SHIBUSD Grace Crossover's Analysis
Era 7: Feb 5, 2026 to 2026-02-15 04:45:00+00 • 48 trades (6 prior eras crashed)
Data Transparency
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Era 7)
Trade Statistics (Era 7)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Era 7)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
💸 Capital Refund History
When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.
| # | Date | Capital Before | Trades Before | Era Fees Paid | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 24, 2024 | $99.56 | 1,034 | $10,598.45 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
| 2 | Sep 23, 2024 | $99.55 | 1,888 | $9,363.95 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
| 3 | Feb 15, 2025 | $99.40 | 2,904 | $12,254.41 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
| 4 | Jun 28, 2025 | $99.87 | 3,796 | $8,676.40 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
| 5 | Oct 13, 2025 | $99.99 | 4,603 | $9,151.93 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
| 6 | Feb 5, 2026 | $99.41 | 5,405 | $8,767.48 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 6 times. Total capital invested: $70,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.
📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures
Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.
📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time (Era 7)
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay (Era 7)
📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🔄 Era 7 Trade History (Current) (since refund on Feb 5, 2026 - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,099.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 7:45pm ET | $0.00000661 | 1,527,898,051 | $10,099.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 7:55pm ET | $0.00000660 | 1,527,898,051 | $10,084.13 | $10,033.67 |
$-65.74 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 8:00pm ET | $0.00000662 | 1,515,659,864 | $10,033.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:00pm ET | $0.00000659 | 1,515,659,864 | $9,988.20 | $9,938.14 |
$-95.52 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:40pm ET | $0.00000664 | 1,496,708,410 | $9,938.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:45pm ET | $0.00000658 | 1,496,708,410 | $9,848.34 | $9,798.88 |
$-139.27 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:40am ET | $0.00000647 | 1,514,509,292 | $9,798.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 4:45am ET | $0.00000644 | 1,514,509,292 | $9,753.44 | $9,704.56 |
$-94.32 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $0.00000629 | 1,542,855,176 | $9,704.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $0.00000618 | 1,542,855,176 | $9,534.84 | $9,486.75 |
$-217.81 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $0.00000591 | 1,605,202,449 | $9,486.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $0.00000586 | 1,605,202,449 | $9,406.49 | $9,359.25 |
$-127.49 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 5:50pm ET | $0.00000574 | 1,630,531,929 | $9,359.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 6:40pm ET | $0.00000567 | 1,630,531,929 | $9,245.12 | $9,198.61 |
$-160.65 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 8:00pm ET | $0.00000564 | 1,630,958,353 | $9,198.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:20pm ET | $0.00000569 | 1,630,958,353 | $9,280.15 | $9,233.96 |
+$35.35 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:30pm ET | $0.00000573 | 1,611,510,669 | $9,233.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET | $0.00000585 | 1,611,510,669 | $9,427.34 | $9,380.68 |
+$146.73 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 4:20am ET | $0.00000588 | 1,595,354,453 | $9,380.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 7:35am ET | $0.00000597 | 1,595,354,453 | $9,524.27 | $9,477.00 |
+$96.32 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 8:00am ET | $0.00000601 | 1,576,872,497 | $9,477.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $0.00000624 | 1,576,872,497 | $9,839.68 | $9,791.39 |
+$314.39 (+3.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:00pm ET | $0.00000627 | 1,561,625,624 | $9,791.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $0.00000624 | 1,561,625,624 | $9,744.54 | $9,695.70 |
$-95.69 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 4:25pm ET | $0.00000628 | 1,543,901,919 | $9,695.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 7:00pm ET | $0.00000630 | 1,543,901,919 | $9,726.58 | $9,678.03 |
$-17.68 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:25pm ET | $0.00000628 | 1,541,087,002 | $9,678.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:45pm ET | $0.00000627 | 1,541,087,002 | $9,662.62 | $9,614.26 |
$-63.76 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 12:20am ET | $0.00000632 | 1,521,244,288 | $9,614.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 12:25am ET | $0.00000627 | 1,521,244,288 | $9,538.20 | $9,490.32 |
$-123.94 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 1:25am ET | $0.00000630 | 1,506,400,083 | $9,490.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 1:40am ET | $0.00000627 | 1,506,400,083 | $9,445.13 | $9,397.79 |
$-92.53 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 7:05am ET | $0.00000612 | 1,535,586,584 | $9,397.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 9:05am ET | $0.00000614 | 1,535,586,584 | $9,428.50 | $9,381.44 |
$-16.35 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $0.00000620 | 1,513,134,822 | $9,381.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 12:55pm ET | $0.00000622 | 1,513,134,822 | $9,411.70 | $9,364.72 |
$-16.72 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $0.00000624 | 1,500,755,731 | $9,364.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 5:20pm ET | $0.00000633 | 1,500,755,731 | $9,499.78 | $9,452.62 |
+$87.91 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 3:00am ET | $0.00000619 | 1,527,079,568 | $9,452.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 4:45am ET | $0.00000621 | 1,527,079,568 | $9,483.16 | $9,435.82 |
$-16.80 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 6:25am ET | $0.00000623 | 1,514,578,596 | $9,435.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 10:20am ET | $0.00000623 | 1,514,578,596 | $9,435.82 | $9,388.65 |
$-47.18 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $0.00000617 | 1,521,660,539 | $9,388.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $0.00000614 | 1,521,660,539 | $9,343.00 | $9,296.17 |
$-92.48 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $0.00000616 | 1,509,117,956 | $9,296.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $0.00000614 | 1,509,117,956 | $9,265.98 | $9,219.58 |
$-76.59 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 6:00pm ET | $0.00000617 | 1,494,259,136 | $9,219.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 6:30pm ET | $0.00000610 | 1,494,259,136 | $9,114.98 | $9,069.14 |
$-150.43 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 8:20pm ET | $0.00000615 | 1,474,657,615 | $9,069.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 8:40pm ET | $0.00000609 | 1,474,657,615 | $8,980.66 | $8,935.54 |
$-133.60 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 9:40pm ET | $0.00000615 | 1,452,933,391 | $8,935.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:05am ET | $0.00000615 | 1,452,933,391 | $8,935.54 | $8,890.86 |
$-44.68 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 7:00am ET | $0.00000598 | 1,486,766,330 | $8,890.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 8:50am ET | $0.00000597 | 1,486,766,330 | $8,875.99 | $8,831.58 |
$-59.28 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $0.00000602 | 1,467,039,509 | $8,831.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $0.00000613 | 1,467,039,509 | $8,992.95 | $8,948.39 |
+$116.81 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 5:15pm ET | $0.00000614 | 1,457,392,649 | $8,948.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 5:25pm ET | $0.00000612 | 1,457,392,649 | $8,919.24 | $8,874.57 |
$-73.82 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 5:40pm ET | $0.00000614 | 1,445,370,347 | $8,874.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 5:50pm ET | $0.00000612 | 1,445,370,347 | $8,845.67 | $8,801.37 |
$-73.21 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 6:00pm ET | $0.00000614 | 1,433,447,218 | $8,801.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 6:20pm ET | $0.00000611 | 1,433,447,218 | $8,758.36 | $8,714.46 |
$-86.90 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 8:25pm ET | $0.00000613 | 1,421,609,002 | $8,714.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:25pm ET | $0.00000610 | 1,421,609,002 | $8,671.81 | $8,628.35 |
$-86.11 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 11:45pm ET | $0.00000608 | 1,419,136,384 | $8,628.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:25am ET | $0.00000605 | 1,419,136,384 | $8,585.78 | $8,542.74 |
$-85.61 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
42m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 8:25pm ET | $0.00000613 | 1,393,595,432 | $8,542.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:25pm ET | $0.00000610 | 1,393,595,432 | $8,500.93 | $8,500.93 |
$-84.42 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 11:45pm ET | $0.00000608 | 1,398,179,628 | $8,500.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:25am ET | $0.00000605 | 1,398,179,628 | $8,458.99 | $8,458.99 |
$-84.35 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 4:00am ET | $0.00000601 | 1,407,485,857 | $8,458.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 5:00am ET | $0.00000598 | 1,407,485,857 | $8,416.77 | $8,416.77 |
$-84.41 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 6:20am ET | $0.00000599 | 1,405,136,131 | $8,416.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 6:50am ET | $0.00000597 | 1,405,136,131 | $8,388.66 | $8,388.66 |
$-70.12 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 7:00am ET | $0.00000599 | 1,400,444,524 | $8,388.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $0.00000602 | 1,400,444,524 | $8,430.68 | $8,430.68 |
$-0.04 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $0.00000605 | 1,393,500,171 | $8,430.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $0.00000602 | 1,393,500,171 | $8,388.87 | $8,388.87 |
$-83.85 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:15pm ET | $0.00000604 | 1,388,885,932 | $8,388.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $0.00000603 | 1,388,885,932 | $8,374.98 | $8,374.98 |
$-55.80 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:55pm ET | $0.00000601 | 1,393,507,849 | $8,374.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:10pm ET | $0.00000599 | 1,393,507,849 | $8,347.11 | $8,347.11 |
$-69.68 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $0.00000601 | 1,388,870,552 | $8,347.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 4:25pm ET | $0.00000599 | 1,388,870,552 | $8,319.33 | $8,319.33 |
$-69.44 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 6:35am ET | $0.00000582 | 1,429,438,936 | $8,319.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 6:40am ET | $0.00000580 | 1,429,438,936 | $8,290.75 | $8,290.75 |
$-70.11 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 8:30am ET | $0.00000585 | 1,417,221,509 | $8,290.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $0.00000583 | 1,417,221,509 | $8,262.40 | $8,262.40 |
$-69.73 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 11:15am ET | $0.00000588 | 1,405,170,305 | $8,262.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:45am ET | $0.00000580 | 1,405,170,305 | $8,149.99 | $8,149.99 |
$-153.44 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 12:30pm ET | $0.00000587 | 1,388,413,590 | $8,149.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $0.00000582 | 1,388,413,590 | $8,080.57 | $8,080.57 |
$-110.00 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $0.00000586 | 1,378,936,364 | $8,080.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $0.00000587 | 1,378,936,364 | $8,094.36 | $8,094.36 |
$-26.65 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $0.00000588 | 1,376,591,234 | $8,094.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 5:50pm ET | $0.00000591 | 1,376,591,234 | $8,135.65 | $8,135.65 |
+$0.72 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
+ 6 refunds ($60,000)