AMZN Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 42 trades in period
+5.49%
Year to Date Return
$10,206.13
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$9,675.36
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
10.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 10.0
30-Day Momentum
45
+8.9%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.1
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,479
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,675.36
Current Value
$10,206.13
Period P&L
$530.77
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
12 /
30
Best Trade
+5.48%
Worst Trade
-4.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
14.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$802,292.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$530.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$530.77
Gross Return
+5.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.49%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,675.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $233.11 | 41 | $9,557.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $232.57 | 41 | $9,535.37 | $9,653.20 |
$-22.14 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $241.60 | 39 | $9,422.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $240.70 | 39 | $9,387.30 | $9,618.30 |
$-34.91 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $244.80 | 39 | $9,547.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.70 | 39 | $9,504.30 | $9,575.28 |
$-43.02 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:35pm ET | $248.39 | 38 | $9,438.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:15pm ET | $247.36 | 38 | $9,399.68 | $9,536.14 |
$-39.14 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
42m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $242.36 | 39 | $9,452.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $241.87 | 39 | $9,432.93 | $9,517.03 |
$-19.11 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $237.72 | 40 | $9,508.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $236.98 | 40 | $9,479.20 | $9,487.43 |
$-29.60 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $237.82 | 39 | $9,274.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:10pm ET | $237.62 | 39 | $9,267.18 | $9,479.63 |
$-7.80 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
54m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $231.11 | 41 | $9,475.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $229.58 | 41 | $9,412.58 | $9,416.69 |
$-62.94 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.10 | 39 | $9,207.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $239.09 | 39 | $9,324.32 | $9,533.21 |
+$116.51 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $239.41 | 39 | $9,336.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $239.07 | 39 | $9,323.73 | $9,519.95 |
$-13.26 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:05pm ET | $243.03 | 39 | $9,478.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $242.66 | 39 | $9,463.74 | $9,505.52 |
$-14.43 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $239.65 | 39 | $9,346.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 2:35pm ET | $239.07 | 39 | $9,323.73 | $9,482.90 |
$-22.62 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $241.35 | 39 | $9,412.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $243.84 | 39 | $9,509.91 | $9,580.16 |
+$97.26 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:10pm ET | $236.94 | 40 | $9,477.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $235.28 | 40 | $9,411.20 | $9,513.76 |
$-66.40 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $224.50 | 42 | $9,429.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $223.52 | 42 | $9,387.90 | $9,472.66 |
$-41.10 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $207.79 | 45 | $9,350.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $206.79 | 45 | $9,305.33 | $9,427.44 |
$-45.22 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $200.10 | 47 | $9,404.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:35pm ET | $199.98 | 47 | $9,399.06 | $9,421.80 |
$-5.64 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 1:55pm ET | $204.62 | 46 | $9,412.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $207.90 | 46 | $9,563.40 | $9,572.68 |
+$150.88 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $204.51 | 46 | $9,407.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $203.89 | 46 | $9,378.94 | $9,544.16 |
$-28.52 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.46 | 45 | $9,470.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 11:30am ET | $209.95 | 45 | $9,447.63 | $9,521.09 |
$-23.07 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 1:55pm ET | $206.99 | 45 | $9,314.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.79 | 45 | $9,305.55 | $9,512.19 |
$-8.90 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $208.81 | 45 | $9,396.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:45pm ET | $208.34 | 45 | $9,375.30 | $9,491.11 |
$-21.08 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $217.82 | 43 | $9,366.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $217.28 | 43 | $9,343.04 | $9,467.89 |
$-23.22 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $215.26 | 43 | $9,255.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $214.62 | 43 | $9,228.45 | $9,440.37 |
$-27.52 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $213.03 | 44 | $9,373.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.33 | 44 | $9,254.52 | $9,321.67 |
$-118.70 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $209.85 | 44 | $9,233.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $209.49 | 44 | $9,217.56 | $9,305.61 |
$-16.06 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:40pm ET | $209.18 | 44 | $9,203.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $213.40 | 44 | $9,389.51 | $9,491.20 |
+$185.59 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:55pm ET | $207.38 | 45 | $9,332.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $205.82 | 45 | $9,261.68 | $9,420.77 |
$-70.43 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $211.27 | 44 | $9,295.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $210.96 | 44 | $9,282.24 | $9,407.13 |
$-13.64 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.36 | 44 | $9,299.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 2:10pm ET | $211.66 | 44 | $9,313.04 | $9,420.33 |
+$13.20 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $201.80 | 46 | $9,282.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:10pm ET | $202.48 | 46 | $9,314.08 | $9,451.61 |
+$31.28 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:35pm ET | $211.58 | 44 | $9,309.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $209.68 | 44 | $9,226.14 | $9,368.23 |
$-83.38 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $210.97 | 44 | $9,282.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $211.81 | 44 | $9,319.64 | $9,405.19 |
+$36.96 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.23 | 41 | $9,234.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $237.58 | 41 | $9,740.78 | $9,911.46 |
+$506.27 (+5.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:35pm ET | $238.78 | 41 | $9,789.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:35pm ET | $249.35 | 41 | $10,223.35 | $10,344.83 |
+$433.37 (+4.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $247.11 | 41 | $10,131.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 12:25pm ET | $253.46 | 41 | $10,391.86 | $10,605.18 |
+$260.35 (+2.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:45pm ET | $247.12 | 42 | $10,378.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $251.98 | 42 | $10,583.16 | $10,809.51 |
+$204.33 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $255.56 | 42 | $10,733.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $255.05 | 42 | $10,712.14 | $10,788.13 |
$-21.38 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $262.89 | 41 | $10,778.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.21 | 41 | $10,586.81 | $10,596.66 |
$-191.47 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $273.04 | 38 | $10,375.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $260.65 | 38 | $9,904.70 | $10,125.84 |
$-470.82 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $269.29 | 37 | $9,963.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $271.60 | 37 | $10,049.20 | $10,211.31 |
+$85.47 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $273.96 | 37 | $10,136.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $273.82 | 37 | $10,131.34 | $10,206.13 |
$-5.18 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,206.13
Net Profit/Loss:
+$206.13
Total Return:
+2.06%