AAPL Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 45 trades in period
-9.14%
Year to Date Return
$8,381.53
Current Value
24%
Win Rate
$9,224.56
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality
3.8/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 3.7
30-Day Momentum
9
-0.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,360
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,224.56
Current Value
$8,381.53
Period P&L
$-843.06
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
11 /
34
Best Trade
+2.71%
Worst Trade
-4.48%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
14.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$774,120.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-843.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-843.06
Gross Return
-9.14%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,224.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:30pm ET | $270.55 | 34 | $9,198.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $268.27 | 34 | $9,121.28 | $9,147.16 |
$-77.42 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $262.18 | 34 | $8,914.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:05pm ET | $261.72 | 34 | $8,898.48 | $9,131.52 |
$-15.64 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $257.48 | 35 | $9,011.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $256.94 | 35 | $8,992.73 | $9,112.45 |
$-19.08 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $260.35 | 35 | $9,112.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:05pm ET | $260.33 | 35 | $9,111.38 | $9,111.57 |
$-0.88 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $260.84 | 34 | $8,868.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $259.25 | 34 | $8,814.50 | $9,057.68 |
$-53.89 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:35pm ET | $256.49 | 35 | $8,977.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:25pm ET | $256.18 | 35 | $8,966.30 | $9,046.83 |
$-10.85 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $247.11 | 36 | $8,895.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET | $246.81 | 36 | $8,885.16 | $9,036.21 |
$-10.62 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $248.64 | 36 | $8,951.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $247.88 | 36 | $8,923.68 | $9,008.85 |
$-27.36 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $254.66 | 35 | $8,913.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $255.18 | 35 | $8,931.30 | $9,027.05 |
+$18.20 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:50pm ET | $255.69 | 35 | $8,949.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $255.11 | 35 | $8,928.85 | $9,006.75 |
$-20.30 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:30am ET | $256.77 | 35 | $8,986.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $255.16 | 35 | $8,930.43 | $8,950.23 |
$-56.52 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $269.33 | 33 | $8,887.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:55am ET | $268.96 | 33 | $8,875.68 | $8,938.02 |
$-12.21 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $276.12 | 32 | $8,835.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $274.85 | 32 | $8,795.20 | $8,897.38 |
$-40.64 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $274.98 | 32 | $8,799.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $278.55 | 32 | $8,913.60 | $9,011.62 |
+$114.24 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:45pm ET | $272.82 | 33 | $9,003.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $274.60 | 33 | $9,061.80 | $9,070.36 |
+$58.74 (+0.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $259.18 | 34 | $8,812.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $264.32 | 34 | $8,986.88 | $9,244.95 |
+$174.59 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $264.12 | 35 | $9,244.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 11:45am ET | $263.33 | 35 | $9,216.55 | $9,217.31 |
$-27.64 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:50pm ET | $262.68 | 35 | $9,193.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:30pm ET | $263.34 | 35 | $9,216.90 | $9,240.41 |
+$23.10 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $271.90 | 33 | $8,972.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 12:10pm ET | $272.35 | 33 | $8,987.55 | $9,255.09 |
+$14.68 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $274.46 | 33 | $9,057.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.15 | 33 | $8,651.11 | $8,849.03 |
$-406.06 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $262.26 | 33 | $8,654.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $262.08 | 33 | $8,648.48 | $8,842.93 |
$-6.10 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $260.82 | 33 | $8,607.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $260.14 | 33 | $8,584.62 | $8,820.49 |
$-22.44 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $256.91 | 34 | $8,734.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $255.69 | 34 | $8,693.46 | $8,779.01 |
$-41.48 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $261.87 | 33 | $8,641.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.27 | 33 | $8,522.75 | $8,660.05 |
$-118.96 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $251.80 | 34 | $8,561.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $252.66 | 34 | $8,590.44 | $8,689.29 |
+$29.24 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $254.55 | 34 | $8,654.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $252.62 | 34 | $8,589.08 | $8,623.50 |
$-65.79 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $251.49 | 34 | $8,550.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:30am ET | $249.80 | 34 | $8,493.20 | $8,566.04 |
$-57.46 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $248.34 | 34 | $8,443.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $248.29 | 34 | $8,441.86 | $8,564.34 |
$-1.70 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $251.89 | 34 | $8,564.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.21 | 34 | $8,541.14 | $8,541.22 |
$-23.12 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $254.04 | 33 | $8,383.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $253.95 | 33 | $8,380.35 | $8,538.25 |
$-2.97 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $254.80 | 33 | $8,408.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $253.37 | 33 | $8,361.07 | $8,490.92 |
$-47.33 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $247.24 | 34 | $8,406.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $246.57 | 34 | $8,383.38 | $8,468.14 |
$-22.78 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:50am ET | $254.41 | 33 | $8,395.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:20pm ET | $254.07 | 33 | $8,384.15 | $8,456.59 |
$-11.55 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:30pm ET | $258.96 | 32 | $8,286.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $248.27 | 32 | $7,944.64 | $8,114.51 |
$-342.08 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:35pm ET | $257.88 | 31 | $7,994.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $256.93 | 31 | $7,964.98 | $8,085.21 |
$-29.30 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:40pm ET | $260.00 | 31 | $8,060.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:55pm ET | $259.82 | 31 | $8,054.42 | $8,079.63 |
$-5.58 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:45pm ET | $258.77 | 31 | $8,021.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:40pm ET | $257.98 | 31 | $7,997.53 | $8,055.45 |
$-24.18 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:50am ET | $263.21 | 30 | $7,896.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $270.34 | 30 | $8,110.20 | $8,269.35 |
+$213.90 (+2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 2:15pm ET | $266.83 | 30 | $8,005.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $266.62 | 30 | $7,998.60 | $8,262.90 |
$-6.45 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $272.98 | 30 | $8,189.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 11:15am ET | $273.39 | 30 | $8,201.70 | $8,275.20 |
+$12.30 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $270.26 | 30 | $8,107.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $265.92 | 30 | $7,977.60 | $8,145.00 |
$-130.20 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:45pm ET | $270.08 | 30 | $8,102.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 2:55pm ET | $270.05 | 30 | $8,101.50 | $8,144.10 |
$-0.90 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 3:00pm ET | $270.17 | 30 | $8,105.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:45pm ET | $269.80 | 30 | $8,094.15 | $8,133.15 |
$-10.95 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $278.94 | 29 | $8,089.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $282.57 | 29 | $8,194.53 | $8,238.42 |
+$105.27 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:10pm ET | $276.98 | 29 | $8,032.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $281.92 | 29 | $8,175.54 | $8,381.53 |
+$143.11 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,381.53
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,618.47
Total Return:
-16.18%