BLK Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 40 trades in period
-7.41%
Year to Date Return
$10,915.10
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$11,788.99
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
18
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
8.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
17.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 17.8
30-Day Momentum
7
-1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,315
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
89 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,788.99
Current Value
$10,915.10
Period P&L
$-873.92
Max Drawdown
-8.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
12 /
28
Best Trade
+3.79%
Worst Trade
-3.49%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
16.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$877,108.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-873.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-873.92
Gross Return
-7.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.41%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 89 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,788.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,085.29 | 10 | $10,852.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $1,126.40 | 10 | $11,264.00 | $12,200.13 |
+$411.10 (+3.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1,088.95 | 11 | $11,978.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1,085.94 | 11 | $11,945.34 | $12,167.02 |
$-33.11 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:00pm ET | $1,087.22 | 11 | $11,959.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,086.58 | 11 | $11,952.38 | $12,159.98 |
$-7.04 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,086.48 | 11 | $11,951.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1,083.46 | 11 | $11,918.06 | $12,126.71 |
$-33.26 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1,078.80 | 11 | $11,866.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,075.30 | 11 | $11,828.30 | $12,088.21 |
$-38.50 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,123.12 | 10 | $11,231.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $1,121.01 | 10 | $11,210.10 | $12,067.11 |
$-21.10 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,142.27 | 10 | $11,422.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,128.33 | 10 | $11,283.25 | $11,927.71 |
$-139.40 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,130.23 | 10 | $11,302.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,127.78 | 10 | $11,277.80 | $11,903.21 |
$-24.50 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $1,101.93 | 10 | $11,019.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,101.29 | 10 | $11,012.90 | $11,896.82 |
$-6.40 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1,122.81 | 10 | $11,228.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1,118.86 | 10 | $11,188.60 | $11,857.32 |
$-39.50 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1,111.27 | 10 | $11,112.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $1,112.79 | 10 | $11,127.90 | $11,872.51 |
+$15.20 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1,062.21 | 11 | $11,684.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,051.15 | 11 | $11,562.68 | $11,750.88 |
$-121.63 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1,064.72 | 11 | $11,711.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1,058.18 | 11 | $11,639.98 | $11,678.94 |
$-71.94 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1,054.72 | 11 | $11,601.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $1,053.61 | 11 | $11,589.76 | $11,666.73 |
$-12.21 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,092.12 | 10 | $10,921.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,086.93 | 10 | $10,869.30 | $11,614.83 |
$-51.90 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,081.95 | 10 | $10,819.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,063.44 | 10 | $10,634.40 | $11,429.73 |
$-185.10 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 12:10pm ET | $1,089.74 | 10 | $10,897.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:30pm ET | $1,089.92 | 10 | $10,899.20 | $11,431.53 |
+$1.80 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 1:45pm ET | $1,071.69 | 10 | $10,716.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $1,086.92 | 10 | $10,869.20 | $11,583.83 |
+$152.30 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,070.84 | 10 | $10,708.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,068.00 | 10 | $10,680.00 | $11,555.43 |
$-28.40 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:00am ET | $1,079.12 | 10 | $10,791.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $1,089.57 | 10 | $10,895.70 | $11,659.93 |
+$104.50 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $1,056.49 | 11 | $11,621.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,038.00 | 11 | $11,418.00 | $11,456.49 |
$-203.44 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,049.14 | 10 | $10,491.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1,056.73 | 10 | $10,567.35 | $11,532.44 |
+$75.95 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $1,028.61 | 11 | $11,314.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $992.66 | 11 | $10,919.31 | $11,137.04 |
$-395.40 (-3.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $948.77 | 11 | $10,436.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $944.03 | 11 | $10,384.33 | $11,084.96 |
$-52.08 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $937.82 | 11 | $10,315.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $930.68 | 11 | $10,237.48 | $11,006.47 |
$-78.49 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 11:10am ET | $971.10 | 11 | $10,682.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 12:10pm ET | $968.46 | 11 | $10,653.06 | $10,977.38 |
$-29.09 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:50pm ET | $961.63 | 11 | $10,577.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $974.40 | 11 | $10,718.35 | $11,117.85 |
+$140.47 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $973.81 | 11 | $10,711.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:10am ET | $974.13 | 11 | $10,715.43 | $11,121.37 |
+$3.52 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $982.52 | 11 | $10,807.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $980.32 | 11 | $10,783.52 | $11,097.17 |
$-24.20 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $939.95 | 11 | $10,339.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:45pm ET | $941.41 | 11 | $10,355.56 | $11,113.28 |
+$16.11 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $961.34 | 11 | $10,574.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 1:50pm ET | $959.03 | 11 | $10,549.33 | $11,087.92 |
$-25.36 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $955.50 | 11 | $10,510.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $956.45 | 11 | $10,520.95 | $11,098.37 |
+$10.45 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1,007.51 | 11 | $11,082.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $994.50 | 11 | $10,939.50 | $10,955.26 |
$-143.11 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $1,051.84 | 10 | $10,518.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $1,059.78 | 10 | $10,597.75 | $11,034.61 |
+$79.35 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,054.01 | 10 | $10,540.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,057.72 | 10 | $10,577.25 | $11,071.76 |
+$37.15 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,056.08 | 10 | $10,560.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1,055.06 | 10 | $10,550.60 | $11,061.56 |
$-10.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:40pm ET | $1,055.28 | 10 | $10,552.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,053.46 | 10 | $10,534.60 | $11,043.36 |
$-18.20 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,053.04 | 10 | $10,530.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $1,047.92 | 10 | $10,479.24 | $10,992.20 |
$-51.16 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1,037.03 | 10 | $10,370.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1,036.02 | 10 | $10,360.20 | $10,982.10 |
$-10.10 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,067.34 | 10 | $10,673.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $1,060.65 | 10 | $10,606.45 | $10,915.10 |
$-67.00 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,915.10
Net Profit/Loss:
+$915.10
Total Return:
+9.15%