Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 10:46:02

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.0/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 18.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-2.2%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,472
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
136 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,515.85
Current Value
$11,214.21
Period P&L
$1,698.30
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
61
Winners / Losers
32 / 29
Best Trade
+5.91%
Worst Trade
-1.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.29%
Avg Hold Time
20.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,296,179.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,698.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,698.30
Gross Return
+17.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 136 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 61 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,515.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 2:10pm ET $85.54 110 $9,409.40
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:30am ET $85.67 110 $9,423.70 $9,485.12 +$14.30
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $86.27 109 $9,403.43
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 12:25pm ET $91.37 109 $9,958.79 $10,040.47 +$555.36
(+5.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:05am ET $93.81 107 $10,037.14
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 1:20pm ET $94.03 107 $10,060.68 $10,064.01 +$23.54
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:35am ET $94.58 106 $10,025.48
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:45pm ET $96.46 106 $10,224.76 $10,263.29 +$199.28
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 3:35pm ET $94.91 108 $10,250.28
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:45am ET $94.57 108 $10,213.56 $10,226.57 $-36.72
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET $101.19 101 $10,219.69
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 2:00pm ET $101.42 101 $10,243.42 $10,250.31 +$23.73
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 10:00am ET $105.03 97 $10,187.91
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:10am ET $104.61 97 $10,147.17 $10,209.57 $-40.74
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:35pm ET $104.97 97 $10,182.09
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:55am ET $104.23 97 $10,110.31 $10,137.79 $-71.78
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 2:25pm ET $100.89 100 $10,089.00
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:10am ET $101.98 100 $10,198.00 $10,246.79 +$109.00
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:35am ET $101.42 101 $10,243.42
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:20am ET $100.60 101 $10,160.60 $10,163.97 $-82.82
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 11:05am ET $99.13 102 $10,111.26
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 1:10pm ET $99.06 102 $10,103.62 $10,156.33 $-7.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 1:25pm ET $96.91 104 $10,078.64
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:35am ET $96.91 104 $10,078.64 $10,156.33 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:50pm ET $98.91 102 $10,088.82
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:50am ET $99.66 102 $10,164.81 $10,232.32 +$75.99
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:10pm ET $99.85 102 $10,184.70
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET $98.06 102 $10,002.12 $10,049.74 $-182.58
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 2:15pm ET $98.97 101 $9,995.97
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:45am ET $99.90 101 $10,089.90 $10,143.67 +$93.93
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:40am ET $102.65 98 $10,059.48
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 11:55am ET $104.61 98 $10,251.78 $10,335.96 +$192.30
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 1:25pm ET $106.34 97 $10,314.98
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 11:25am ET $106.79 97 $10,358.64 $10,379.62 +$43.66
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 12:50pm ET $106.07 97 $10,288.79
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $106.09 97 $10,290.73 $10,381.56 +$1.94
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:30am ET $105.43 98 $10,331.65
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $105.52 98 $10,340.47 $10,390.38 +$8.82
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $107.04 97 $10,382.88
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $106.73 97 $10,353.25 $10,360.75 $-29.63
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $109.23 94 $10,267.62
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $108.88 94 $10,234.72 $10,327.85 $-32.90
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $110.52 93 $10,277.90
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $110.90 93 $10,313.70 $10,363.65 +$35.81
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET $110.58 93 $10,283.48
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:20am ET $110.00 93 $10,230.00 $10,310.18 $-53.48
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $108.13 95 $10,272.26
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:05am ET $108.11 95 $10,269.98 $10,307.89 $-2.29
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:05am ET $110.10 93 $10,239.30
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $110.96 93 $10,319.28 $10,387.87 +$79.98
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET $108.95 95 $10,350.24
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:05am ET $108.43 95 $10,300.85 $10,338.48 $-49.39
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $111.01 93 $10,323.93
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $111.28 93 $10,349.04 $10,363.59 +$25.11
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $107.77 96 $10,345.92
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET $107.91 96 $10,359.36 $10,377.03 +$13.44
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:45am ET $107.85 96 $10,353.60
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $107.58 96 $10,327.68 $10,351.11 $-25.92
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $106.69 97 $10,348.93
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:25pm ET $109.23 97 $10,595.31 $10,597.49 +$246.38
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $110.34 96 $10,592.64
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $112.33 96 $10,783.68 $10,788.53 +$191.04
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $118.82 90 $10,694.25
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:15pm ET $119.26 90 $10,733.40 $10,827.68 +$39.15
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $121.15 89 $10,782.79
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $121.55 89 $10,817.96 $10,862.84 +$35.16
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $117.51 92 $10,810.92
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $117.21 92 $10,783.32 $10,835.24 $-27.60
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $117.47 92 $10,807.24
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $117.32 92 $10,793.47 $10,821.47 $-13.77
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $121.79 88 $10,717.96
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:35am ET $121.46 88 $10,688.92 $10,792.43 $-29.04
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $120.70 89 $10,742.30
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $120.67 89 $10,739.19 $10,789.32 $-3.11
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $122.64 87 $10,669.68
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $122.91 87 $10,693.17 $10,812.81 +$23.49
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $122.90 87 $10,692.52
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $122.11 87 $10,623.14 $10,743.43 $-69.38
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $120.63 89 $10,735.63
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $123.14 89 $10,959.02 $10,966.82 +$223.39
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $120.04 91 $10,923.64
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $119.13 91 $10,840.83 $10,884.01 $-82.81
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $114.56 95 $10,883.20
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $114.97 95 $10,922.15 $10,922.96 +$38.95
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:35am ET $116.70 93 $10,853.06
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:45am ET $116.46 93 $10,830.78 $10,900.68 $-22.28
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:45pm ET $115.22 94 $10,830.68
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $116.46 94 $10,947.02 $11,017.02 +$116.34
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $115.97 94 $10,901.65
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $116.01 94 $10,904.94 $11,020.31 +$3.29
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $114.48 96 $10,990.08
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $114.29 96 $10,971.36 $11,001.59 $-18.72
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:15am ET $114.43 96 $10,984.80
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $115.60 96 $11,097.60 $11,114.39 +$112.80
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $115.83 95 $11,003.84
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:05am ET $119.03 95 $11,307.85 $11,418.40 +$304.01
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $118.08 96 $11,335.68
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $120.05 96 $11,524.80 $11,607.52 +$189.12
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET $121.29 95 $11,522.08
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:10am ET $120.42 95 $11,439.90 $11,525.34 $-82.18
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $117.80 97 $11,426.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $117.80 97 $11,426.60 $11,525.34 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET $122.68 93 $11,409.24
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $122.74 93 $11,414.82 $11,530.92 +$5.58
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $120.14 95 $11,413.77
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $119.51 95 $11,353.92 $11,471.07 $-59.85
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $117.88 97 $11,433.88
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $117.21 97 $11,369.37 $11,406.56 $-64.51
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:25am ET $118.39 96 $11,365.44
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $118.45 96 $11,371.20 $11,412.32 +$5.76
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $112.67 101 $11,379.37
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $112.28 101 $11,340.28 $11,373.23 $-39.09
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $112.03 101 $11,314.53
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $111.85 101 $11,296.85 $11,355.55 $-17.68
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $111.46 101 $11,257.46
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $111.38 101 $11,249.38 $11,347.47 $-8.08
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $111.14 102 $11,335.77
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $110.61 102 $11,281.71 $11,293.41 $-54.06
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
60 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:55am ET $113.45 99 $11,231.55
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $113.17 99 $11,203.83 $11,265.69 $-27.72
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
61 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $113.41 99 $11,227.59
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $112.89 99 $11,176.11 $11,214.21 $-51.48
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,214.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,214.21
Total Return: +12.14%
Back to Grace Crossover