BMY Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 38 trades in period
+1.87%
Year to Date Return
$9,154.43
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$8,985.96
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality
3.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 3.4
30-Day Momentum
35
+3.9%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.4
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,456
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,985.96
Current Value
$9,154.43
Period P&L
$168.43
Max Drawdown
-14.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
12 /
26
Best Trade
+4.03%
Worst Trade
-2.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
13.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$671,713.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$168.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$168.43
Gross Return
+1.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.87%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,985.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $53.72 | 167 | $8,971.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $53.62 | 167 | $8,953.71 | $8,967.73 |
$-18.27 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $54.42 | 164 | $8,924.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $54.43 | 164 | $8,925.70 | $8,969.37 |
+$1.64 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.21 | 159 | $8,936.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $55.94 | 159 | $8,894.46 | $8,927.24 |
$-42.14 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
42m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:30pm ET | $55.76 | 160 | $8,921.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:35pm ET | $55.54 | 160 | $8,886.42 | $8,892.05 |
$-35.18 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $56.06 | 158 | $8,857.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $56.69 | 158 | $8,956.23 | $8,990.80 |
+$98.75 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $54.49 | 164 | $8,936.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $54.06 | 164 | $8,865.02 | $8,919.46 |
$-71.34 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $54.80 | 162 | $8,878.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $54.81 | 162 | $8,879.22 | $8,920.34 |
+$0.87 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $54.74 | 162 | $8,867.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:05pm ET | $54.72 | 162 | $8,863.83 | $8,916.29 |
$-4.05 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $54.67 | 163 | $8,911.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $54.92 | 163 | $8,951.96 | $8,957.04 |
+$40.75 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $54.86 | 163 | $8,942.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $54.71 | 163 | $8,917.73 | $8,932.59 |
$-24.45 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $56.22 | 158 | $8,883.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:45pm ET | $56.17 | 158 | $8,874.07 | $8,923.11 |
$-9.48 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.85 | 149 | $8,916.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $58.33 | 149 | $8,691.17 | $8,697.37 |
$-225.73 (-2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $60.81 | 143 | $8,695.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:05pm ET | $60.63 | 143 | $8,669.38 | $8,671.63 |
$-25.74 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $60.69 | 142 | $8,617.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $60.64 | 142 | $8,610.88 | $8,665.24 |
$-6.39 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.92 | 142 | $8,650.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $60.64 | 142 | $8,610.88 | $8,625.48 |
$-39.76 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 12:25pm ET | $59.76 | 144 | $8,606.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 2:00pm ET | $59.85 | 144 | $8,619.12 | $8,638.44 |
+$12.96 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $61.74 | 139 | $8,581.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $61.53 | 139 | $8,552.67 | $8,609.94 |
$-28.50 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $60.92 | 141 | $8,589.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:40pm ET | $62.33 | 141 | $8,788.53 | $8,809.46 |
+$199.52 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $61.95 | 142 | $8,796.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $61.58 | 142 | $8,744.36 | $8,756.92 |
$-52.54 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $60.86 | 143 | $8,702.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $60.65 | 143 | $8,672.24 | $8,726.17 |
$-30.75 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 2:40pm ET | $60.06 | 145 | $8,708.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $59.65 | 145 | $8,649.25 | $8,666.72 |
$-59.45 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $59.81 | 144 | $8,612.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $59.60 | 144 | $8,582.40 | $8,636.48 |
$-30.24 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:15pm ET | $59.08 | 146 | $8,625.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 1:25pm ET | $58.99 | 146 | $8,613.27 | $8,624.07 |
$-12.41 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:40pm ET | $59.43 | 145 | $8,617.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:30pm ET | $59.29 | 145 | $8,597.05 | $8,603.77 |
$-20.30 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.94 | 148 | $8,575.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $57.34 | 148 | $8,486.32 | $8,514.60 |
$-89.17 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $57.38 | 148 | $8,492.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 2:05pm ET | $59.03 | 148 | $8,737.18 | $8,759.54 |
+$244.94 (+2.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.40 | 147 | $8,732.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $60.10 | 147 | $8,834.70 | $8,861.70 |
+$102.16 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:35pm ET | $61.88 | 143 | $8,848.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $61.80 | 143 | $8,837.40 | $8,850.97 |
$-10.73 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $59.57 | 148 | $8,816.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $59.29 | 148 | $8,774.92 | $8,809.68 |
$-41.29 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $58.10 | 151 | $8,773.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $58.76 | 151 | $8,872.43 | $8,909.01 |
+$99.33 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $58.96 | 151 | $8,902.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $58.32 | 151 | $8,806.32 | $8,813.12 |
$-95.89 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 1:45pm ET | $57.58 | 153 | $8,809.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.90 | 153 | $9,164.70 | $9,168.08 |
+$354.96 (+4.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:30am ET | $58.86 | 155 | $9,123.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.47 | 155 | $9,217.85 | $9,262.63 |
+$94.55 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $59.10 | 156 | $9,219.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $59.04 | 156 | $9,210.24 | $9,253.27 |
$-9.36 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $58.24 | 158 | $9,201.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:20am ET | $58.07 | 158 | $9,175.06 | $9,227.20 |
$-26.07 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:20am ET | $57.97 | 159 | $9,217.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $58.01 | 159 | $9,222.80 | $9,232.76 |
+$5.56 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $60.37 | 152 | $9,176.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 2:45pm ET | $60.09 | 152 | $9,133.68 | $9,190.20 |
$-42.56 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $57.44 | 159 | $9,133.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 2:40pm ET | $57.22 | 159 | $9,097.98 | $9,154.43 |
$-35.77 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,154.43
Net Profit/Loss:
$-845.57
Total Return:
-8.46%