Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

51
+19.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.6 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,931
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,416.84
Current Value
$16,274.43
Period P&L
$857.54
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
61
Winners / Losers
17 / 44
Best Trade
+9.27%
Worst Trade
-5.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
12.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,909,872.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$857.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$857.54
Gross Return
+5.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 61 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $15,416.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $17.45 883 $15,408.35
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 1:50pm ET $17.42 883 $15,381.86 $15,390.40 $-26.49
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 1:50pm ET $16.28 945 $15,384.60
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 2:10pm ET $16.17 945 $15,280.56 $15,286.35 $-104.04
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:25pm ET $15.41 992 $15,281.76
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $14.87 992 $14,751.04 $14,755.63 $-530.72
(-3.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:30am ET $13.94 1,058 $14,743.23
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 2:15pm ET $14.23 1,058 $15,050.05 $15,062.45 +$306.82
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 3:25pm ET $13.67 1,101 $15,052.22
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:15am ET $13.62 1,101 $14,990.12 $15,000.35 $-62.11
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 3:15pm ET $13.32 1,126 $14,998.32
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET $13.61 1,126 $15,324.86 $15,326.89 +$326.54
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET $12.69 1,208 $15,323.48
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:05pm ET $12.45 1,208 $15,033.56 $15,036.97 $-289.92
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $13.86 1,085 $15,032.68
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $13.57 1,085 $14,723.45 $14,727.74 $-309.23
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 12:40pm ET $14.72 1,000 $14,720.00
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:45pm ET $14.97 1,000 $14,965.90 $14,973.64 +$245.90
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 3:05pm ET $15.72 952 $14,965.44
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:40pm ET $15.57 952 $14,817.88 $14,826.08 $-147.56
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 11:30am ET $15.28 970 $14,821.60
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:40am ET $15.19 970 $14,730.23 $14,734.71 $-91.37
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 12:20pm ET $15.63 942 $14,722.42
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET $15.51 942 $14,605.71 $14,617.99 $-116.71
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 2:35pm ET $15.08 969 $14,612.52
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:45pm ET $15.01 969 $14,544.69 $14,550.16 $-67.83
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:30am ET $15.01 969 $14,544.69
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:25pm ET $15.52 969 $15,038.88 $15,044.35 +$494.19
(+3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 12:00pm ET $15.03 1,000 $15,032.30
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:40am ET $15.57 1,000 $15,570.00 $15,582.05 +$537.70
(+3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:20pm ET $13.97 1,115 $15,570.98
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 2:25pm ET $13.89 1,115 $15,487.46 $15,498.54 $-83.51
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $13.55 1,144 $15,495.48
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:15pm ET $13.26 1,144 $15,169.44 $15,172.50 $-326.04
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $14.04 1,081 $15,171.84
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 2:05pm ET $13.84 1,081 $14,955.64 $14,956.30 $-216.20
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:35am ET $13.63 1,097 $14,946.63
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:45pm ET $13.60 1,097 $14,913.72 $14,923.39 $-32.91
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:15pm ET $13.21 1,130 $14,921.65
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 11:55am ET $13.26 1,130 $14,983.80 $14,985.54 +$62.15
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET $13.20 1,135 $14,982.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $14.30 1,135 $16,230.50 $16,234.04 +$1,248.50
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $14.67 1,106 $16,219.49
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET $14.74 1,106 $16,296.91 $16,311.46 +$77.42
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:20am ET $15.31 1,065 $16,305.15
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $15.27 1,065 $16,257.23 $16,263.54 $-47.92
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $15.68 1,037 $16,260.89
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $15.55 1,037 $16,120.17 $16,122.81 $-140.72
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $16.40 983 $16,121.20
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:30am ET $17.77 983 $17,463.00 $17,464.61 +$1,341.80
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $17.17 1,017 $17,456.81
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $17.06 1,017 $17,344.94 $17,352.74 $-111.87
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $18.80 923 $17,352.12
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $18.03 923 $16,641.69 $16,642.31 $-710.43
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET $18.59 895 $16,638.05
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET $18.17 895 $16,262.15 $16,266.41 $-375.90
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:40pm ET $17.14 949 $16,261.12
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $17.01 949 $16,142.49 $16,147.78 $-118.63
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $16.79 961 $16,139.32
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $16.64 961 $15,986.24 $15,994.69 $-153.09
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $17.75 901 $15,988.25
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.66 901 $15,911.66 $15,918.11 $-76.59
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $16.93 940 $15,914.20
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $16.92 940 $15,900.10 $15,904.01 $-14.10
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:50pm ET $15.66 1,015 $15,889.83
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $15.53 1,015 $15,758.89 $15,773.07 $-130.94
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET $15.86 994 $15,764.84
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:35am ET $15.70 994 $15,605.80 $15,614.03 $-159.04
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:35pm ET $13.85 1,127 $15,603.32
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET $13.80 1,127 $15,546.97 $15,557.68 $-56.35
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $14.46 1,076 $15,554.55
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $14.98 1,076 $16,123.86 $16,127.00 +$569.31
(+3.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
5.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET $14.97 1,077 $16,117.31
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET $14.84 1,077 $15,977.30 $15,986.99 $-140.01
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $14.56 1,097 $15,973.09
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 11:45am ET $15.76 1,097 $17,283.24 $17,297.14 +$1,310.15
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:45am ET $15.59 1,109 $17,283.77
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 1:05pm ET $15.53 1,109 $17,222.77 $17,236.14 $-61.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $15.81 1,090 $17,232.90
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $15.17 1,090 $16,535.30 $16,538.54 $-697.60
(-4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $17.04 970 $16,528.80
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $17.07 970 $16,555.96 $16,565.70 +$27.16
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $16.07 1,030 $16,552.10
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $16.48 1,030 $16,969.25 $16,982.85 +$417.15
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $15.60 1,088 $16,967.36
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 2:10pm ET $15.58 1,088 $16,951.04 $16,966.53 $-16.32
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $15.36 1,104 $16,962.96
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $14.63 1,104 $16,151.52 $16,155.09 $-811.44
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:30am ET $14.16 1,140 $16,142.40
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:50am ET $13.98 1,140 $15,931.50 $15,944.19 $-210.90
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $14.94 1,066 $15,931.37
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:05am ET $14.82 1,066 $15,803.45 $15,816.27 $-127.92
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $14.68 1,077 $15,810.36
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $14.37 1,077 $15,475.74 $15,481.65 $-334.62
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $14.11 1,097 $15,478.56
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $14.10 1,097 $15,462.22 $15,465.30 $-16.35
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $14.35 1,078 $15,463.91
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $14.18 1,078 $15,280.65 $15,282.04 $-183.26
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:55pm ET $13.90 1,099 $15,280.50
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $13.82 1,099 $15,193.67 $15,195.22 $-86.82
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $12.86 1,181 $15,187.66
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $12.27 1,181 $14,496.77 $14,504.33 $-690.89
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $12.64 1,147 $14,492.35
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $11.94 1,147 $13,695.18 $13,707.16 $-797.17
(-5.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $13.57 1,010 $13,705.70
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $13.53 1,010 $13,665.30 $13,666.76 $-40.40
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $16.10 848 $13,657.04
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $16.85 848 $14,288.80 $14,298.52 +$631.76
(+4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET $16.85 848 $14,293.04
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $18.42 848 $15,618.63 $15,624.11 +$1,325.59
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $16.53 945 $15,620.85
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:45am ET $17.91 945 $16,924.95 $16,928.21 +$1,304.10
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $17.88 946 $16,914.48
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $17.47 946 $16,526.62 $16,540.35 $-387.86
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $18.77 881 $16,533.29
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $17.92 881 $15,787.52 $15,794.58 $-745.77
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $18.63 847 $15,779.61
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $18.61 847 $15,762.67 $15,777.64 $-16.94
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $16.88 934 $15,765.64
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $16.74 934 $15,630.49 $15,642.49 $-135.15
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
61 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $18.67 837 $15,630.97
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $19.43 837 $16,262.91 $16,274.43 +$631.94
(+4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,274.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,274.43
Total Return: +62.74%
Back to Grace Crossover