Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:22:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 17.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 17.6

30-Day Momentum

53
+6.1%
30d Return
88%
Win Rate
8
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 65.5 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+36 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,362
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,172.96
Current Value
$11,137.09
Period P&L
$964.14
Max Drawdown
-19.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
19 / 17
Best Trade
+4.02%
Worst Trade
-3.45%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
23.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$752,946.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$964.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$964.14
Gross Return
+9.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 36 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,172.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:55am ET $55.24 184 $10,163.99
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:25pm ET $55.48 184 $10,208.32 $10,217.26 +$44.33
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:00am ET $57.02 179 $10,205.69
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $56.57 179 $10,125.14 $10,136.71 $-80.55
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:50am ET $55.88 181 $10,114.28
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $56.37 181 $10,202.07 $10,224.49 +$87.78
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $56.15 182 $10,219.30
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $56.06 182 $10,202.92 $10,208.11 $-16.38
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:45pm ET $54.95 185 $10,164.83
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET $54.87 185 $10,150.95 $10,194.24 $-13.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $52.13 195 $10,166.13
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $52.75 195 $10,285.28 $10,313.38 +$119.14
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET $53.37 193 $10,299.45
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:20am ET $52.89 193 $10,206.81 $10,220.74 $-92.64
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $52.54 194 $10,192.76
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $52.39 194 $10,162.69 $10,190.67 $-30.07
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $51.63 197 $10,171.11
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:15am ET $51.92 197 $10,227.27 $10,246.84 +$56.16
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $52.04 196 $10,199.84
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $51.89 196 $10,170.44 $10,217.44 $-29.40
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:00pm ET $53.02 192 $10,179.84
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $53.84 192 $10,337.28 $10,374.88 +$157.44
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $54.17 191 $10,345.53
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $55.42 191 $10,586.17 $10,615.52 +$240.64
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $55.75 190 $10,592.50
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:40pm ET $56.61 190 $10,755.08 $10,778.10 +$162.58
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $56.51 190 $10,737.85
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $56.51 190 $10,737.85 $10,778.10 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $52.99 203 $10,757.98
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $52.90 203 $10,737.69 $10,757.80 $-20.30
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:40am ET $52.72 204 $10,755.90
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:10am ET $52.42 204 $10,693.68 $10,695.58 $-62.22
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $50.76 210 $10,659.60
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:10pm ET $51.58 210 $10,832.85 $10,868.83 +$173.25
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $49.79 218 $10,854.22
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $48.97 218 $10,674.37 $10,688.98 $-179.85
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:20am ET $49.25 217 $10,687.25
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:40pm ET $50.06 217 $10,864.10 $10,865.83 +$176.85
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:00am ET $50.21 216 $10,845.36
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $48.48 216 $10,471.68 $10,492.15 $-373.68
(-3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:45pm ET $48.15 217 $10,448.55
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $47.45 217 $10,296.65 $10,340.25 $-151.90
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:40am ET $47.07 219 $10,308.33
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $47.21 219 $10,337.92 $10,369.84 +$29.59
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $47.49 218 $10,353.67
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $47.42 218 $10,337.56 $10,353.73 $-16.11
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:10am ET $46.71 221 $10,321.81
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 2:50pm ET $46.66 221 $10,311.86 $10,343.78 $-9.95
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $48.30 214 $10,336.20
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $47.80 214 $10,229.20 $10,236.78 $-107.00
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $48.97 209 $10,233.69
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:55pm ET $48.57 209 $10,151.13 $10,154.22 $-82.56
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:35pm ET $48.31 210 $10,145.12
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $48.01 210 $10,082.12 $10,091.22 $-63.00
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $47.33 213 $10,081.29
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $49.24 213 $10,487.06 $10,496.98 +$405.76
(+4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $49.47 212 $10,487.64
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $49.80 212 $10,557.60 $10,566.94 +$69.96
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $51.82 203 $10,519.46
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $52.62 203 $10,680.85 $10,728.33 +$161.39
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $53.22 201 $10,697.22
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $53.33 201 $10,720.33 $10,751.44 +$23.11
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $54.16 198 $10,723.68
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $54.04 198 $10,700.91 $10,728.67 $-22.77
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $53.17 201 $10,686.22
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:45am ET $53.18 201 $10,689.20 $10,731.65 +$2.98
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $52.33 205 $10,727.65
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET $52.51 205 $10,763.53 $10,767.52 +$35.87
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $52.90 203 $10,738.70
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $53.45 203 $10,850.35 $10,879.17 +$111.65
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
36 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $52.50 207 $10,868.33
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $53.75 207 $11,126.25 $11,137.09 +$257.92
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,137.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,137.09
Total Return: +11.37%
Back to Grace Crossover