Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:17:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 29.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.2

30-Day Momentum

46
+5.7%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
6.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.4 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,494
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,873.68
Current Value
$12,822.98
Period P&L
$949.33
Max Drawdown
-13.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
58
Winners / Losers
23 / 35
Best Trade
+4.30%
Worst Trade
-3.38%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
12.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,399,058.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$949.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$949.33
Gross Return
+8.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 58 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,873.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:05pm ET $141.96 83 $11,782.27
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:40am ET $146.16 83 $12,131.28 $12,222.68 +$349.01
(+3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 12:20pm ET $146.30 83 $12,142.49
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $146.67 83 $12,173.61 $12,253.81 +$31.13
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 3:40pm ET $143.31 85 $12,181.14
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:50pm ET $142.92 85 $12,147.78 $12,220.45 $-33.36
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:55am ET $143.64 85 $12,209.40
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 12:40pm ET $142.88 85 $12,144.38 $12,155.42 $-65.02
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:40pm ET $140.39 86 $12,073.54
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:30pm ET $140.08 86 $12,046.45 $12,128.33 $-27.09
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 3:00pm ET $140.33 86 $12,067.95
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET $141.47 86 $12,165.99 $12,226.37 +$98.04
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:40am ET $135.97 89 $12,100.89
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:25pm ET $136.26 89 $12,127.14 $12,252.63 +$26.25
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:25pm ET $140.04 87 $12,183.05
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 3:30pm ET $140.02 87 $12,181.31 $12,250.89 $-1.74
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 2:15pm ET $142.20 86 $12,229.42
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:50pm ET $141.98 86 $12,210.28 $12,231.75 $-19.13
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $143.17 85 $12,169.45
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET $143.94 85 $12,234.90 $12,297.20 +$65.45
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:25am ET $145.17 84 $12,194.28
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:05pm ET $145.43 84 $12,216.12 $12,319.04 +$21.84
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 2:55pm ET $146.65 84 $12,318.18
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:45pm ET $146.33 84 $12,291.72 $12,292.58 $-26.46
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $147.66 83 $12,255.78
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 1:35pm ET $147.91 83 $12,276.53 $12,313.33 +$20.75
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:00pm ET $147.80 83 $12,267.40
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $146.42 83 $12,152.86 $12,198.79 $-114.54
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 1:00pm ET $144.60 84 $12,146.40
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 2:00pm ET $144.32 84 $12,122.46 $12,174.85 $-23.94
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 12:00pm ET $142.39 85 $12,103.13
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 12:40pm ET $141.77 85 $12,050.45 $12,122.17 $-52.68
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
42m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $141.91 85 $12,062.35
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:15pm ET $141.23 85 $12,004.55 $12,064.37 $-57.80
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 1:35pm ET $145.10 83 $12,043.30
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 1:50pm ET $145.02 83 $12,036.66 $12,057.73 $-6.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 1:05pm ET $146.72 82 $12,031.04
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:00pm ET $146.72 82 $12,030.68 $12,057.37 $-0.36
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:55am ET $145.90 82 $11,963.80
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET $145.69 82 $11,946.58 $12,040.15 $-17.22
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:40pm ET $145.03 83 $12,037.49
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:25pm ET $144.74 83 $12,013.01 $12,015.66 $-24.48
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $144.72 83 $12,011.76
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $144.51 83 $11,994.33 $11,998.23 $-17.43
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:10am ET $146.73 81 $11,884.73
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $147.01 81 $11,907.41 $12,020.91 +$22.68
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $144.12 83 $11,961.96
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $143.90 83 $11,943.29 $12,002.24 $-18.67
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:25am ET $146.36 82 $12,001.52
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:30am ET $146.17 82 $11,985.94 $11,986.66 $-15.58
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:30am ET $146.93 81 $11,901.33
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $146.57 81 $11,872.17 $11,957.50 $-29.16
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $143.85 83 $11,939.55
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $146.86 83 $12,189.38 $12,207.33 +$249.83
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:30pm ET $145.94 83 $12,113.02
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $145.73 83 $12,095.59 $12,189.90 $-17.43
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
54m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:40am ET $142.68 85 $12,127.80
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET $142.90 85 $12,146.50 $12,208.60 +$18.70
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET $144.88 84 $12,169.92
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $144.97 84 $12,177.06 $12,215.74 +$7.14
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.32 82 $12,080.04
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $148.30 82 $12,160.61 $12,296.31 +$80.57
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $145.58 84 $12,228.72
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:20am ET $145.74 84 $12,242.16 $12,309.75 +$13.44
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $141.05 87 $12,270.96
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET $140.62 87 $12,233.94 $12,272.73 $-37.02
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:45am ET $138.27 88 $12,167.76
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET $137.63 88 $12,111.00 $12,215.97 $-56.76
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $143.96 84 $12,092.22
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET $143.48 84 $12,052.32 $12,176.07 $-39.90
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 12:15pm ET $142.82 85 $12,140.12
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $142.84 85 $12,141.40 $12,177.34 +$1.27
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $139.40 87 $12,128.23
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $138.74 87 $12,070.81 $12,119.92 $-57.42
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 2:10pm ET $139.76 86 $12,019.79
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $140.58 86 $12,089.88 $12,190.01 +$70.09
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $138.97 87 $12,090.39
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $140.44 87 $12,218.28 $12,317.90 +$127.89
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $143.17 86 $12,312.62
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $138.34 86 $11,896.81 $11,902.09 $-415.81
(-3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:30am ET $136.93 86 $11,776.41
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $137.57 86 $11,831.02 $11,956.70 +$54.61
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:25am ET $139.14 85 $11,826.90
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $138.98 85 $11,813.30 $11,943.10 $-13.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $137.79 86 $11,849.51
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $137.52 86 $11,826.72 $11,920.31 $-22.79
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $140.89 84 $11,834.76
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:15am ET $140.33 84 $11,787.72 $11,873.27 $-47.04
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $138.81 85 $11,798.85
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $138.51 85 $11,773.35 $11,847.77 $-25.50
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $137.22 86 $11,800.92
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:05pm ET $136.90 86 $11,772.97 $11,819.82 $-27.95
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $139.73 84 $11,737.32
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $139.47 84 $11,715.48 $11,797.98 $-21.84
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 12:10pm ET $137.75 85 $11,708.75
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:05pm ET $137.45 85 $11,683.25 $11,772.48 $-25.50
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $137.13 85 $11,655.63
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $136.16 85 $11,574.02 $11,690.88 $-81.60
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3d held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET $131.74 88 $11,593.56
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $131.13 88 $11,539.44 $11,636.76 $-54.12
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $129.18 90 $11,626.20
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $134.74 90 $12,126.60 $12,137.16 +$500.40
(+4.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $135.53 89 $12,062.17
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $135.98 89 $12,101.78 $12,176.77 +$39.61
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $141.68 85 $12,042.80
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $141.26 85 $12,006.68 $12,140.65 $-36.12
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:40pm ET $147.30 82 $12,078.62
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $148.76 82 $12,197.91 $12,259.94 +$119.29
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $151.65 80 $12,132.40
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $154.57 80 $12,365.60 $12,493.14 +$233.20
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:05am ET $157.41 79 $12,435.39
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:55am ET $156.96 79 $12,399.45 $12,457.19 $-35.95
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:15pm ET $157.08 79 $12,409.32
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $158.18 79 $12,496.22 $12,544.09 +$86.90
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
58 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $162.07 77 $12,479.77
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $165.70 77 $12,758.66 $12,822.98 +$278.89
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,822.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,822.98
Total Return: +28.23%
Back to Grace Crossover