Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
0.7%
Range Pos
20%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.1%
30d Return
9%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,769
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,706.73
Current Value
$9,222.59
Period P&L
$-484.16
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
65
Winners / Losers
18 / 47
Best Trade
+0.56%
Worst Trade
-1.57%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
12.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,228,894.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-484.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-484.16
Gross Return
-4.99%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 65 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,706.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 3:35pm ET $89.72 108 $9,689.22
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $89.42 108 $9,656.82 $9,679.21 $-32.40
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $89.50 108 $9,666.00
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:20pm ET $89.46 108 $9,661.68 $9,674.89 $-4.32
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 3:25pm ET $89.94 107 $9,623.58
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 1:20pm ET $90.15 107 $9,645.52 $9,696.82 +$21.93
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $88.99 108 $9,610.38
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 12:45pm ET $89.15 108 $9,628.20 $9,714.64 +$17.82
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:15pm ET $88.98 109 $9,698.82
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:05am ET $88.88 109 $9,687.92 $9,703.74 $-10.90
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 2:00pm ET $89.28 108 $9,642.25
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 2:35pm ET $89.20 108 $9,633.60 $9,695.09 $-8.65
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $90.30 107 $9,662.10
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:20pm ET $90.42 107 $9,674.41 $9,707.40 +$12.31
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:35pm ET $90.31 107 $9,663.17
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $88.90 107 $9,511.77 $9,555.99 $-151.41
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET $88.71 107 $9,491.97
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 3:35pm ET $88.85 107 $9,506.95 $9,570.97 +$14.98
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 2:35pm ET $88.15 108 $9,520.58
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:40am ET $88.04 108 $9,508.32 $9,558.71 $-12.26
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 11:30am ET $88.02 108 $9,506.16
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $88.03 108 $9,506.70 $9,559.25 +$0.54
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 3:15pm ET $88.29 108 $9,535.32
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:20am ET $88.50 108 $9,558.00 $9,581.93 +$22.68
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 3:50pm ET $87.37 109 $9,523.33
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 11:35am ET $87.58 109 $9,546.22 $9,604.82 +$22.89
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 2:10pm ET $87.73 109 $9,562.03
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:35am ET $87.67 109 $9,556.03 $9,598.83 $-5.99
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 2:30pm ET $88.18 108 $9,522.90
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:35pm ET $88.15 108 $9,519.66 $9,595.59 $-3.24
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 11:20am ET $87.42 109 $9,528.78
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 12:40pm ET $87.36 109 $9,522.24 $9,589.05 $-6.54
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:15pm ET $87.50 109 $9,536.96
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:45am ET $87.98 109 $9,589.89 $9,641.98 +$52.93
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:15pm ET $87.97 109 $9,588.73
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $87.79 109 $9,568.57 $9,621.81 $-20.17
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 10:45am ET $87.87 109 $9,577.29
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 11:05am ET $87.72 109 $9,560.94 $9,605.46 $-16.35
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $87.18 110 $9,589.25
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:25pm ET $87.15 110 $9,585.95 $9,602.16 $-3.30
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $87.48 109 $9,535.34
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $87.20 109 $9,504.80 $9,571.62 $-30.54
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $87.93 108 $9,496.44
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $87.89 108 $9,492.12 $9,567.30 $-4.32
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET $87.58 109 $9,545.68
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $87.86 109 $9,576.20 $9,597.82 +$30.52
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $87.76 109 $9,565.30
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:15am ET $87.62 109 $9,550.59 $9,583.12 $-14.70
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $88.62 108 $9,570.42
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:55am ET $88.40 108 $9,546.66 $9,559.36 $-23.76
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $88.17 108 $9,522.36
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $88.03 108 $9,506.70 $9,543.70 $-15.66
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $86.85 109 $9,466.54
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET $86.63 109 $9,442.13 $9,519.28 $-24.42
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:05am ET $87.32 109 $9,517.34
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 11:30am ET $87.77 109 $9,566.93 $9,568.88 +$49.59
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $88.36 108 $9,542.99
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $88.28 108 $9,533.70 $9,559.59 $-9.29
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $87.93 108 $9,496.63
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $87.87 108 $9,489.42 $9,552.37 $-7.21
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $87.50 109 $9,537.50
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:55am ET $87.40 109 $9,526.60 $9,541.47 $-10.90
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $87.42 109 $9,528.24
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $87.43 109 $9,529.33 $9,542.56 +$1.09
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:45am ET $86.56 110 $9,521.05
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $86.49 110 $9,513.35 $9,534.86 $-7.70
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $86.63 110 $9,528.75
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $86.55 110 $9,520.50 $9,526.61 $-8.25
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $87.32 109 $9,518.42
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $87.26 109 $9,511.34 $9,519.53 $-7.08
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:05am ET $87.33 109 $9,519.51
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.51 109 $9,538.59 $9,538.60 +$19.08
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:35am ET $88.24 108 $9,529.92
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $88.17 108 $9,521.82 $9,530.50 $-8.10
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $89.93 105 $9,443.17
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:30pm ET $89.90 105 $9,439.50 $9,526.83 $-3.67
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:20am ET $89.50 106 $9,487.53
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $89.46 106 $9,483.29 $9,522.59 $-4.24
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET $89.93 105 $9,442.65
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $89.89 105 $9,438.94 $9,518.88 $-3.71
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $90.07 105 $9,457.87
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $90.09 105 $9,458.94 $9,519.94 +$1.06
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:45pm ET $89.53 106 $9,489.65
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $88.99 106 $9,432.94 $9,463.23 $-56.71
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET $89.36 105 $9,382.80
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $89.32 105 $9,378.08 $9,458.51 $-4.72
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $88.81 106 $9,413.55
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $88.33 106 $9,362.98 $9,407.94 $-50.57
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET $88.54 106 $9,385.77
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $88.89 106 $9,422.34 $9,444.51 +$36.57
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:15pm ET $87.32 108 $9,431.10
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $87.24 108 $9,421.38 $9,434.79 $-9.72
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:45am ET $87.04 108 $9,399.78
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET $87.00 108 $9,395.46 $9,430.47 $-4.32
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $87.18 108 $9,415.44
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.19 108 $9,416.52 $9,431.55 +$1.08
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $87.32 108 $9,430.02
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $87.19 108 $9,416.92 $9,418.45 $-13.10
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $86.18 109 $9,393.08
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $85.69 109 $9,340.75 $9,366.13 $-52.32
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:40pm ET $86.83 107 $9,291.34
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:55pm ET $86.73 107 $9,279.95 $9,354.73 $-11.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $86.13 108 $9,301.50
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $85.48 108 $9,231.84 $9,285.07 $-69.66
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $86.62 107 $9,268.34
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:00pm ET $86.89 107 $9,296.70 $9,313.42 +$28.35
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:00am ET $86.54 107 $9,259.78
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $86.61 107 $9,266.83 $9,320.47 +$7.05
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $86.73 107 $9,280.11
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:40pm ET $86.15 107 $9,218.05 $9,258.41 $-62.06
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:30am ET $86.62 106 $9,181.72
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $86.88 106 $9,208.75 $9,285.44 +$27.03
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $86.44 107 $9,249.08
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $86.43 107 $9,248.54 $9,284.90 $-0.54
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $86.87 106 $9,208.22
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $86.83 106 $9,203.98 $9,280.66 $-4.24
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $87.04 106 $9,226.24
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $86.99 106 $9,220.41 $9,274.83 $-5.83
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $86.82 106 $9,203.45
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $86.68 106 $9,188.61 $9,259.99 $-14.84
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $86.69 106 $9,189.14
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:30am ET $86.61 106 $9,181.19 $9,252.04 $-7.95
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $86.36 107 $9,241.05
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $86.29 107 $9,232.50 $9,243.48 $-8.56
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $85.85 107 $9,185.95
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $85.72 107 $9,172.57 $9,230.11 $-13.38
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $85.79 107 $9,179.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $85.74 107 $9,174.18 $9,225.29 $-4.82
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
65 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $84.93 108 $9,172.98
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $84.91 108 $9,170.28 $9,222.59 $-2.70
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,222.59
Net Profit/Loss: $-777.41
Total Return: -7.77%
Back to Grace Crossover