Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:22:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.6/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 37.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 37.7

30-Day Momentum

34
+2.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.1 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,598
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,405.17
Current Value
$15,443.46
Period P&L
$1,038.27
Max Drawdown
-10.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
61
Winners / Losers
19 / 42
Best Trade
+8.55%
Worst Trade
-2.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
11.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,619,043.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,038.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,038.27
Gross Return
+7.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 61 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,405.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 1:25pm ET $209.46 67 $14,033.82
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $209.52 67 $14,037.65 $14,238.15 +$3.83
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 12:40pm ET $216.54 65 $14,075.10
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:45am ET $215.14 65 $13,983.78 $14,146.83 $-91.33
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 3:35pm ET $204.83 69 $14,133.27
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $199.12 69 $13,739.28 $13,752.84 $-393.99
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:40am ET $206.65 66 $13,638.90
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET $204.78 66 $13,515.33 $13,629.27 $-123.57
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:35am ET $202.11 67 $13,541.37
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:15pm ET $201.29 67 $13,486.10 $13,574.00 $-55.27
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 1:05pm ET $201.01 67 $13,467.84
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 1:25pm ET $200.49 67 $13,433.03 $13,539.20 $-34.81
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:25pm ET $186.38 72 $13,419.00
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET $184.45 72 $13,280.40 $13,400.60 $-138.60
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:50am ET $184.83 72 $13,307.58
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 11:55am ET $184.35 72 $13,272.84 $13,365.86 $-34.74
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 3:10pm ET $185.48 72 $13,354.56
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:00am ET $184.61 72 $13,291.92 $13,303.22 $-62.64
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 11:30am ET $188.33 70 $13,183.10
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:15pm ET $188.50 70 $13,195.00 $13,315.12 +$11.90
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:10am ET $190.86 69 $13,169.34
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 2:00pm ET $192.25 69 $13,264.97 $13,410.75 +$95.63
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:50pm ET $195.05 68 $13,263.06
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:30am ET $197.14 68 $13,405.52 $13,553.21 +$142.46
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 12:20pm ET $195.44 69 $13,485.02
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 1:50pm ET $195.38 69 $13,481.39 $13,549.59 $-3.62
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $195.00 69 $13,455.00
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $193.63 69 $13,360.47 $13,455.06 $-94.53
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 12:20pm ET $191.80 70 $13,426.00
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 1:55pm ET $191.18 70 $13,382.60 $13,411.66 $-43.40
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:50am ET $187.09 71 $13,283.39
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:40am ET $186.21 71 $13,220.91 $13,349.18 $-62.48
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:50am ET $186.27 71 $13,225.17
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:45am ET $184.40 71 $13,092.40 $13,216.41 $-132.77
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 2:15pm ET $187.48 70 $13,123.60
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:05pm ET $187.18 70 $13,102.60 $13,195.41 $-21.00
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:40pm ET $189.45 69 $13,071.71
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET $188.72 69 $13,021.68 $13,145.38 $-50.02
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 11:40am ET $187.16 70 $13,101.20
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:00am ET $186.79 70 $13,074.95 $13,119.13 $-26.25
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 2:30pm ET $186.68 70 $13,067.60
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $186.48 70 $13,053.60 $13,105.13 $-14.00
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19h held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:00pm ET $185.53 70 $12,987.04
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $185.05 70 $12,953.50 $13,071.59 $-33.54
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $182.82 71 $12,980.22
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $182.50 71 $12,957.50 $13,048.87 $-22.72
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $191.40 68 $13,015.20
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $191.06 68 $12,992.08 $13,025.75 $-23.12
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:35am ET $189.42 68 $12,880.22
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $188.58 68 $12,823.49 $12,969.02 $-56.73
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $190.84 67 $12,786.28
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET $189.60 67 $12,702.87 $12,885.61 $-83.42
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:20am ET $187.59 68 $12,756.12
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:30pm ET $188.10 68 $12,790.80 $12,920.29 +$34.68
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $181.28 71 $12,870.88
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET $180.97 71 $12,848.87 $12,898.28 $-22.01
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $181.54 71 $12,889.34
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $183.75 71 $13,046.25 $13,055.19 +$156.91
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $184.95 70 $12,946.50
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:20am ET $184.74 70 $12,931.45 $13,040.14 $-15.05
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $174.04 74 $12,878.96
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $176.51 74 $13,061.74 $13,222.92 +$182.78
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $164.72 80 $13,177.61
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $163.70 80 $13,095.60 $13,140.91 $-82.01
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET $163.39 80 $13,071.20
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $161.96 80 $12,956.80 $13,026.51 $-114.40
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $167.00 78 $13,026.09
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $166.25 78 $12,967.50 $12,967.92 $-58.59
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET $163.33 79 $12,903.07
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $162.50 79 $12,837.50 $12,902.35 $-65.57
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $152.55 84 $12,814.20
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:30pm ET $151.21 84 $12,701.64 $12,789.79 $-112.56
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
6h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $145.01 88 $12,760.88
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $141.59 88 $12,459.92 $12,488.83 $-300.96
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:45am ET $147.07 84 $12,353.88
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $146.88 84 $12,338.21 $12,473.16 $-15.67
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $151.44 82 $12,418.08
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $155.69 82 $12,766.58 $12,821.66 +$348.50
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $162.68 78 $12,689.43
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $162.73 78 $12,692.94 $12,825.17 +$3.51
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $165.26 77 $12,725.02
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $164.47 77 $12,664.19 $12,764.34 $-60.83
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $164.42 77 $12,660.34
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:55pm ET $167.24 77 $12,877.48 $12,981.48 +$217.14
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $167.35 77 $12,885.94
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $166.36 77 $12,809.39 $12,904.93 $-76.55
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $167.68 76 $12,743.68
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $169.28 76 $12,865.28 $13,026.53 +$121.60
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:55am ET $170.42 76 $12,951.92
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET $169.51 76 $12,882.76 $12,957.37 $-69.16
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $163.98 79 $12,954.42
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $164.60 79 $13,003.40 $13,006.35 +$48.98
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET $158.10 82 $12,964.61
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $156.70 82 $12,849.40 $12,891.14 $-115.21
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $157.50 81 $12,757.50
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $156.82 81 $12,702.42 $12,836.06 $-55.08
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $146.84 87 $12,774.65
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $159.00 87 $13,833.14 $13,894.55 +$1,058.49
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:15pm ET $160.21 86 $13,778.06
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $159.65 86 $13,729.91 $13,846.40 $-48.15
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET $161.93 85 $13,763.63
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $161.96 85 $13,766.60 $13,849.38 +$2.98
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $155.59 89 $13,847.51
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $154.76 89 $13,773.64 $13,775.51 $-73.87
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $161.33 85 $13,713.05
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $161.17 85 $13,699.45 $13,761.91 $-13.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $167.10 82 $13,702.20
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET $167.56 82 $13,739.92 $13,799.63 +$37.72
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $170.40 80 $13,632.00
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $174.87 80 $13,989.60 $14,157.23 +$357.60
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $172.34 82 $14,131.47
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:35am ET $174.46 82 $14,305.72 $14,331.48 +$174.25
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $183.38 78 $14,303.25
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $182.92 78 $14,267.76 $14,295.99 $-35.49
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $180.30 79 $14,243.70
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $179.08 79 $14,147.32 $14,199.61 $-96.38
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
59 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:35am ET $180.57 78 $14,084.85
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $182.03 78 $14,198.34 $14,313.10 +$113.49
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
60 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:50am ET $184.28 77 $14,189.56
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:50am ET $183.33 77 $14,116.41 $14,239.95 $-73.15
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
61 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $182.85 77 $14,079.07
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:45am ET $198.48 77 $15,282.58 $15,443.46 +$1,203.51
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,443.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,443.46
Total Return: +54.43%
Back to Grace Crossover