Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:16:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
16.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 33.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 33.2

30-Day Momentum

8
+0.2%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 9.9 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,342
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$21,449.45
Current Value
$19,870.80
Period P&L
$-1,578.64
Max Drawdown
-35.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
62
Winners / Losers
18 / 44
Best Trade
+9.81%
Worst Trade
-6.50%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
10.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,539,647.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,578.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,578.64
Gross Return
-7.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 62 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $21,449.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 12:15pm ET $15.83 1,354 $21,433.82
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 1:45pm ET $15.80 1,354 $21,399.70 $21,415.35 $-34.12
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 1:55pm ET $14.99 1,429 $21,413.57
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 2:10pm ET $14.94 1,429 $21,342.12 $21,343.90 $-71.45
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:30pm ET $14.22 1,501 $21,336.72
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $13.86 1,501 $20,796.36 $20,803.54 $-540.36
(-2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:35am ET $12.65 1,645 $20,801.52
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 12:25pm ET $12.49 1,645 $20,538.65 $20,540.67 $-262.87
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 3:45pm ET $11.38 1,804 $20,529.52
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:30pm ET $11.66 1,804 $21,034.64 $21,045.79 +$505.12
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 2:55pm ET $11.10 1,896 $21,036.12
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET $11.18 1,896 $21,197.28 $21,206.95 +$161.16
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET $10.26 2,067 $21,197.09
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:15pm ET $10.03 2,067 $20,721.68 $20,731.54 $-475.41
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 12:05pm ET $10.91 1,900 $20,729.00
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:05pm ET $10.79 1,900 $20,491.50 $20,494.04 $-237.50
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $11.70 1,751 $20,486.70
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 11:30am ET $11.61 1,751 $20,320.36 $20,327.69 $-166.34
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:55am ET $11.98 1,697 $20,321.58
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 1:35pm ET $11.96 1,697 $20,287.64 $20,293.75 $-33.94
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 2:10pm ET $12.17 1,667 $20,289.56
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:50am ET $12.16 1,667 $20,262.39 $20,266.58 $-27.17
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 2:55pm ET $11.87 1,707 $20,262.09
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:45pm ET $11.70 1,707 $19,963.37 $19,967.86 $-298.72
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 2:55pm ET $12.39 1,612 $19,964.62
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:20pm ET $12.22 1,612 $19,692.03 $19,695.27 $-272.59
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:50am ET $11.54 1,706 $19,687.24
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:40am ET $11.79 1,706 $20,107.26 $20,115.28 +$420.02
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:00pm ET $10.96 1,836 $20,114.30
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 3:15pm ET $10.73 1,836 $19,691.10 $19,692.09 $-423.20
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:20pm ET $10.65 1,849 $19,691.85
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET $10.59 1,849 $19,571.67 $19,571.90 $-120.18
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $9.99 1,960 $19,570.60
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 12:15pm ET $10.01 1,960 $19,609.80 $19,611.10 +$39.20
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:40pm ET $9.85 1,991 $19,601.40
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 2:25pm ET $9.77 1,991 $19,442.12 $19,451.82 $-159.28
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:45am ET $9.66 2,014 $19,447.59
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:25pm ET $9.61 2,014 $19,344.47 $19,348.70 $-103.12
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:15pm ET $9.47 2,042 $19,344.07
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:50pm ET $9.40 2,042 $19,194.80 $19,199.43 $-149.27
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $9.21 2,084 $19,193.64
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $9.95 2,084 $20,731.22 $20,737.01 +$1,537.58
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $10.22 2,029 $20,733.34
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $10.18 2,029 $20,645.08 $20,648.75 $-88.26
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET $10.20 2,025 $20,644.88
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $10.45 2,025 $21,160.64 $21,164.51 +$515.77
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $10.37 2,041 $21,154.97
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $10.66 2,041 $21,747.06 $21,756.61 +$592.09
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.2h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $11.10 1,959 $21,748.82
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $11.02 1,959 $21,578.39 $21,586.18 $-170.43
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:50am ET $11.14 1,937 $21,578.18
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $11.32 1,937 $21,919.67 $21,927.67 +$341.49
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET $10.66 2,057 $21,918.16
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET $10.65 2,057 $21,896.77 $21,906.28 $-21.39
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $10.41 2,104 $21,902.64
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $10.28 2,104 $21,628.70 $21,632.33 $-273.94
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:50pm ET $10.13 2,136 $21,627.00
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $10.07 2,136 $21,498.84 $21,504.17 $-128.16
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $10.47 2,054 $21,495.11
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $10.40 2,054 $21,361.81 $21,370.87 $-133.30
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:50am ET $9.72 2,199 $21,363.29
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:00am ET $9.66 2,199 $21,231.35 $21,238.93 $-131.94
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:05am ET $9.33 2,276 $21,235.08
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:35am ET $9.23 2,276 $21,007.25 $21,011.10 $-227.83
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $8.84 2,378 $21,009.63
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $8.49 2,378 $20,178.52 $20,179.99 $-831.11
(-4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $7.41 2,724 $20,174.22
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:45am ET $8.03 2,724 $21,886.79 $21,892.57 +$1,712.58
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $8.35 2,620 $21,890.10
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET $8.24 2,620 $21,588.80 $21,591.27 $-301.30
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:35pm ET $7.93 2,721 $21,591.13
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $7.46 2,721 $20,298.39 $20,298.52 $-1,292.75
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $7.52 2,699 $20,296.75
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $7.59 2,699 $20,485.95 $20,487.72 +$189.20
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:05am ET $7.59 2,699 $20,485.41
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET $8.27 2,699 $22,321.00 $22,323.31 +$1,835.59
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:45pm ET $7.76 2,874 $22,316.61
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $7.74 2,874 $22,244.76 $22,251.46 $-71.85
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $8.69 2,559 $22,250.50
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $8.65 2,559 $22,148.14 $22,149.10 $-102.36
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $9.20 2,406 $22,144.10
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $8.60 2,406 $20,703.63 $20,708.63 $-1,440.47
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $8.93 2,320 $20,706.00
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 2:50pm ET $8.93 2,320 $20,717.60 $20,720.23 +$11.60
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $8.30 2,495 $20,713.49
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $7.93 2,495 $19,780.11 $19,786.85 $-933.38
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $8.73 2,267 $19,779.58
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $8.66 2,267 $19,643.55 $19,650.83 $-136.02
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:30pm ET $8.40 2,337 $19,642.48
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $8.43 2,337 $19,705.58 $19,713.93 +$63.10
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $9.77 2,018 $19,705.77
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET $9.37 2,018 $18,910.68 $18,918.84 $-795.09
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET $9.31 2,032 $18,918.53
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $9.27 2,032 $18,826.48 $18,826.79 $-92.05
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:10am ET $8.96 2,101 $18,824.96
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $8.95 2,101 $18,814.45 $18,816.28 $-10.51
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET $8.76 2,149 $18,814.50
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $8.84 2,149 $18,986.42 $18,988.20 +$171.92
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $8.57 2,215 $18,982.55
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $8.22 2,215 $18,207.30 $18,212.95 $-775.25
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $7.80 2,336 $18,209.12
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:35am ET $7.90 2,336 $18,460.24 $18,464.07 +$251.12
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:55am ET $8.23 2,243 $18,459.89
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $8.16 2,243 $18,305.12 $18,309.30 $-154.77
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $8.18 2,239 $18,307.18
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $8.86 2,239 $19,837.54 $19,839.66 +$1,530.36
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:55am ET $8.56 2,317 $19,833.52
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.40 2,317 $21,779.80 $21,785.94 +$1,946.28
(+9.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $9.57 2,275 $21,783.12
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $9.48 2,275 $21,567.00 $21,569.81 $-216.13
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $9.58 2,251 $21,564.81
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $9.52 2,251 $21,440.77 $21,445.78 $-124.03
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $10.63 2,018 $21,441.25
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:35am ET $10.16 2,018 $20,512.97 $20,517.50 $-928.28
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET $11.42 1,796 $20,510.32
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $11.27 1,796 $20,249.90 $20,257.08 $-260.42
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $11.60 1,745 $20,250.72
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $11.64 1,745 $20,311.63 $20,317.98 +$60.90
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:30am ET $10.93 1,859 $20,309.58
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $10.73 1,859 $19,937.78 $19,946.18 $-371.80
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $12.02 1,659 $19,941.01
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $12.00 1,659 $19,899.87 $19,905.04 $-41.14
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
62 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.63 1,712 $19,902.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $11.60 1,712 $19,867.76 $19,870.80 $-34.24
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,870.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,870.80
Total Return: +98.71%
Back to Grace Crossover