,773.10 $13,115.07 $-44.92
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
62 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $962.42 13 $12,511.46
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $985.39 13 $12,810.01 $13,413.62 +$298.55
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,413.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,413.62
Total Return: +34.14%
Back to Grace Crossover