Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 2.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.1%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,282
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,741.36
Current Value
$7,647.16
Period P&L
$-1,094.22
Max Drawdown
-29.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
57
Winners / Losers
16 / 41
Best Trade
+4.36%
Worst Trade
-4.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
8.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$941,006.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,094.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,094.22
Gross Return
-12.52%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 57 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,741.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:50am ET $52.78 165 $8,708.70
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 2:35pm ET $52.84 165 $8,718.60 $8,751.27 +$9.90
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET $57.02 153 $8,724.06
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:35pm ET $57.77 153 $8,838.81 $8,866.02 +$114.75
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:10pm ET $53.64 165 $8,850.60
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $52.60 165 $8,679.00 $8,694.42 $-171.60
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:55am ET $51.09 170 $8,685.30
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:10am ET $50.94 170 $8,659.80 $8,668.92 $-25.50
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 2:25pm ET $50.86 170 $8,646.13
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 2:50pm ET $50.61 170 $8,603.70 $8,626.49 $-42.43
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $50.71 170 $8,620.70
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 11:25am ET $50.40 170 $8,568.00 $8,573.79 $-52.70
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $49.74 172 $8,555.45
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:35am ET $49.40 172 $8,496.80 $8,515.13 $-58.65
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $50.92 167 $8,503.64
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $50.48 167 $8,430.16 $8,441.65 $-73.48
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 2:05pm ET $52.14 161 $8,394.54
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 2:35pm ET $51.95 161 $8,363.97 $8,411.08 $-30.57
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:10pm ET $52.21 161 $8,405.81
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 1:15pm ET $51.70 161 $8,323.70 $8,328.97 $-82.11
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:15pm ET $50.87 163 $8,291.83
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:20pm ET $50.82 163 $8,283.66 $8,320.80 $-8.17
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 10:10am ET $47.97 173 $8,298.81
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:30am ET $47.77 173 $8,264.21 $8,286.20 $-34.60
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 2:15pm ET $48.59 170 $8,259.45
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 2:20pm ET $48.52 170 $8,248.40 $8,275.15 $-11.05
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 2:55pm ET $48.49 170 $8,243.30
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 1:25pm ET $49.00 170 $8,329.15 $8,361.00 +$85.85
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $48.48 172 $8,338.56
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $48.36 172 $8,317.92 $8,340.36 $-20.64
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET $47.83 174 $8,322.39
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:50am ET $47.59 174 $8,280.66 $8,298.64 $-41.73
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $48.21 172 $8,291.28
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $48.19 172 $8,288.68 $8,296.04 $-2.60
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $47.31 175 $8,279.25
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:05am ET $47.32 175 $8,280.98 $8,297.77 +$1.73
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $47.36 175 $8,287.97
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $47.40 175 $8,295.00 $8,304.81 +$7.03
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $47.37 175 $8,289.75
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $47.21 175 $8,261.75 $8,276.81 $-28.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $47.79 173 $8,267.67
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $47.67 173 $8,246.91 $8,256.05 $-20.76
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET $50.14 164 $8,222.96
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:50pm ET $50.10 164 $8,216.38 $8,249.47 $-6.58
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $48.17 171 $8,237.07
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:30am ET $48.31 171 $8,261.01 $8,273.41 +$23.94
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $47.59 173 $8,233.07
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:40am ET $47.40 173 $8,200.18 $8,240.52 $-32.89
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET $47.06 175 $8,235.68
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $47.09 175 $8,240.75 $8,245.60 +$5.08
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:30am ET $47.96 171 $8,201.16
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:35am ET $47.70 171 $8,156.70 $8,201.14 $-44.46
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $47.20 173 $8,165.60
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $48.90 173 $8,459.70 $8,495.24 +$294.10
(+3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $50.33 168 $8,455.46
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET $50.29 168 $8,448.72 $8,488.50 $-6.74
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $47.34 179 $8,473.86
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $47.31 179 $8,468.49 $8,483.13 $-5.37
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
30m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET $47.96 176 $8,440.96
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:35am ET $47.74 176 $8,402.24 $8,444.41 $-38.72
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $50.57 166 $8,394.62
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $50.11 166 $8,318.26 $8,368.05 $-76.36
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $48.83 171 $8,349.93
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $49.00 171 $8,379.02 $8,397.14 +$29.09
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $49.37 170 $8,392.90
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $48.94 170 $8,319.80 $8,324.04 $-73.10
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $50.16 165 $8,276.48
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $49.01 165 $8,085.83 $8,133.38 $-190.66
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $49.86 163 $8,127.18
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $49.35 163 $8,044.05 $8,050.25 $-83.13
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.37 163 $8,046.66
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:35am ET $51.52 163 $8,397.76 $8,401.35 +$351.10
(+4.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $52.70 159 $8,379.30
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 11:45am ET $51.78 159 $8,232.23 $8,254.28 $-147.07
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $53.29 154 $8,206.66
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $52.97 154 $8,157.38 $8,205.00 $-49.28
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $51.96 157 $8,157.72
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $51.69 157 $8,115.68 $8,162.95 $-42.04
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET $53.69 152 $8,160.88
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $54.35 152 $8,261.96 $8,264.03 +$101.08
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $53.24 155 $8,252.97
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $52.20 155 $8,091.02 $8,102.07 $-161.96
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $54.08 149 $8,057.92
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 2:10pm ET $55.88 149 $8,326.12 $8,370.27 +$268.20
(+3.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $55.73 150 $8,359.50
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $55.66 150 $8,349.00 $8,359.77 $-10.50
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $56.57 147 $8,315.79
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $54.67 147 $8,036.49 $8,080.47 $-279.30
(-3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET $61.12 132 $8,067.83
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:55am ET $60.90 132 $8,038.80 $8,051.44 $-29.03
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $55.03 146 $8,034.38
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $55.16 146 $8,053.36 $8,070.42 +$18.98
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $55.49 145 $8,046.77
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $54.87 145 $7,956.15 $7,979.80 $-90.63
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET $50.77 157 $7,970.89
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:55am ET $50.62 157 $7,947.34 $7,956.25 $-23.55
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $49.53 160 $7,924.80
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $49.68 160 $7,948.80 $7,980.25 +$24.00
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $45.69 174 $7,950.06
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET $45.47 174 $7,912.65 $7,942.84 $-37.41
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $43.60 182 $7,935.20
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $43.53 182 $7,922.46 $7,930.10 $-12.74
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET $43.83 180 $7,888.50
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $44.28 180 $7,970.40 $8,012.00 +$81.90
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:15am ET $43.56 183 $7,971.48
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:20am ET $43.45 183 $7,951.35 $7,991.87 $-20.13
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET $43.00 185 $7,954.98
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:45am ET $42.94 185 $7,943.90 $7,980.79 $-11.08
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:10am ET $43.56 183 $7,971.94
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $43.61 183 $7,980.63 $7,989.48 +$8.69
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
56 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $41.47 192 $7,962.24
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $41.43 192 $7,954.56 $7,981.80 $-7.68
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
57 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $42.35 188 $7,961.80
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $40.57 188 $7,627.16 $7,647.16 $-334.64
(-4.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,647.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,352.84
Total Return: -23.53%
Back to Grace Crossover