Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-21 19:51:09

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.8/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 31.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 31.6

30-Day Momentum

49
+6.6%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.5 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,465
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,756.34
Current Value
$13,270.33
Period P&L
$1,514.06
Max Drawdown
-10.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
22 / 32
Best Trade
+4.93%
Worst Trade
-2.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
22.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,349,965.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,514.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,514.06
Gross Return
+12.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 54 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,756.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:40pm ET $94.12 124 $11,670.88
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 11:50am ET $94.20 124 $11,681.15 $11,766.53 +$10.27
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 2:55pm ET $94.92 123 $11,674.55
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:55am ET $94.75 123 $11,654.25 $11,746.24 $-20.30
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 1:55pm ET $94.22 124 $11,682.66
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:35am ET $93.83 124 $11,634.30 $11,697.88 $-48.36
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:45am ET $93.50 125 $11,687.50
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $96.87 125 $12,108.75 $12,119.13 +$421.25
(+3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $95.16 127 $12,084.69
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $95.70 127 $12,153.90 $12,188.34 +$69.22
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $95.82 127 $12,169.14
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $95.66 127 $12,148.82 $12,168.02 $-20.32
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $94.62 128 $12,111.36
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $94.24 128 $12,062.08 $12,118.74 $-49.28
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $89.11 135 $12,029.85
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $88.56 135 $11,955.60 $12,044.49 $-74.25
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:20am ET $89.22 134 $11,955.48
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET $88.98 134 $11,922.65 $12,011.66 $-32.83
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $88.50 135 $11,947.50
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:15am ET $88.13 135 $11,896.88 $11,961.04 $-50.63
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $86.95 137 $11,912.15
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $86.64 137 $11,870.02 $11,918.91 $-42.13
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $86.62 137 $11,866.94
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:55pm ET $88.04 137 $12,060.80 $12,112.76 +$193.85
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET $88.98 136 $12,101.28
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $88.69 136 $12,062.03 $12,073.51 $-39.25
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $89.67 134 $12,015.78
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:15am ET $90.34 134 $12,105.56 $12,163.29 +$89.78
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $92.53 131 $12,120.78
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $92.29 131 $12,089.99 $12,132.51 $-30.79
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $93.02 130 $12,092.60
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $93.09 130 $12,102.15 $12,142.06 +$9.56
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $91.99 132 $12,142.02
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $94.31 132 $12,448.26 $12,448.30 +$306.24
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:20am ET $94.71 131 $12,407.01
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET $94.07 131 $12,322.52 $12,363.81 $-84.49
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:30pm ET $87.90 140 $12,306.00
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 11:20am ET $88.33 140 $12,366.20 $12,424.01 +$60.20
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:20am ET $87.47 142 $12,420.74
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $87.34 142 $12,402.28 $12,405.55 $-18.46
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $85.06 145 $12,333.70
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $84.64 145 $12,272.79 $12,344.64 $-60.91
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $85.03 145 $12,328.63
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:00pm ET $86.33 145 $12,518.57 $12,534.59 +$189.95
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET $81.22 154 $12,507.88
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $82.42 154 $12,692.68 $12,719.39 +$184.80
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:10am ET $82.99 153 $12,696.71
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:40am ET $82.71 153 $12,653.87 $12,676.55 $-42.84
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $77.65 163 $12,656.95
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $78.63 163 $12,816.69 $12,836.29 +$159.74
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $77.09 166 $12,796.94
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $76.91 166 $12,767.06 $12,806.41 $-29.88
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:40am ET $75.13 170 $12,772.27
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $75.17 170 $12,778.90 $12,813.04 +$6.63
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:55am ET $76.75 166 $12,740.50
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $76.42 166 $12,685.72 $12,758.26 $-54.78
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $77.35 164 $12,684.58
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $78.69 164 $12,905.16 $12,978.84 +$220.58
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $80.63 160 $12,900.78
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $79.90 160 $12,784.80 $12,862.86 $-115.98
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $77.92 165 $12,856.80
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $77.69 165 $12,819.67 $12,825.74 $-37.12
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $77.81 164 $12,760.84
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $80.94 164 $13,274.16 $13,339.06 +$513.32
(+4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $81.64 163 $13,307.32
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $81.56 163 $13,294.28 $13,326.02 $-13.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $84.82 157 $13,316.27
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $84.62 157 $13,285.34 $13,295.09 $-30.93
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $85.48 155 $13,249.40
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $82.95 155 $12,857.25 $12,902.94 $-392.15
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $80.60 160 $12,896.27
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:35am ET $81.21 160 $12,993.62 $13,000.28 +$97.34
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:55am ET $81.89 158 $12,939.41
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $81.45 158 $12,869.10 $12,929.97 $-70.31
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $81.79 158 $12,922.03
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $80.04 158 $12,646.32 $12,654.26 $-275.71
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET $81.42 155 $12,620.10
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $80.77 155 $12,519.35 $12,553.51 $-100.75
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
40 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $82.62 151 $12,475.76
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $81.54 151 $12,311.79 $12,389.54 $-163.97
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
41 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $79.80 155 $12,369.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $80.82 155 $12,527.10 $12,547.64 +$158.10
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
42 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 3:30pm ET $79.05 158 $12,489.90
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $78.93 158 $12,470.15 $12,527.89 $-19.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
43 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:00pm ET $73.95 169 $12,497.55
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $73.87 169 $12,484.03 $12,514.37 $-13.52
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
44 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $73.35 170 $12,469.48
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $73.17 170 $12,438.90 $12,483.79 $-30.58
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
45 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $74.37 167 $12,419.79
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:35am ET $74.16 167 $12,384.72 $12,448.72 $-35.07
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
46 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $75.76 164 $12,425.46
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 12:10pm ET $76.21 164 $12,497.62 $12,520.88 +$72.16
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
47 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $77.32 161 $12,447.72
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $76.67 161 $12,343.87 $12,417.03 $-103.85
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
48 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $76.22 162 $12,348.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $76.85 162 $12,449.70 $12,518.73 +$101.70
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
49 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $77.54 161 $12,483.94
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $81.36 161 $13,098.96 $13,133.75 +$615.02
(+4.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2d held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $81.86 160 $13,097.60
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $81.84 160 $13,094.40 $13,130.55 $-3.20
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $81.63 160 $13,060.80
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $81.63 160 $13,060.80 $13,130.55 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:10pm ET $81.55 161 $13,129.55
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:45pm ET $83.47 161 $13,438.67 $13,439.67 +$309.12
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $84.07 159 $13,367.13
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $84.68 159 $13,464.91 $13,537.45 +$97.78
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
54 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:55am ET $84.64 159 $13,457.76
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $82.96 159 $13,190.64 $13,270.33 $-267.12
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,270.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,270.33
Total Return: +32.70%
Back to Grace Crossover