Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 14:04:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.1/10
Raw Quality 2.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-5.3%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,940
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,322.96
Current Value
$5,492.94
Period P&L
$-829.94
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
62
Winners / Losers
15 / 47
Best Trade
+8.21%
Worst Trade
-4.64%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
10.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$748,655.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-829.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-829.94
Gross Return
-13.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 62 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $6,322.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:05pm ET $6.80 930 $6,319.35
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:20am ET $6.89 930 $6,407.79 $6,411.30 +$88.44
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 12:40pm ET $6.73 953 $6,408.93
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 2:05pm ET $6.67 953 $6,351.75 $6,354.12 $-57.18
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:20pm ET $6.49 979 $6,353.71
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $6.43 979 $6,294.97 $6,295.38 $-58.74
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:40am ET $6.25 1,007 $6,289.72
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 12:45pm ET $6.24 1,007 $6,283.68 $6,289.34 $-6.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:45pm ET $5.92 1,063 $6,287.65
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $5.92 1,063 $6,292.85 $6,294.55 +$5.21
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET $5.53 1,139 $6,292.98
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:40am ET $5.45 1,139 $6,210.74 $6,212.31 $-82.24
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 11:25am ET $5.62 1,106 $6,210.19
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:45pm ET $5.61 1,106 $6,204.66 $6,206.78 $-5.53
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:35pm ET $5.44 1,142 $6,206.77
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 11:10am ET $5.47 1,142 $6,246.74 $6,246.75 +$39.97
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 12:25pm ET $5.11 1,223 $6,243.42
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 12:45pm ET $5.08 1,223 $6,206.73 $6,210.06 $-36.69
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 3:15pm ET $4.79 1,297 $6,206.15
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:40am ET $5.05 1,297 $6,549.85 $6,553.76 +$343.71
(+5.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 12:35pm ET $5.13 1,278 $6,549.75
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 1:25pm ET $5.11 1,278 $6,524.19 $6,528.20 $-25.56
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 2:55pm ET $5.04 1,296 $6,525.36
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:50pm ET $5.03 1,296 $6,512.40 $6,515.24 $-12.96
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
54m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:05am ET $5.01 1,300 $6,513.00
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $5.13 1,300 $6,662.50 $6,664.74 +$149.50
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:45am ET $5.08 1,311 $6,659.88
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 11:55am ET $5.04 1,311 $6,607.05 $6,611.91 $-52.83
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 1:50pm ET $4.98 1,327 $6,611.11
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 2:05pm ET $4.97 1,327 $6,588.56 $6,589.35 $-22.56
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $4.99 1,320 $6,586.80
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 1:45pm ET $4.96 1,320 $6,547.20 $6,549.75 $-39.60
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 2:40pm ET $5.01 1,307 $6,548.20
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:45pm ET $5.01 1,307 $6,541.54 $6,543.09 $-6.67
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:00pm ET $4.90 1,334 $6,538.47
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 3:35pm ET $4.88 1,334 $6,508.99 $6,513.61 $-29.48
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $5.25 1,241 $6,512.15
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 12:35pm ET $5.25 1,241 $6,509.05 $6,510.50 $-3.10
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:10pm ET $5.07 1,285 $6,508.53
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 3:50pm ET $5.09 1,285 $6,534.23 $6,536.20 +$25.70
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $4.99 1,311 $6,535.34
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:45am ET $4.90 1,311 $6,423.90 $6,424.77 $-111.44
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:35pm ET $4.82 1,332 $6,420.24
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:45pm ET $4.81 1,332 $6,400.26 $6,404.79 $-19.98
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:35am ET $4.69 1,367 $6,404.40
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $4.67 1,367 $6,377.06 $6,377.45 $-27.34
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:00pm ET $4.89 1,305 $6,374.93
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $4.85 1,305 $6,329.25 $6,331.77 $-45.68
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $4.58 1,383 $6,327.23
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $4.56 1,383 $6,306.48 $6,311.03 $-20.75
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:00am ET $4.65 1,357 $6,310.05
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $4.65 1,357 $6,310.05 $6,311.03 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:35am ET $4.59 1,376 $6,308.96
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET $4.56 1,376 $6,280.75 $6,282.82 $-28.21
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $4.68 1,342 $6,280.56
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $4.67 1,342 $6,260.43 $6,262.69 $-20.13
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $4.65 1,348 $6,261.46
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $4.64 1,348 $6,247.98 $6,249.21 $-13.48
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $4.64 1,346 $6,246.79
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $4.61 1,346 $6,205.06 $6,207.48 $-41.73
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $4.94 1,257 $6,206.19
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET $4.81 1,257 $6,039.89 $6,041.18 $-166.30
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $4.51 1,338 $6,041.07
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $4.51 1,338 $6,027.69 $6,027.80 $-13.38
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $4.49 1,341 $6,027.79
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $4.47 1,341 $5,987.57 $5,987.57 $-40.23
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
19h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $5.12 1,169 $5,982.94
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:55am ET $5.01 1,169 $5,862.53 $5,867.17 $-120.41
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET $5.00 1,173 $5,865.12
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:55am ET $4.95 1,173 $5,800.49 $5,802.54 $-64.63
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:15am ET $4.99 1,162 $5,798.38
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $5.02 1,162 $5,833.24 $5,837.40 +$34.86
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $4.95 1,179 $5,835.93
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $4.97 1,179 $5,861.28 $5,862.75 +$25.35
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:10pm ET $4.86 1,206 $5,861.16
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $4.93 1,206 $5,945.58 $5,947.17 +$84.42
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $5.32 1,118 $5,942.17
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $5.30 1,118 $5,930.99 $5,935.99 $-11.18
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 11:30am ET $5.22 1,137 $5,932.75
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $5.01 1,137 $5,690.69 $5,693.92 $-242.07
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $4.71 1,208 $5,689.68
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $4.69 1,208 $5,665.52 $5,669.76 $-24.16
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $4.89 1,158 $5,668.41
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET $4.67 1,158 $5,405.31 $5,406.66 $-263.10
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $4.78 1,129 $5,402.26
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $4.78 1,129 $5,396.62 $5,401.02 $-5.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:30pm ET $5.52 978 $5,398.27
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $5.47 978 $5,354.55 $5,357.30 $-43.72
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $5.74 934 $5,356.49
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:25pm ET $5.84 934 $5,459.23 $5,460.04 +$102.74
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $6.09 896 $5,454.85
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $6.07 896 $5,434.24 $5,439.43 $-20.61
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 11:00am ET $5.96 912 $5,433.97
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:10am ET $5.91 912 $5,392.56 $5,398.03 $-41.40
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:30pm ET $5.85 922 $5,394.90
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 2:45pm ET $5.84 922 $5,388.17 $5,391.30 $-6.73
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $5.63 958 $5,388.75
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $5.83 958 $5,583.61 $5,586.16 +$194.86
(+3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $5.84 957 $5,584.10
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $5.64 957 $5,402.26 $5,404.33 $-181.83
(-3.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $5.54 975 $5,401.50
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 11:15am ET $5.99 975 $5,845.12 $5,847.95 +$443.62
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $6.19 945 $5,847.66
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $6.14 945 $5,802.30 $5,802.59 $-45.36
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $6.26 926 $5,801.39
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $6.47 926 $5,986.59 $5,987.79 +$185.20
(+3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $6.45 928 $5,987.36
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $6.47 928 $6,008.80 $6,009.23 +$21.44
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET $6.51 923 $6,004.12
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $6.45 923 $5,948.74 $5,953.85 $-55.38
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $6.87 866 $5,949.42
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $6.59 866 $5,702.61 $5,707.04 $-246.81
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $6.28 909 $5,703.98
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $6.25 909 $5,681.25 $5,684.31 $-22.73
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $6.34 897 $5,683.12
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $6.24 897 $5,597.55 $5,598.74 $-85.57
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $6.45 868 $5,598.60
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $6.43 868 $5,585.58 $5,585.72 $-13.02
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
60 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $5.95 939 $5,582.36
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $5.91 939 $5,544.80 $5,548.16 $-37.56
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
61 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $6.11 907 $5,546.30
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $6.09 907 $5,528.16 $5,530.02 $-18.14
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
62 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $5.92 934 $5,529.56
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:00am ET $5.88 934 $5,492.48 $5,492.94 $-37.08
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,492.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,507.06
Total Return: -45.07%
Back to Grace Crossover