AVGO Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 39 trades in period
+11.58%
Year to Date Return
$11,141.09
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$9,985.11
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
16
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
15.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 15.6
30-Day Momentum
51
+8.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 60.4
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,561
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,985.11
Current Value
$11,141.09
Period P&L
$1,155.99
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
20 /
19
Best Trade
+6.86%
Worst Trade
-4.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
17.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$803,919.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,155.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,155.99
Gross Return
+11.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.58%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,985.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:35pm ET | $348.41 | 28 | $9,755.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $347.27 | 28 | $9,723.56 | $9,953.32 |
$-31.78 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $344.54 | 28 | $9,647.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:00pm ET | $347.26 | 28 | $9,723.28 | $10,029.48 |
+$76.16 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $333.02 | 30 | $9,990.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $344.75 | 30 | $10,342.50 | $10,381.38 |
+$351.90 (+3.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:10pm ET | $358.12 | 28 | $10,027.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:45pm ET | $356.28 | 28 | $9,975.70 | $10,329.72 |
$-51.66 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $338.31 | 30 | $10,149.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:10pm ET | $346.83 | 30 | $10,404.90 | $10,585.32 |
+$255.60 (+2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $346.66 | 30 | $10,399.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $340.13 | 30 | $10,203.75 | $10,389.27 |
$-196.05 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $327.39 | 31 | $10,149.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $328.01 | 31 | $10,168.31 | $10,408.49 |
+$19.22 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $320.53 | 32 | $10,256.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $319.21 | 32 | $10,214.72 | $10,366.25 |
$-42.24 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $328.55 | 31 | $10,185.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $332.15 | 31 | $10,296.50 | $10,477.72 |
+$111.46 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $327.90 | 31 | $10,164.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $327.61 | 31 | $10,155.91 | $10,468.73 |
$-8.99 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $331.73 | 31 | $10,283.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $331.04 | 31 | $10,262.24 | $10,447.34 |
$-21.39 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:55pm ET | $313.12 | 33 | $10,332.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $313.42 | 33 | $10,342.88 | $10,457.25 |
+$9.92 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $325.32 | 32 | $10,410.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:40pm ET | $331.87 | 32 | $10,619.84 | $10,666.85 |
+$209.60 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:00pm ET | $348.27 | 30 | $10,448.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $346.32 | 30 | $10,389.45 | $10,608.20 |
$-58.65 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $342.86 | 30 | $10,285.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $340.05 | 30 | $10,201.50 | $10,523.90 |
$-84.30 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $325.45 | 32 | $10,414.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.90 | 32 | $10,556.80 | $10,666.30 |
+$142.40 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $334.77 | 31 | $10,377.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 12:50pm ET | $334.88 | 31 | $10,381.28 | $10,669.86 |
+$3.56 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $335.71 | 31 | $10,407.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.80 | 31 | $10,006.74 | $10,269.43 |
$-400.43 (-3.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $313.23 | 32 | $10,023.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $316.83 | 32 | $10,138.40 | $10,384.47 |
+$115.04 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $316.33 | 32 | $10,122.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $312.57 | 32 | $10,002.24 | $10,264.15 |
$-120.32 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $316.11 | 32 | $10,115.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:55pm ET | $320.35 | 32 | $10,251.20 | $10,399.83 |
+$135.68 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $329.59 | 31 | $10,217.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 2:35pm ET | $339.48 | 31 | $10,524.03 | $10,706.57 |
+$306.74 (+3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $347.51 | 30 | $10,425.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $342.70 | 30 | $10,280.85 | $10,562.12 |
$-144.45 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $336.40 | 31 | $10,428.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $322.33 | 31 | $9,992.08 | $10,125.80 |
$-436.32 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $320.84 | 31 | $9,946.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $319.44 | 31 | $9,902.64 | $10,082.40 |
$-43.40 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $315.25 | 31 | $9,772.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $319.58 | 31 | $9,907.13 | $10,216.78 |
+$134.38 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 2:05pm ET | $322.18 | 31 | $9,987.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $319.58 | 31 | $9,906.98 | $10,136.18 |
$-80.60 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $319.70 | 31 | $9,910.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.81 | 31 | $9,449.11 | $9,674.44 |
$-461.74 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $293.50 | 32 | $9,392.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $313.64 | 32 | $10,036.32 | $10,318.76 |
+$644.32 (+6.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $313.54 | 32 | $10,033.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $312.30 | 32 | $9,993.60 | $10,279.24 |
$-39.52 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $332.10 | 30 | $9,962.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $349.37 | 30 | $10,481.10 | $10,797.49 |
+$518.25 (+5.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $360.98 | 29 | $10,468.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $371.28 | 29 | $10,767.12 | $11,096.19 |
+$298.70 (+2.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $374.30 | 29 | $10,854.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $378.57 | 29 | $10,978.53 | $11,219.88 |
+$123.69 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:10pm ET | $392.34 | 28 | $10,985.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $396.36 | 28 | $11,097.94 | $11,332.30 |
+$112.42 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:45pm ET | $403.41 | 28 | $11,295.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $403.05 | 28 | $11,285.40 | $11,322.22 |
$-10.08 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $398.73 | 28 | $11,164.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $400.39 | 28 | $11,210.92 | $11,368.56 |
+$46.34 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $416.55 | 27 | $11,246.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.30 | 27 | $10,808.23 | $10,929.95 |
$-438.61 (-3.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $400.88 | 27 | $10,823.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $399.71 | 27 | $10,792.17 | $10,898.36 |
$-31.59 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $420.76 | 25 | $10,519.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $430.47 | 25 | $10,761.73 | $11,141.09 |
+$242.73 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,141.09
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,141.09
Total Return:
+11.41%