Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:16:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

21
+1.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.0 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,324
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,862.87
Current Value
$9,646.76
Period P&L
$-216.05
Max Drawdown
-11.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
58
Winners / Losers
20 / 38
Best Trade
+1.32%
Worst Trade
-1.57%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
9.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,120,400.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-216.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-216.05
Gross Return
-2.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 58 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,862.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:55am ET $332.84 29 $9,652.37
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:35am ET $334.46 29 $9,699.20 $9,909.64 +$46.83
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 12:35pm ET $336.06 29 $9,745.74
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 2:20pm ET $335.74 29 $9,736.32 $9,900.22 $-9.42
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:40am ET $329.59 30 $9,887.81
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 1:15pm ET $330.54 30 $9,916.20 $9,928.61 +$28.39
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:30am ET $324.71 30 $9,741.15
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $323.31 30 $9,699.30 $9,886.76 $-41.85
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
54m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 1:20pm ET $325.08 30 $9,752.40
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 1:25pm ET $324.45 30 $9,733.50 $9,867.86 $-18.90
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:25am ET $322.02 30 $9,660.60
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $323.99 30 $9,719.70 $9,926.96 +$59.10
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:30am ET $329.40 30 $9,881.85
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 2:35pm ET $330.99 30 $9,929.70 $9,974.81 +$47.85
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:45am ET $335.37 29 $9,725.73
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:35pm ET $335.67 29 $9,734.43 $9,983.51 +$8.70
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $335.89 29 $9,740.84
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET $334.53 29 $9,701.37 $9,944.03 $-39.47
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:40am ET $336.86 29 $9,768.94
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 11:00am ET $336.24 29 $9,750.96 $9,926.05 $-17.98
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 1:00pm ET $337.98 29 $9,801.31
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 2:20pm ET $337.63 29 $9,791.15 $9,915.89 $-10.16
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $336.62 29 $9,761.98
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 12:35pm ET $336.93 29 $9,770.97 $9,924.88 +$8.99
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:45pm ET $336.58 29 $9,760.68
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:30pm ET $336.39 29 $9,755.40 $9,919.60 $-5.28
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 12:50pm ET $336.60 29 $9,761.40
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $336.21 29 $9,750.09 $9,908.29 $-11.31
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 3:45pm ET $335.48 29 $9,728.92
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 3:50pm ET $335.30 29 $9,723.70 $9,903.07 $-5.22
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $334.06 29 $9,687.65
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:10pm ET $333.17 29 $9,661.93 $9,877.35 $-25.72
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $337.00 29 $9,772.86
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 1:50pm ET $337.39 29 $9,784.31 $9,888.81 +$11.45
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 10:55am ET $339.92 29 $9,857.54
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 11:10am ET $339.50 29 $9,845.50 $9,876.77 $-12.03
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:20pm ET $338.27 29 $9,809.83
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 2:10pm ET $338.03 29 $9,802.75 $9,869.69 $-7.08
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:30pm ET $337.03 29 $9,773.73
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $336.40 29 $9,755.60 $9,851.56 $-18.13
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $339.48 29 $9,844.92
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET $339.43 29 $9,843.47 $9,850.11 $-1.45
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:45am ET $340.27 28 $9,527.42
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $340.17 28 $9,524.76 $9,847.45 $-2.66
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:05am ET $342.41 28 $9,587.48
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $342.67 28 $9,594.62 $9,854.60 +$7.14
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $339.86 28 $9,516.08
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $343.22 28 $9,610.16 $9,948.68 +$94.08
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $336.59 29 $9,761.11
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET $336.85 29 $9,768.65 $9,956.22 +$7.54
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET $341.01 29 $9,889.27
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $340.94 29 $9,887.12 $9,954.06 $-2.15
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:40am ET $342.60 29 $9,935.50
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $343.28 29 $9,954.98 $9,973.54 +$19.47
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $343.26 29 $9,954.40
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $342.79 29 $9,940.91 $9,960.05 $-13.48
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
54m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:05am ET $341.56 29 $9,905.24
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET $340.50 29 $9,874.50 $9,929.31 $-30.74
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:10pm ET $338.57 29 $9,818.53
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $338.66 29 $9,821.14 $9,931.92 +$2.61
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET $335.83 29 $9,739.21
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $335.07 29 $9,716.89 $9,909.59 $-22.33
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $342.98 28 $9,603.44
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $342.90 28 $9,601.20 $9,907.35 $-2.24
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $343.78 28 $9,625.84
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $341.82 28 $9,570.96 $9,852.47 $-54.88
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $336.63 29 $9,762.27
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $337.27 29 $9,780.83 $9,871.03 +$18.56
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $339.18 29 $9,836.22
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $338.52 29 $9,817.08 $9,851.89 $-19.14
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $336.77 29 $9,766.47
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $336.20 29 $9,749.80 $9,835.22 $-16.67
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:45pm ET $339.13 29 $9,834.85
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $341.65 29 $9,907.85 $9,908.22 +$73.00
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:35am ET $338.61 29 $9,819.69
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $335.24 29 $9,721.96 $9,810.49 $-97.73
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:35am ET $333.61 29 $9,674.69
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $335.83 29 $9,738.93 $9,874.73 +$64.24
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:00pm ET $332.51 29 $9,642.79
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $331.98 29 $9,627.42 $9,859.36 $-15.37
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:00am ET $334.27 29 $9,693.97
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $332.40 29 $9,639.60 $9,804.99 $-54.38
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $329.78 29 $9,563.62
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $326.71 29 $9,474.73 $9,716.10 $-88.89
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $331.04 29 $9,600.16
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET $331.11 29 $9,602.05 $9,717.99 +$1.89
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $328.93 29 $9,538.97
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 2:40pm ET $323.76 29 $9,388.90 $9,567.92 $-150.07
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $325.08 29 $9,427.32
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $324.84 29 $9,420.36 $9,560.96 $-6.96
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $326.60 29 $9,471.40
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $325.54 29 $9,440.66 $9,530.22 $-30.74
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $315.08 30 $9,452.40
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:05am ET $313.63 30 $9,408.90 $9,486.72 $-43.50
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $323.83 29 $9,391.07
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $323.39 29 $9,378.31 $9,473.96 $-12.76
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $324.82 29 $9,419.78
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $323.71 29 $9,387.59 $9,441.77 $-32.19
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $335.55 28 $9,395.54
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $335.52 28 $9,394.56 $9,440.79 $-0.98
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $342.31 27 $9,242.37
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $343.48 27 $9,273.83 $9,472.25 +$31.46
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:50pm ET $345.90 27 $9,339.30
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $350.45 27 $9,462.15 $9,595.10 +$122.85
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $349.25 27 $9,429.75
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $350.33 27 $9,458.91 $9,624.26 +$29.16
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $350.15 27 $9,454.06
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $349.20 27 $9,428.53 $9,598.74 $-25.52
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $352.17 27 $9,508.46
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET $351.88 27 $9,500.76 $9,591.04 $-7.70
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $350.23 27 $9,456.08
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET $350.09 27 $9,452.40 $9,587.36 $-3.68
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
57 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $356.36 26 $9,265.24
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $356.01 26 $9,256.26 $9,578.38 $-8.98
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
58 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $359.23 26 $9,339.98
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 11:55am ET $361.86 26 $9,408.36 $9,646.76 +$68.38
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,646.76
Net Profit/Loss: $-353.24
Total Return: -3.53%
Back to Grace Crossover