Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
7.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 18.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 18.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.2%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,457
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,035.05
Current Value
$10,712.55
Period P&L
$-322.48
Max Drawdown
-6.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
59
Winners / Losers
14 / 45
Best Trade
+0.85%
Worst Trade
-0.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,259,536.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-322.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-322.48
Gross Return
-2.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 59 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,035.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $677.49 16 $10,839.84
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:40am ET $680.05 16 $10,880.75 $11,075.93 +$40.91
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 12:35pm ET $683.49 16 $10,935.84
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 2:25pm ET $682.73 16 $10,923.68 $11,063.77 $-12.16
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:40am ET $671.07 16 $10,737.12
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 1:15pm ET $673.05 16 $10,768.81 $11,095.46 +$31.69
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:35am ET $661.24 16 $10,579.84
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $658.62 16 $10,537.92 $11,053.54 $-41.92
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 1:20pm ET $662.20 16 $10,595.12
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 1:25pm ET $661.02 16 $10,576.32 $11,034.74 $-18.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:30am ET $655.80 16 $10,492.80
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $659.63 16 $10,554.08 $11,096.02 +$61.28
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:35am ET $669.35 16 $10,709.60
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 2:35pm ET $672.81 16 $10,764.96 $11,151.38 +$55.36
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:40am ET $681.27 16 $10,900.32
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET $681.93 16 $10,910.89 $11,161.95 +$10.57
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $682.72 16 $10,923.44
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET $680.10 16 $10,881.60 $11,120.11 $-41.84
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 11:50am ET $684.23 16 $10,947.68
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET $683.62 16 $10,937.96 $11,110.39 $-9.72
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $684.02 16 $10,944.32
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 1:25pm ET $682.83 16 $10,925.28 $11,091.35 $-19.04
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 11:20am ET $683.60 16 $10,937.60
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 12:40pm ET $683.08 16 $10,929.28 $11,083.03 $-8.32
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 12:50pm ET $682.65 16 $10,922.40
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $681.98 16 $10,911.68 $11,072.31 $-10.72
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 1:50pm ET $677.80 16 $10,844.80
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 2:10pm ET $676.15 16 $10,818.40 $11,045.91 $-26.40
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $677.81 16 $10,844.96
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:10pm ET $676.44 16 $10,823.04 $11,023.99 $-21.92
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:20pm ET $680.68 16 $10,890.88
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:25pm ET $680.49 16 $10,887.76 $11,020.87 $-3.12
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 1:45pm ET $690.19 15 $10,352.85
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $688.06 15 $10,320.90 $10,988.92 $-31.95
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:55am ET $688.09 15 $10,321.35
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:00am ET $687.80 15 $10,317.00 $10,984.57 $-4.35
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:25pm ET $685.37 16 $10,965.92
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $684.14 16 $10,946.24 $10,964.89 $-19.68
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $688.49 15 $10,327.35
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $688.31 15 $10,324.65 $10,962.19 $-2.70
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:50am ET $692.42 15 $10,386.30
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $692.78 15 $10,391.70 $10,967.59 +$5.40
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $689.58 15 $10,343.63
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $693.99 15 $10,409.85 $11,033.82 +$66.22
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:40am ET $694.60 15 $10,418.93
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $693.95 15 $10,409.25 $11,024.14 $-9.67
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $688.11 16 $11,009.76
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $693.98 16 $11,103.68 $11,118.06 +$93.92
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $692.97 16 $11,087.52
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $692.31 16 $11,076.96 $11,107.50 $-10.56
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $680.12 16 $10,881.92
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET $680.88 16 $10,894.08 $11,119.66 +$12.16
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:20am ET $689.56 16 $11,032.88
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $688.81 16 $11,020.88 $11,107.66 $-12.00
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $696.01 15 $10,440.17
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $695.68 15 $10,435.20 $11,102.70 $-4.97
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $690.58 16 $11,049.28
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:30am ET $691.75 16 $11,068.00 $11,121.42 +$18.72
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $687.22 16 $10,995.52
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $687.07 16 $10,993.12 $11,119.02 $-2.40
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET $681.04 16 $10,896.72
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $679.17 16 $10,866.72 $11,089.02 $-30.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $695.81 15 $10,437.15
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:10am ET $694.90 15 $10,423.50 $11,075.37 $-13.65
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:35am ET $692.78 15 $10,391.63
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $691.48 15 $10,372.27 $11,056.02 $-19.35
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $681.16 16 $10,898.64
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $679.81 16 $10,876.96 $11,034.34 $-21.68
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $686.89 16 $10,990.24
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $683.96 16 $10,943.36 $10,987.46 $-46.88
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $687.59 15 $10,313.85
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $686.54 15 $10,298.10 $10,971.71 $-15.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $681.60 16 $10,905.60
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $686.86 16 $10,989.84 $11,055.95 +$84.24
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $687.32 16 $10,997.12
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $683.51 16 $10,936.16 $10,994.99 $-60.96
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $684.68 16 $10,954.88
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $685.88 16 $10,974.08 $11,014.19 +$19.20
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $682.46 16 $10,919.36
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:45am ET $679.84 16 $10,877.44 $10,972.27 $-41.92
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:05am ET $675.95 16 $10,815.19
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $673.81 16 $10,780.96 $10,938.04 $-34.23
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $675.97 16 $10,815.52
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $674.98 16 $10,799.68 $10,922.20 $-15.84
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $669.58 16 $10,713.33
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $668.65 16 $10,698.40 $10,907.27 $-14.93
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $671.85 16 $10,749.60
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $671.18 16 $10,738.88 $10,896.55 $-10.72
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $657.56 16 $10,520.96
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $657.00 16 $10,512.00 $10,887.59 $-8.96
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $659.64 16 $10,554.24
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $655.63 16 $10,490.08 $10,823.43 $-64.16
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $638.51 16 $10,216.16
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $636.32 16 $10,181.04 $10,788.31 $-35.12
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $656.29 16 $10,500.72
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $653.26 16 $10,452.16 $10,739.75 $-48.56
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $657.93 16 $10,526.88
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $655.30 16 $10,484.80 $10,697.67 $-42.08
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $675.13 15 $10,126.88
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET $674.60 15 $10,119.00 $10,689.79 $-7.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $679.69 15 $10,195.35
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $678.96 15 $10,184.40 $10,678.84 $-10.95
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $693.60 15 $10,404.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $698.85 15 $10,482.75 $10,757.59 +$78.75
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $707.98 15 $10,619.70
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $707.94 15 $10,619.10 $10,756.99 $-0.60
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $708.33 15 $10,624.95
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $708.91 15 $10,633.65 $10,765.69 +$8.70
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $709.28 15 $10,639.20
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $707.55 15 $10,613.25 $10,739.74 $-25.95
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $713.95 15 $10,709.25
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET $713.47 15 $10,701.98 $10,732.47 $-7.27
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $710.63 15 $10,659.45
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $710.25 15 $10,653.74 $10,726.76 $-5.71
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
58 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $723.04 14 $10,122.63
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $722.42 14 $10,113.95 $10,718.08 $-8.68
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
59 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $717.88 14 $10,050.25
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $717.48 14 $10,044.72 $10,712.55 $-5.53
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,712.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$712.55
Total Return: +7.13%
Back to Grace Crossover