Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:44

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.2/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 34.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.3

30-Day Momentum

11
-12.5%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,014
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
136 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,111.00
Current Value
$14,415.58
Period P&L
$3,304.59
Max Drawdown
-11.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
59
Winners / Losers
23 / 36
Best Trade
+13.05%
Worst Trade
-15.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
15h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,456,989.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,304.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,304.59
Gross Return
+29.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 136 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 59 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,111.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:25pm ET $71.22 156 $11,110.32
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 3:45pm ET $71.19 156 $11,105.64 $11,106.31 $-4.68
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 2:10pm ET $72.89 152 $11,079.28
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:25pm ET $72.78 152 $11,061.80 $11,088.83 $-17.48
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $69.79 158 $11,026.82
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 12:15pm ET $70.13 158 $11,080.02 $11,142.03 +$53.20
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:40am ET $71.64 155 $11,104.20
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:20am ET $71.53 155 $11,087.15 $11,124.98 $-17.05
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:55am ET $71.47 155 $11,077.85
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $70.33 155 $10,901.15 $10,948.28 $-176.70
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 12:10pm ET $69.18 158 $10,930.44
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:00pm ET $69.01 158 $10,903.58 $10,921.42 $-26.86
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 11:55am ET $68.87 158 $10,880.67
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:50am ET $69.11 158 $10,919.38 $10,960.13 +$38.71
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:30pm ET $71.02 154 $10,937.08
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $70.44 154 $10,847.76 $10,870.81 $-89.32
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $70.85 153 $10,840.05
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:55am ET $70.52 153 $10,789.56 $10,820.32 $-50.49
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $71.76 150 $10,764.00
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:35am ET $71.73 150 $10,759.50 $10,815.82 $-4.50
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 2:25pm ET $69.79 154 $10,747.66
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $69.46 154 $10,696.84 $10,765.00 $-50.82
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:25pm ET $68.74 156 $10,723.44
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:35am ET $68.96 156 $10,757.76 $10,799.32 +$34.32
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:10pm ET $67.99 158 $10,742.42
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 3:45pm ET $67.93 158 $10,732.94 $10,789.84 $-9.48
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $67.23 160 $10,756.82
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 1:50pm ET $67.18 160 $10,748.80 $10,781.82 $-8.02
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $67.89 158 $10,726.62
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:10pm ET $67.88 158 $10,725.04 $10,780.24 $-1.58
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 11:15am ET $69.78 154 $10,746.12
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 10:30am ET $70.16 154 $10,804.64 $10,838.76 +$58.52
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $70.04 154 $10,786.16
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 12:50pm ET $69.81 154 $10,749.97 $10,802.57 $-36.19
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $70.09 154 $10,793.86
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 10:40am ET $69.84 154 $10,754.59 $10,763.30 $-39.27
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $68.65 156 $10,709.40
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $69.73 156 $10,877.88 $10,931.78 +$168.48
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $67.62 161 $10,886.82
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $71.43 161 $11,500.23 $11,545.19 +$613.41
(+5.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:00pm ET $71.27 161 $11,474.47
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $73.39 161 $11,815.79 $11,886.51 +$341.32
(+3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $71.48 166 $11,864.85
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $71.29 166 $11,834.14 $11,855.80 $-30.71
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $72.91 162 $11,811.42
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $72.82 162 $11,796.84 $11,841.22 $-14.58
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $73.24 161 $11,791.64
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $72.06 161 $11,600.86 $11,650.44 $-190.78
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:50am ET $73.45 158 $11,605.10
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $73.36 158 $11,590.88 $11,636.22 $-14.22
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $76.15 152 $11,574.80
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $78.81 152 $11,979.12 $12,040.54 +$404.32
(+3.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $78.67 153 $12,036.51
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $75.31 153 $11,522.43 $11,526.46 $-514.08
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $76.77 150 $11,515.50
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $75.90 150 $11,385.00 $11,395.96 $-130.50
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET $76.97 148 $11,391.56
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $76.76 148 $11,360.48 $11,364.88 $-31.08
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $77.77 146 $11,354.42
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $78.14 146 $11,408.44 $11,418.90 +$54.02
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $77.82 146 $11,361.72
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:35pm ET $78.73 146 $11,494.58 $11,551.76 +$132.86
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $76.42 151 $11,539.42
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $75.60 151 $11,415.60 $11,427.94 $-123.82
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 2:00pm ET $80.93 141 $11,411.13
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $80.50 141 $11,351.20 $11,368.01 $-59.93
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $81.53 139 $11,332.67
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $80.97 139 $11,254.83 $11,290.17 $-77.84
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $80.63 140 $11,288.20
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $79.88 140 $11,183.20 $11,185.17 $-105.00
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $79.91 139 $11,107.49
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $80.56 139 $11,197.84 $11,275.52 +$90.35
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $86.25 130 $11,212.50
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $94.02 130 $12,222.60 $12,285.62 +$1,010.10
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $90.73 135 $12,248.55
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET $89.65 135 $12,102.75 $12,139.82 $-145.80
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $105.40 115 $12,121.57
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.16 115 $13,703.40 $13,721.65 +$1,581.83
(+13.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $103.31 132 $13,636.92
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $106.46 132 $14,052.72 $14,137.45 +$415.80
(+3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET $117.08 120 $14,049.59
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $119.04 120 $14,284.20 $14,372.06 +$234.61
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $117.10 122 $14,285.59
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:00am ET $116.41 122 $14,202.12 $14,288.59 $-83.47
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $120.11 118 $14,173.45
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:55am ET $119.77 118 $14,132.86 $14,248.00 $-40.59
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $113.20 125 $14,150.00
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $111.33 125 $13,916.13 $14,014.13 $-233.87
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:25am ET $111.78 125 $13,972.50
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $117.68 125 $14,710.00 $14,751.63 +$737.50
(+5.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $128.65 114 $14,666.10
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:45am ET $128.62 114 $14,662.68 $14,748.21 $-3.42
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $124.78 118 $14,724.04
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $138.90 118 $16,390.20 $16,414.37 +$1,666.16
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $138.67 118 $16,363.05
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $139.21 118 $16,426.78 $16,478.10 +$63.73
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET $141.60 116 $16,425.58
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $119.21 116 $13,827.90 $13,880.42 $-2,597.68
(-15.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:55am ET $126.14 110 $13,875.40
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $126.72 110 $13,939.20 $13,944.22 +$63.80
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $123.83 112 $13,868.96
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $123.15 112 $13,792.40 $13,867.66 $-76.56
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $124.11 111 $13,776.21
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $127.12 111 $14,110.32 $14,201.77 +$334.11
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET $122.55 115 $14,093.25
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $125.57 115 $14,440.54 $14,549.06 +$347.29
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $130.19 111 $14,451.09
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $129.83 111 $14,411.13 $14,509.10 $-39.96
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $131.71 110 $14,488.10
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $134.43 110 $14,787.30 $14,808.30 +$299.20
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $139.38 106 $14,774.28
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $139.64 106 $14,801.84 $14,835.86 +$27.56
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:25pm ET $146.63 101 $14,809.63
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $143.40 101 $14,483.40 $14,509.63 $-326.23
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
58 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:15pm ET $147.69 98 $14,473.62
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $147.49 98 $14,454.02 $14,490.03 $-19.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
59 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $134.32 107 $14,371.79
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $133.62 107 $14,297.34 $14,415.58 $-74.45
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,415.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,415.58
Total Return: +44.16%
Back to Grace Crossover