Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:40:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

61
+10.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
3.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 69.6 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+57 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,741
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$3,804.85
Current Value
$5,059.67
Period P&L
$1,254.82
Max Drawdown
-67.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
64
Winners / Losers
27 / 37
Best Trade
+8.95%
Worst Trade
-4.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.48%
Avg Hold Time
14h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$568,170.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,254.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,254.82
Gross Return
+32.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 64 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $3,804.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 12:00pm ET $24.31 156 $3,792.48
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 1:05pm ET $23.76 156 $3,705.90 $3,718.27 $-86.58
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:10pm ET $23.72 156 $3,699.54
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:05am ET $24.09 156 $3,758.74 $3,777.47 +$59.20
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 11:35am ET $26.45 142 $3,755.90
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 12:25pm ET $26.24 142 $3,725.37 $3,746.94 $-30.53
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:25am ET $24.69 151 $3,727.44
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 12:50pm ET $24.53 151 $3,704.03 $3,723.54 $-23.40
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:45am ET $24.38 152 $3,705.00
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:45pm ET $24.67 152 $3,749.84 $3,768.38 +$44.84
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:45am ET $23.06 163 $3,758.78
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 11:00am ET $22.71 163 $3,701.73 $3,711.33 $-57.05
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:15pm ET $24.18 153 $3,699.54
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:45pm ET $24.40 153 $3,732.44 $3,744.22 +$32.90
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:55pm ET $24.98 149 $3,721.28
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 2:00pm ET $24.94 149 $3,716.06 $3,739.01 $-5.22
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 3:15pm ET $24.45 152 $3,715.64
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $24.27 152 $3,688.28 $3,711.65 $-27.36
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET $24.69 150 $3,703.50
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:35pm ET $24.54 150 $3,680.25 $3,688.40 $-23.25
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:40am ET $25.99 141 $3,663.89
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:00am ET $27.42 141 $3,866.22 $3,890.73 +$202.34
(+5.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:25am ET $27.88 139 $3,875.32
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 2:55pm ET $28.08 139 $3,903.12 $3,918.53 +$27.80
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:05pm ET $29.44 133 $3,914.86
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 1:05pm ET $29.54 133 $3,928.82 $3,932.50 +$13.97
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 11:50am ET $29.60 132 $3,907.20
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 1:10pm ET $29.43 132 $3,884.10 $3,909.40 $-23.10
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $31.18 125 $3,897.50
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:20pm ET $31.98 125 $3,996.88 $4,008.77 +$99.38
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:45pm ET $33.81 118 $3,988.99
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:20pm ET $35.41 118 $4,177.79 $4,197.57 +$188.80
(+4.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 10:25am ET $32.51 129 $4,193.15
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $32.16 129 $4,148.64 $4,153.07 $-44.51
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:00pm ET $30.99 134 $4,152.14
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:40am ET $31.03 134 $4,157.51 $4,158.44 +$5.37
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:00pm ET $29.82 139 $4,144.29
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:05pm ET $29.69 139 $4,126.91 $4,141.07 $-17.38
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:30pm ET $30.75 134 $4,119.83
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:15am ET $31.51 134 $4,221.67 $4,242.91 +$101.84
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $35.32 120 $4,237.80
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $35.00 120 $4,200.00 $4,205.11 $-37.80
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $34.29 122 $4,183.38
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $34.87 122 $4,254.14 $4,275.87 +$70.76
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:50pm ET $33.31 128 $4,263.68
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $36.29 128 $4,645.12 $4,657.31 +$381.44
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $40.54 114 $4,620.99
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $39.99 114 $4,558.86 $4,595.18 $-62.13
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET $40.99 112 $4,590.88
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $41.45 112 $4,642.40 $4,646.70 +$51.52
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $42.31 109 $4,611.79
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:50am ET $45.88 109 $5,000.38 $5,035.28 +$388.59
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $53.87 93 $5,010.10
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $52.85 93 $4,915.05 $4,940.23 $-95.05
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $48.73 101 $4,921.23
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $47.17 101 $4,764.17 $4,783.18 $-157.06
(-3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:45am ET $44.53 107 $4,764.71
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:15pm ET $44.62 107 $4,774.34 $4,792.81 +$9.63
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $46.74 102 $4,767.48
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:20pm ET $46.52 102 $4,744.53 $4,769.86 $-22.95
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:00am ET $43.36 110 $4,769.60
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $43.27 110 $4,759.79 $4,760.05 $-9.81
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $42.38 112 $4,747.12
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $41.89 112 $4,691.68 $4,704.61 $-55.44
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET $42.64 110 $4,690.62
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:40am ET $42.25 110 $4,647.50 $4,661.49 $-43.12
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $40.32 115 $4,636.80
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $40.25 115 $4,628.75 $4,653.44 $-8.05
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:30am ET $42.86 108 $4,628.88
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $43.13 108 $4,658.58 $4,683.14 +$29.70
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:25am ET $46.57 100 $4,657.00
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 11:30am ET $46.42 100 $4,642.00 $4,668.14 $-15.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $51.04 91 $4,644.64
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $50.75 91 $4,618.25 $4,641.75 $-26.39
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 11:35am ET $52.27 88 $4,599.76
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $52.37 88 $4,608.56 $4,650.55 +$8.80
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $51.67 90 $4,649.85
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $51.52 90 $4,636.80 $4,637.50 $-13.05
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $53.63 86 $4,612.61
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $53.10 86 $4,566.17 $4,591.06 $-46.44
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $51.94 88 $4,571.07
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $56.14 88 $4,940.32 $4,960.31 +$369.25
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $53.57 92 $4,928.44
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $50.90 92 $4,682.80 $4,714.67 $-245.64
(-5.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $53.47 88 $4,705.47
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $53.24 88 $4,685.56 $4,694.76 $-19.91
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $55.30 84 $4,645.20
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $56.34 84 $4,732.25 $4,781.81 +$87.05
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $54.33 88 $4,781.04
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:05pm ET $54.14 88 $4,764.32 $4,765.08 $-16.72
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $52.47 90 $4,722.30
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 11:40am ET $52.50 90 $4,725.00 $4,767.78 +$2.70
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $55.18 86 $4,745.48
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $55.04 86 $4,733.44 $4,755.74 $-12.04
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $52.71 90 $4,743.90
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $51.31 90 $4,617.90 $4,629.75 $-126.00
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET $51.84 89 $4,613.76
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $51.41 89 $4,575.49 $4,591.48 $-38.27
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:05pm ET $51.83 88 $4,560.60
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $51.62 88 $4,542.12 $4,573.00 $-18.48
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $53.19 85 $4,521.15
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:35am ET $53.67 85 $4,561.53 $4,613.38 +$40.38
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $50.99 90 $4,588.65
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $50.66 90 $4,559.40 $4,584.13 $-29.25
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:50pm ET $49.25 93 $4,580.25
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $50.09 93 $4,658.37 $4,662.25 +$78.12
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $50.24 92 $4,621.70
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:15am ET $49.53 92 $4,556.76 $4,597.31 $-64.94
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $48.83 94 $4,590.01
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $51.42 94 $4,833.48 $4,840.78 +$243.47
(+5.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $51.51 93 $4,790.63
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $51.95 93 $4,831.35 $4,881.50 +$40.72
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $51.51 94 $4,842.41
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $51.33 94 $4,824.55 $4,863.64 $-17.86
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $52.75 92 $4,853.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:10am ET $53.40 92 $4,912.34 $4,922.98 +$59.34
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:10am ET $53.85 91 $4,900.35
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $53.60 91 $4,878.05 $4,900.69 $-22.29
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $54.67 89 $4,865.63
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $54.20 89 $4,823.80 $4,858.86 $-41.83
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET $54.67 88 $4,810.96
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $54.76 88 $4,818.88 $4,866.78 +$7.92
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $47.19 103 $4,860.06
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $47.09 103 $4,850.27 $4,856.99 $-9.79
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
63 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $45.18 107 $4,834.28
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $47.26 107 $5,057.13 $5,079.84 +$222.85
(+4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
64 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $46.21 109 $5,036.35
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $46.02 109 $5,016.18 $5,059.67 $-20.17
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,059.67
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,940.33
Total Return: -49.40%
Back to Grace Crossover