Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:21:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
7.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 20.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 19.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.2%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,582
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,222.19
Current Value
$10,720.60
Period P&L
$-501.59
Max Drawdown
-4.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
58
Winners / Losers
16 / 42
Best Trade
+0.86%
Worst Trade
-1.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
10.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,243,741.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-501.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-501.59
Gross Return
-4.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 58 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,222.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:55am ET $622.15 18 $11,198.70
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:40am ET $625.25 18 $11,254.50 $11,277.97 +$55.80
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 12:35pm ET $628.40 17 $10,682.80
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 2:25pm ET $627.71 17 $10,671.07 $11,266.24 $-11.73
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:40am ET $617.04 18 $11,106.72
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 1:15pm ET $618.83 18 $11,138.94 $11,298.46 +$32.22
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:35am ET $608.00 18 $10,944.07
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $605.56 18 $10,900.08 $11,254.47 $-43.99
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 1:20pm ET $608.83 18 $10,958.94
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 1:25pm ET $607.74 18 $10,939.32 $11,234.85 $-19.62
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:25am ET $603.10 18 $10,855.78
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $606.54 18 $10,917.75 $11,296.81 +$61.96
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:35am ET $615.45 18 $11,078.10
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 2:35pm ET $618.62 18 $11,135.16 $11,353.87 +$57.06
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:40am ET $626.42 18 $11,275.56
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET $627.04 18 $11,286.77 $11,365.09 +$11.21
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $627.77 18 $11,299.86
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET $625.36 18 $11,256.48 $11,321.71 $-43.38
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 11:50am ET $629.14 17 $10,695.38
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET $628.59 17 $10,686.09 $11,312.42 $-9.29
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $628.96 17 $10,692.32
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 1:25pm ET $627.92 17 $10,674.64 $11,294.74 $-17.68
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 11:20am ET $628.59 17 $10,686.03
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:30pm ET $627.99 17 $10,675.83 $11,284.54 $-10.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 12:50pm ET $627.70 17 $10,670.90
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $627.08 17 $10,660.36 $11,274.00 $-10.54
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 1:50pm ET $623.27 18 $11,218.86
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 2:10pm ET $621.71 18 $11,190.78 $11,245.92 $-28.08
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $623.24 18 $11,218.32
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:10pm ET $621.97 18 $11,195.46 $11,223.06 $-22.86
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:20pm ET $627.73 17 $10,671.41
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:25pm ET $627.55 17 $10,668.32 $11,219.98 $-3.09
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 1:45pm ET $634.72 17 $10,790.24
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $632.75 17 $10,756.67 $11,186.40 $-33.58
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:55am ET $632.82 17 $10,757.86
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET $632.26 17 $10,748.42 $11,176.97 $-9.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:25pm ET $630.30 17 $10,715.10
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $629.20 17 $10,696.44 $11,158.31 $-18.66
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $633.17 17 $10,763.89
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $633.00 17 $10,761.00 $11,155.42 $-2.89
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:50am ET $636.79 17 $10,825.43
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $637.10 17 $10,830.70 $11,160.69 +$5.27
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $634.16 17 $10,780.72
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $638.25 17 $10,850.25 $11,230.22 +$69.53
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:40am ET $638.80 17 $10,859.60
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $638.19 17 $10,849.23 $11,219.85 $-10.37
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $632.81 17 $10,757.77
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $638.23 17 $10,849.83 $11,311.90 +$92.06
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $637.31 17 $10,834.27
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $636.72 17 $10,824.16 $11,301.79 $-10.11
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $625.47 18 $11,258.46
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET $626.18 18 $11,271.29 $11,314.62 +$12.83
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:20am ET $634.16 17 $10,780.72
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $633.49 17 $10,769.33 $11,303.23 $-11.39
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:40am ET $638.36 17 $10,852.12
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $639.81 17 $10,876.69 $11,327.80 +$24.57
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $639.82 17 $10,876.94
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $637.50 17 $10,837.50 $11,288.36 $-39.44
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $635.82 17 $10,808.94
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $634.62 17 $10,788.54 $11,267.96 $-20.40
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $632.06 17 $10,745.02
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $631.89 17 $10,742.13 $11,265.07 $-2.89
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET $626.34 17 $10,647.78
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $624.61 17 $10,618.37 $11,235.66 $-29.41
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $635.61 17 $10,805.37
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $638.81 17 $10,859.77 $11,290.06 +$54.40
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $639.44 17 $10,870.48
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET $636.16 17 $10,814.72 $11,234.30 $-55.76
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $626.47 17 $10,649.99
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $625.07 17 $10,626.19 $11,210.50 $-23.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $631.70 17 $10,738.90
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $629.02 17 $10,693.34 $11,164.94 $-45.56
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $632.44 17 $10,751.48
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $631.71 17 $10,739.07 $11,152.53 $-12.41
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $632.10 17 $10,745.70
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $628.64 17 $10,686.80 $11,093.63 $-58.90
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $629.69 17 $10,704.73
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $630.09 17 $10,711.53 $11,100.43 +$6.80
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $628.22 17 $10,679.74
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $617.41 17 $10,495.97 $10,916.66 $-183.77
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $616.41 17 $10,479.05
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $620.78 17 $10,553.26 $10,990.86 +$74.20
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $615.76 17 $10,467.92
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $610.17 17 $10,372.89 $10,895.83 $-95.03
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $618.18 17 $10,509.06
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET $617.98 17 $10,505.66 $10,892.43 $-3.40
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:05pm ET $613.36 17 $10,427.20
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $612.78 17 $10,417.26 $10,882.49 $-9.94
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $606.40 17 $10,308.72
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $605.62 17 $10,295.54 $10,869.31 $-13.18
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $608.27 17 $10,340.62
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $604.51 17 $10,276.67 $10,805.36 $-63.95
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $586.95 18 $10,565.10
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET $584.04 18 $10,512.72 $10,752.98 $-52.38
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $603.30 17 $10,256.10
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $602.48 17 $10,242.16 $10,739.04 $-13.94
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $604.83 17 $10,282.11
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $602.36 17 $10,240.20 $10,697.14 $-41.90
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $620.61 17 $10,550.37
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET $620.13 17 $10,542.13 $10,688.90 $-8.24
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $624.81 17 $10,621.77
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $624.19 17 $10,611.23 $10,678.36 $-10.54
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $637.62 16 $10,201.92
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $642.44 16 $10,278.96 $10,755.40 +$77.04
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $650.88 16 $10,414.08
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $650.79 16 $10,412.64 $10,753.96 $-1.44
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $651.19 16 $10,419.04
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $651.72 16 $10,427.52 $10,762.44 +$8.48
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $652.09 16 $10,433.36
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $650.45 16 $10,407.20 $10,736.28 $-26.16
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $656.34 16 $10,501.44
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET $655.92 16 $10,494.80 $10,729.64 $-6.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $653.31 16 $10,452.96
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:10am ET $653.32 16 $10,453.04 $10,729.72 +$0.08
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
58 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $664.72 16 $10,635.60
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $664.16 16 $10,626.48 $10,720.60 $-9.12
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,720.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$720.60
Total Return: +7.21%
Back to Grace Crossover