Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
8.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality 12.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.6

30-Day Momentum

50
+13.0%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.6 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+37 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,198
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
132 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,581.54
Current Value
$10,899.47
Period P&L
$3,318.02
Max Drawdown
-48.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
58
Winners / Losers
23 / 35
Best Trade
+14.85%
Worst Trade
-6.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.70%
Avg Hold Time
18.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,091,370.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,318.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,318.02
Gross Return
+43.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+43.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 132 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 58 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $7,581.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:15am ET $239.20 31 $7,415.20
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $242.62 31 $7,521.22 $7,687.48 +$106.02
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 1:10pm ET $237.27 32 $7,592.64
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:55pm ET $236.42 32 $7,565.44 $7,660.28 $-27.20
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 1:05pm ET $242.67 31 $7,522.77
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:30pm ET $241.78 31 $7,495.03 $7,632.53 $-27.74
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:25am ET $227.61 33 $7,510.97
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET $225.89 33 $7,454.37 $7,575.94 $-56.60
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 1:40pm ET $200.77 37 $7,428.49
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 11:25am ET $206.70 37 $7,647.90 $7,795.35 +$219.41
(+3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:55pm ET $226.57 34 $7,703.38
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $224.62 34 $7,637.08 $7,729.05 $-66.30
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 12:00pm ET $239.87 32 $7,675.84
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 2:25pm ET $239.50 32 $7,664.00 $7,717.21 $-11.84
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 12:15pm ET $227.60 33 $7,510.80
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 1:35pm ET $227.10 33 $7,494.30 $7,700.71 $-16.50
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $252.84 30 $7,585.20
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 2:50pm ET $252.35 30 $7,570.50 $7,686.01 $-14.70
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:25am ET $260.90 29 $7,566.10
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 12:25pm ET $257.65 29 $7,471.82 $7,591.72 $-94.28
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $248.65 30 $7,459.35
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:30am ET $242.83 30 $7,284.90 $7,417.27 $-174.45
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 1:55pm ET $233.16 31 $7,227.81
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 2:00pm ET $232.10 31 $7,195.10 $7,384.57 $-32.71
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 2:55pm ET $226.82 32 $7,258.24
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $260.51 32 $8,336.32 $8,462.65 +$1,078.08
(+14.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $261.13 32 $8,356.16
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:10am ET $273.97 32 $8,767.01 $8,873.50 +$410.85
(+4.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:45pm ET $285.95 31 $8,864.45
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:20am ET $285.67 31 $8,855.62 $8,864.67 $-8.83
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:25am ET $285.49 31 $8,850.19
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:30am ET $293.26 31 $9,090.94 $9,105.41 +$240.75
(+2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:30pm ET $287.77 31 $8,920.87
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:15pm ET $286.94 31 $8,895.14 $9,079.68 $-25.73
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $311.63 29 $9,037.13
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $336.89 29 $9,769.67 $9,812.22 +$732.54
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $327.58 29 $9,499.82
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $324.44 29 $9,408.76 $9,721.16 $-91.06
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:45am ET $345.54 28 $9,675.12
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $344.88 28 $9,656.71 $9,702.75 $-18.41
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $332.40 29 $9,639.60
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:45pm ET $342.93 29 $9,944.83 $10,007.98 +$305.23
(+3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $355.42 28 $9,951.76
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:50am ET $366.86 28 $10,272.08 $10,328.30 +$320.32
(+3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $387.80 26 $10,082.67
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $385.19 26 $10,014.94 $10,260.57 $-67.73
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET $398.10 25 $9,952.50
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 11:35am ET $401.25 25 $10,031.25 $10,339.32 +$78.75
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $391.67 26 $10,183.42
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $390.33 26 $10,148.58 $10,304.48 $-34.84
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $424.78 24 $10,194.72
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 1:45pm ET $430.10 24 $10,322.28 $10,432.04 +$127.56
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $434.44 24 $10,426.56
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:30am ET $435.02 24 $10,440.48 $10,445.96 +$13.92
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $417.00 25 $10,425.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $403.66 25 $10,091.49 $10,112.45 $-333.51
(-3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET $382.13 26 $9,935.38
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $378.95 26 $9,852.83 $10,029.90 $-82.55
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:50am ET $388.38 25 $9,709.45
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $386.10 25 $9,652.50 $9,972.95 $-56.95
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET $409.25 24 $9,822.00
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET $413.08 24 $9,913.80 $10,064.75 +$91.80
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $426.21 23 $9,802.94
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET $424.36 23 $9,760.39 $10,022.20 $-42.55
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $421.53 23 $9,695.13
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $425.27 23 $9,781.32 $10,108.39 +$86.19
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:20am ET $414.48 24 $9,947.40
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:20am ET $413.39 24 $9,921.36 $10,082.35 $-26.04
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $413.61 24 $9,926.64
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $385.00 24 $9,240.00 $9,395.71 $-686.64
(-6.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $391.35 24 $9,392.40
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $402.12 24 $9,650.86 $9,654.17 +$258.46
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $387.88 24 $9,309.00
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $380.38 24 $9,129.12 $9,474.29 $-179.88
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:45am ET $372.65 25 $9,316.25
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $377.94 25 $9,448.50 $9,606.54 +$132.25
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $406.17 23 $9,341.91
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 23 $10,270.42 $10,535.05 +$928.51
(+9.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $451.43 23 $10,382.80
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $466.28 23 $10,724.34 $10,876.60 +$341.55
(+3.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $424.80 25 $10,620.00
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET $407.73 25 $10,193.37 $10,449.97 $-426.63
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET $382.27 27 $10,321.29
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:05pm ET $379.60 27 $10,249.20 $10,377.88 $-72.09
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:35pm ET $356.88 29 $10,349.52
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $355.92 29 $10,321.68 $10,350.04 $-27.84
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $362.00 28 $10,136.00
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $345.18 28 $9,665.18 $9,879.22 $-470.82
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $327.24 30 $9,817.30
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:00pm ET $324.51 30 $9,735.15 $9,797.07 $-82.15
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $365.23 26 $9,496.11
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $361.39 26 $9,396.01 $9,696.97 $-100.10
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $380.56 25 $9,513.99
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $378.56 25 $9,463.97 $9,646.96 $-50.01
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $376.02 25 $9,400.38
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 25 $10,354.62 $10,601.21 +$954.25
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:30am ET $405.40 26 $10,540.40
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $410.40 26 $10,670.40 $10,731.21 +$130.00
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.2h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET $418.31 25 $10,457.75
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:25pm ET $415.36 25 $10,384.12 $10,657.58 $-73.63
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $447.26 23 $10,286.98
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $454.50 23 $10,453.50 $10,824.10 +$166.52
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $458.89 23 $10,554.47
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $457.57 23 $10,524.11 $10,793.74 $-30.36
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $464.55 23 $10,684.65
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $482.23 23 $11,091.40 $11,200.49 +$406.75
(+3.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $495.80 22 $10,907.60
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $497.63 22 $10,947.86 $11,240.75 +$40.26
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $520.11 21 $10,922.41
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $502.27 21 $10,547.67 $10,866.00 $-374.75
(-3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $527.40 20 $10,548.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET $510.53 20 $10,210.50 $10,528.50 $-337.50
(-3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
57 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $534.99 19 $10,164.90
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $578.70 19 $10,995.30 $11,358.90 +$830.40
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
58 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $659.20 17 $11,206.32
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $632.17 17 $10,746.89 $10,899.47 $-459.43
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,899.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$899.47
Total Return: +8.99%
Back to Grace Crossover