Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 19.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.1

30-Day Momentum

67
+16.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
5.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 79.1 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+47 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,105
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,905.10
Current Value
$12,527.40
Period P&L
$-1,377.71
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
63
Winners / Losers
12 / 51
Best Trade
+15.39%
Worst Trade
-5.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
13h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,567,076.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,377.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,377.71
Gross Return
-9.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 63 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,905.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:05pm ET $38.79 358 $13,886.82
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:05am ET $40.17 358 $14,380.82 $14,399.08 +$494.00
(+3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 12:15pm ET $39.44 365 $14,395.64
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 2:25pm ET $39.22 365 $14,315.67 $14,319.11 $-79.97
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:50pm ET $38.09 375 $14,281.88
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $37.14 375 $13,927.50 $13,964.73 $-354.38
(-2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:55am ET $35.75 390 $13,942.50
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 1:20pm ET $36.61 390 $14,277.90 $14,300.13 +$335.40
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $34.21 418 $14,297.69
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET $33.69 418 $14,082.42 $14,084.86 $-215.27
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 3:00pm ET $33.67 418 $14,074.06
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET $34.04 418 $14,228.72 $14,239.52 +$154.66
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:40am ET $31.96 445 $14,222.20
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:10pm ET $31.74 445 $14,122.97 $14,140.29 $-99.24
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:15pm ET $33.24 425 $14,127.00
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $32.36 425 $13,750.88 $13,764.16 $-376.13
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 10:55am ET $32.77 420 $13,763.36
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:50am ET $32.64 420 $13,708.76 $13,709.56 $-54.60
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
54m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:50pm ET $33.51 409 $13,703.55
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET $32.71 409 $13,378.39 $13,384.41 $-325.16
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $34.07 392 $13,355.44
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:00am ET $33.62 392 $13,179.00 $13,207.97 $-176.44
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 12:45pm ET $33.21 397 $13,184.37
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:35pm ET $33.06 397 $13,125.81 $13,149.41 $-58.56
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:35pm ET $34.26 383 $13,119.67
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $33.80 383 $12,945.40 $12,975.14 $-174.27
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 11:25am ET $35.00 370 $12,948.37
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 12:00pm ET $34.77 370 $12,863.24 $12,890.01 $-85.14
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $35.03 368 $12,889.24
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 1:35pm ET $34.85 368 $12,823.29 $12,824.06 $-65.95
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:05pm ET $34.86 367 $12,791.79
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $33.74 367 $12,382.62 $12,414.89 $-409.17
(-3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 12:45pm ET $33.16 374 $12,401.84
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 2:10pm ET $32.94 374 $12,317.69 $12,330.74 $-84.15
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET $31.78 388 $12,330.64
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:25am ET $31.47 388 $12,208.42 $12,208.52 $-122.22
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 12:40pm ET $30.52 400 $12,206.20
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:55pm ET $30.42 400 $12,168.04 $12,170.36 $-38.16
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $29.87 407 $12,157.09
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 11:25am ET $31.16 407 $12,680.09 $12,693.36 +$523.00
(+4.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 12:00pm ET $30.72 413 $12,687.36
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 1:55pm ET $30.66 413 $12,662.58 $12,668.58 $-24.78
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:25am ET $30.41 416 $12,648.48
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 11:30am ET $30.39 416 $12,640.16 $12,660.26 $-8.32
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
23 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 2:55pm ET $30.49 415 $12,654.80
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:05pm ET $30.39 415 $12,609.78 $12,615.23 $-45.03
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:45pm ET $29.29 430 $12,592.55
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $29.16 430 $12,536.65 $12,559.33 $-55.90
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $31.85 394 $12,548.90
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $30.83 394 $12,145.84 $12,156.27 $-403.06
(-3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:25pm ET $29.75 408 $12,137.55
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET $30.00 408 $12,237.96 $12,256.68 +$100.41
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:55am ET $29.55 414 $12,233.70
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $29.38 414 $12,163.32 $12,186.30 $-70.38
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET $30.45 400 $12,178.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:35pm ET $30.21 400 $12,082.00 $12,090.30 $-96.00
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:00pm ET $28.41 425 $12,074.25
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $28.12 425 $11,951.00 $11,967.05 $-123.25
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $29.64 403 $11,944.92
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $29.45 403 $11,866.34 $11,888.46 $-78.59
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:15am ET $31.57 376 $11,870.32
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $31.31 376 $11,772.56 $11,790.70 $-97.76
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $31.86 370 $11,789.27
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $32.88 370 $12,163.75 $12,165.18 +$374.48
(+3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $31.71 383 $12,144.93
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $31.52 383 $12,072.16 $12,092.41 $-72.77
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET $31.15 388 $12,086.20
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $30.95 388 $12,008.60 $12,014.81 $-77.60
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $29.99 400 $11,996.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $29.81 400 $11,922.00 $11,940.81 $-74.00
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
36 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $29.64 402 $11,915.28
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $29.48 402 $11,848.95 $11,874.48 $-66.33
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $29.08 408 $11,866.68
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $33.56 408 $13,692.48 $13,700.28 +$1,825.80
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $30.85 444 $13,697.40
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $30.77 444 $13,662.19 $13,665.07 $-35.21
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:00am ET $33.56 407 $13,660.95
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:05am ET $33.49 407 $13,630.39 $13,634.50 $-30.57
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $30.45 447 $13,611.15
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 12:50pm ET $30.24 447 $13,517.91 $13,541.26 $-93.24
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $32.14 421 $13,530.94
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $32.03 421 $13,486.73 $13,497.06 $-44.20
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $30.97 435 $13,471.95
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:15am ET $30.72 435 $13,363.20 $13,388.31 $-108.75
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $32.61 410 $13,370.10
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $30.88 410 $12,660.80 $12,679.01 $-709.30
(-5.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $30.64 413 $12,654.32
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $30.37 413 $12,542.81 $12,567.50 $-111.51
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $32.08 391 $12,541.33
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $31.56 391 $12,339.96 $12,366.13 $-201.37
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $32.12 385 $12,365.31
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:20am ET $32.08 385 $12,349.64 $12,350.46 $-15.67
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:45am ET $31.34 394 $12,347.96
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:30pm ET $31.09 394 $12,250.01 $12,252.51 $-97.95
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $30.67 399 $12,239.32
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $30.43 399 $12,141.57 $12,154.76 $-97.75
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $31.97 380 $12,148.60
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $30.69 380 $11,662.28 $11,668.44 $-486.32
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $21.99 530 $11,654.70
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $21.60 530 $11,448.00 $11,461.74 $-206.70
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $23.87 480 $11,458.27
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $23.41 480 $11,236.80 $11,240.27 $-221.47
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET $21.87 513 $11,219.31
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $21.83 513 $11,198.79 $11,219.75 $-20.52
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $21.35 525 $11,208.70
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $21.45 525 $11,261.25 $11,272.30 +$52.55
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $23.00 489 $11,249.44
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $21.99 489 $10,753.11 $10,775.97 $-496.33
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET $22.42 480 $10,761.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $22.32 480 $10,711.20 $10,725.57 $-50.40
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $23.49 456 $10,712.58
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $23.43 456 $10,686.36 $10,699.35 $-26.22
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $25.27 423 $10,691.32
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $25.07 423 $10,604.61 $10,612.64 $-86.71
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $27.37 387 $10,592.19
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET $27.36 387 $10,590.25 $10,610.70 $-1.94
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $28.46 372 $10,585.52
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $28.16 372 $10,475.52 $10,500.70 $-110.00
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET $29.05 361 $10,487.05
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $29.05 361 $10,487.05 $10,500.70 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $27.50 381 $10,477.50
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $28.83 381 $10,986.13 $11,009.33 +$508.63
(+4.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held
62 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $27.63 398 $10,994.75
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $27.75 398 $11,046.49 $11,061.07 +$51.74
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
63 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $27.68 399 $11,046.31
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 399 $12,512.64 $12,527.40 +$1,466.33
(+13.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,527.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,527.40
Total Return: +25.27%
Back to Grace Crossover