C Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 41 trades in period
-12.60%
Year to Date Return
$10,844.68
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$12,407.88
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
16
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
8.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
15.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 15.7
30-Day Momentum
9
-2.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,915
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$12,407.88
Current Value
$10,844.68
Period P&L
$-1,563.15
Max Drawdown
-16.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
11 /
30
Best Trade
+5.36%
Worst Trade
-4.83%
Avg Trade Return
-0.32%
Avg Hold Time
14.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$957,879.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,563.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,563.15
Gross Return
-12.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.60%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,407.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $123.84 | 100 | $12,384.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:45pm ET | $123.32 | 100 | $12,332.00 | $12,355.82 |
$-52.00 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $121.60 | 101 | $12,281.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $121.38 | 101 | $12,259.38 | $12,333.60 |
$-22.22 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $120.84 | 102 | $12,325.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $120.61 | 102 | $12,302.22 | $12,310.65 |
$-22.95 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $117.20 | 105 | $12,306.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:35pm ET | $116.94 | 105 | $12,278.70 | $12,283.35 |
$-27.30 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:45pm ET | $111.82 | 109 | $12,188.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $111.51 | 109 | $12,154.59 | $12,249.56 |
$-33.79 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $117.47 | 104 | $12,216.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $117.15 | 104 | $12,183.08 | $12,215.76 |
$-33.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.22 | 106 | $12,107.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:20am ET | $114.09 | 106 | $12,093.54 | $12,201.98 |
$-13.78 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 2:05pm ET | $113.67 | 107 | $12,162.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 2:50pm ET | $113.57 | 107 | $12,151.99 | $12,191.82 |
$-10.17 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.48 | 105 | $12,125.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $114.78 | 105 | $12,051.90 | $12,118.32 |
$-73.50 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:35pm ET | $113.93 | 106 | $12,076.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $114.09 | 106 | $12,093.54 | $12,135.81 |
+$17.49 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $115.29 | 105 | $12,105.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $115.08 | 105 | $12,083.40 | $12,113.76 |
$-22.05 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:35pm ET | $116.74 | 103 | $12,024.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $118.43 | 103 | $12,198.29 | $12,287.83 |
+$174.07 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $122.59 | 100 | $12,259.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:20pm ET | $124.61 | 100 | $12,461.50 | $12,490.33 |
+$202.50 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.24 | 110 | $12,456.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $113.07 | 110 | $12,437.15 | $12,470.81 |
$-19.52 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $116.11 | 107 | $12,423.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.50 | 107 | $12,357.97 | $12,405.01 |
$-65.80 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $114.88 | 107 | $12,292.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $114.48 | 107 | $12,249.36 | $12,362.21 |
$-42.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $109.37 | 113 | $12,358.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $109.86 | 113 | $12,414.18 | $12,417.58 |
+$55.37 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $115.38 | 107 | $12,345.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.90 | 107 | $12,080.30 | $12,152.22 |
$-265.36 (-2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $111.46 | 109 | $12,149.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $107.78 | 109 | $11,748.02 | $11,751.10 |
$-401.12 (-3.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $111.45 | 105 | $11,702.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $111.16 | 105 | $11,671.80 | $11,720.65 |
$-30.45 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $109.01 | 107 | $11,664.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.75 | 107 | $11,101.25 | $11,157.30 |
$-563.35 (-4.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $103.74 | 107 | $11,099.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $109.29 | 107 | $11,694.56 | $11,752.22 |
+$594.92 (+5.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $105.83 | 111 | $11,747.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 12:15pm ET | $106.71 | 111 | $11,844.81 | $11,849.90 |
+$97.68 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $107.39 | 110 | $11,813.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:25pm ET | $107.25 | 110 | $11,797.50 | $11,834.36 |
$-15.54 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $108.86 | 108 | $11,756.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 1:05pm ET | $108.71 | 108 | $11,741.22 | $11,818.70 |
$-15.66 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.59 | 104 | $11,709.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $111.68 | 104 | $11,614.20 | $11,723.54 |
$-95.16 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $113.87 | 102 | $11,614.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $114.26 | 102 | $11,654.52 | $11,763.32 |
+$39.78 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $111.11 | 105 | $11,666.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $107.58 | 105 | $11,295.90 | $11,392.67 |
$-370.65 (-3.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:35pm ET | $115.35 | 98 | $11,303.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.32 | 98 | $11,006.87 | $11,095.73 |
$-296.94 (-2.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $116.83 | 94 | $10,982.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $115.98 | 94 | $10,902.12 | $11,015.36 |
$-80.37 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $124.63 | 88 | $10,967.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $124.90 | 88 | $10,991.20 | $11,039.12 |
+$23.76 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $131.25 | 84 | $11,025.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $131.47 | 84 | $11,043.48 | $11,057.60 |
+$18.48 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $129.80 | 85 | $11,033.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $129.56 | 85 | $11,012.60 | $11,037.20 |
$-20.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $132.64 | 83 | $11,009.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $132.36 | 83 | $10,985.88 | $11,013.96 |
$-23.24 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:20pm ET | $132.62 | 83 | $11,007.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $132.45 | 83 | $10,993.35 | $10,999.85 |
$-14.11 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $129.63 | 84 | $10,888.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $129.45 | 84 | $10,873.80 | $10,984.73 |
$-15.12 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $128.38 | 85 | $10,912.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $128.02 | 85 | $10,882.12 | $10,954.55 |
$-30.18 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:30pm ET | $128.46 | 85 | $10,919.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:20am ET | $128.84 | 85 | $10,951.40 | $10,986.43 |
+$31.88 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $128.36 | 85 | $10,910.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $126.89 | 85 | $10,785.23 | $10,861.06 |
$-125.37 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:50pm ET | $128.45 | 84 | $10,789.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.86 | 84 | $10,655.82 | $10,727.08 |
$-133.98 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.31 | 84 | $10,610.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $127.71 | 84 | $10,727.64 | $10,844.68 |
+$117.60 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,844.68
Net Profit/Loss:
+$844.68
Total Return:
+8.45%