SOXL Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 52 trades in period
+51.87%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,411.38
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$8,172.17
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
17.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 17.6
30-Day Momentum
62
+21.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
2.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 76.9
Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+45 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,788
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,172.17
Current Value
$12,411.38
Period P&L
$4,239.22
Max Drawdown
-51.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
20 /
32
Best Trade
+19.96%
Worst Trade
-8.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.92%
Avg Hold Time
16.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,030,398.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,239.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,239.22
Gross Return
+51.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+51.87%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 52 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,172.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 1:40pm ET | $43.43 | 188 | $8,164.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.89 | 188 | $7,498.47 | $7,507.66 |
$-666.37 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 12:40pm ET | $42.56 | 176 | $7,490.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 1:00pm ET | $43.20 | 176 | $7,603.20 | $7,620.28 |
+$112.62 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:30am ET | $37.02 | 205 | $7,589.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:20pm ET | $36.90 | 205 | $7,564.62 | $7,595.82 |
$-24.46 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.11 | 216 | $7,583.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:30am ET | $38.05 | 216 | $8,218.80 | $8,230.86 |
+$635.04 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 1:40pm ET | $30.79 | 267 | $8,220.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 11:05am ET | $31.71 | 267 | $8,466.57 | $8,476.50 |
+$245.64 (+3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:20am ET | $35.78 | 236 | $8,444.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.60 | 236 | $9,344.42 | $9,376.84 |
+$900.34 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.78 | 204 | $9,340.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 12:35pm ET | $46.08 | 204 | $9,400.32 | $9,437.15 |
+$60.30 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 2:40pm ET | $46.42 | 203 | $9,423.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $47.73 | 203 | $9,689.19 | $9,703.08 |
+$265.93 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:50am ET | $48.79 | 198 | $9,659.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 12:25pm ET | $48.32 | 198 | $9,567.36 | $9,611.01 |
$-92.07 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:10pm ET | $41.28 | 232 | $9,576.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:30pm ET | $41.12 | 232 | $9,539.86 | $9,574.35 |
$-36.66 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 12:05pm ET | $36.90 | 259 | $9,557.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 1:45pm ET | $37.00 | 259 | $9,583.00 | $9,600.25 |
+$25.90 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 1:10pm ET | $43.74 | 219 | $9,579.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 1:35pm ET | $43.67 | 219 | $9,563.73 | $9,584.92 |
$-15.33 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:55am ET | $43.86 | 218 | $9,561.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 12:40pm ET | $43.83 | 218 | $9,554.94 | $9,578.07 |
$-6.85 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:45pm ET | $42.09 | 227 | $9,554.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.50 | 227 | $10,781.61 | $10,805.62 |
+$1,227.55 (+12.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.49 | 202 | $10,804.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.15 | 202 | $10,534.30 | $10,534.94 |
$-270.68 (-2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $49.90 | 211 | $10,528.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:40pm ET | $49.81 | 211 | $10,509.91 | $10,515.95 |
$-18.99 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.41 | 186 | $10,492.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.94 | 186 | $10,031.91 | $10,055.60 |
$-460.35 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $58.63 | 171 | $10,025.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:55pm ET | $58.36 | 171 | $9,979.56 | $10,009.43 |
$-46.17 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
54m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $62.26 | 160 | $9,961.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.83 | 160 | $9,732.00 | $9,779.83 |
$-229.60 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:20pm ET | $60.87 | 160 | $9,738.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $65.82 | 160 | $10,531.04 | $10,572.29 |
+$792.46 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $70.38 | 150 | $10,557.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $69.15 | 150 | $10,372.50 | $10,387.78 |
$-184.51 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:40pm ET | $61.91 | 167 | $10,338.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $61.70 | 167 | $10,303.90 | $10,352.71 |
$-35.07 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:25pm ET | $58.92 | 175 | $10,310.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $57.77 | 175 | $10,109.75 | $10,152.33 |
$-200.38 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $53.47 | 189 | $10,105.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $53.11 | 189 | $10,037.79 | $10,084.29 |
$-68.04 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $61.48 | 164 | $10,082.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $61.07 | 164 | $10,015.48 | $10,017.54 |
$-66.75 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $63.95 | 156 | $9,976.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $63.45 | 156 | $9,898.20 | $9,939.54 |
$-78.00 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $63.76 | 155 | $9,882.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $63.59 | 155 | $9,856.45 | $9,913.96 |
$-25.58 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:25am ET | $65.35 | 151 | $9,867.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 11:40am ET | $64.77 | 151 | $9,780.27 | $9,826.38 |
$-87.58 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $66.84 | 147 | $9,825.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $66.62 | 147 | $9,793.14 | $9,794.04 |
$-32.34 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $69.06 | 141 | $9,736.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.33 | 141 | $9,916.53 | $9,973.82 |
+$179.78 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $61.75 | 161 | $9,941.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.17 | 161 | $9,365.37 | $9,397.44 |
$-576.38 (-5.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET | $55.21 | 170 | $9,385.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 2:10pm ET | $54.13 | 170 | $9,202.10 | $9,213.84 |
$-183.60 (-2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $52.83 | 174 | $9,192.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.29 | 174 | $8,750.46 | $8,771.90 |
$-441.94 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $47.74 | 183 | $8,737.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $52.11 | 183 | $9,536.13 | $9,570.70 |
+$798.80 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $56.32 | 169 | $9,518.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:40am ET | $56.46 | 169 | $9,541.74 | $9,594.36 |
+$23.66 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $51.85 | 185 | $9,592.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $51.35 | 185 | $9,499.75 | $9,501.86 |
$-92.50 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $54.84 | 173 | $9,487.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $54.31 | 173 | $9,395.63 | $9,409.82 |
$-92.04 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 1:30pm ET | $55.77 | 168 | $9,369.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $55.64 | 168 | $9,347.52 | $9,387.98 |
$-21.84 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $52.66 | 178 | $9,373.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $50.14 | 178 | $8,924.92 | $8,939.42 |
$-448.56 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.46 | 158 | $8,920.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $56.88 | 158 | $8,987.04 | $9,005.78 |
+$66.36 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $48.20 | 186 | $8,965.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $47.74 | 186 | $8,879.64 | $8,920.20 |
$-85.58 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.83 | 208 | $8,907.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET | $46.44 | 208 | $9,660.56 | $9,673.16 |
+$752.96 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $52.26 | 185 | $9,668.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.88 | 185 | $9,967.78 | $9,972.84 |
+$299.68 (+3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $55.56 | 179 | $9,945.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.65 | 179 | $11,930.10 | $11,957.70 |
+$1,984.86 (+20.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $77.02 | 155 | $11,938.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $76.69 | 155 | $11,887.72 | $11,907.33 |
$-50.37 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $85.03 | 140 | $11,904.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $84.30 | 140 | $11,802.00 | $11,805.13 |
$-102.20 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $88.09 | 134 | $11,804.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:55pm ET | $93.55 | 134 | $12,535.70 | $12,536.77 |
+$731.64 (+6.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:20am ET | $98.48 | 127 | $12,506.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $97.08 | 127 | $12,329.79 | $12,359.60 |
$-177.17 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.33 | 97 | $12,254.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $121.27 | 97 | $11,763.19 | $11,868.78 |
$-490.82 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.74 | 103 | $11,818.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:15pm ET | $114.89 | 103 | $11,833.67 | $11,884.23 |
+$15.45 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $127.52 | 93 | $11,859.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:35am ET | $130.22 | 93 | $12,110.46 | $12,135.33 |
+$251.10 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.00 | 77 | $12,012.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $159.59 | 77 | $12,288.05 | $12,411.38 |
+$276.05 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,411.38
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,411.38
Total Return:
+24.11%