COP Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 40 trades in period
-3.33%
Year to Date Return
$10,662.36
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$11,030.17
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
16
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
7.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
15.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 15.7
30-Day Momentum
4
-0.1%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,527
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,030.17
Current Value
$10,662.36
Period P&L
$-367.80
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
11 /
29
Best Trade
+2.77%
Worst Trade
-4.32%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
11.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$844,911.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-367.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-367.80
Gross Return
-3.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.33%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,030.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.56 | 108 | $10,968.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $97.18 | 108 | $10,494.90 | $10,556.59 |
$-473.58 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $99.44 | 106 | $10,540.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $98.97 | 106 | $10,490.29 | $10,506.24 |
$-50.35 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $95.04 | 110 | $10,453.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:05pm ET | $94.66 | 110 | $10,412.60 | $10,464.99 |
$-41.25 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $99.27 | 105 | $10,423.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $99.56 | 105 | $10,453.28 | $10,494.91 |
+$29.93 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $96.51 | 108 | $10,423.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $96.51 | 108 | $10,423.08 | $10,494.91 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $100.03 | 104 | $10,402.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $99.54 | 104 | $10,351.64 | $10,443.95 |
$-50.96 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $97.94 | 106 | $10,381.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $97.71 | 106 | $10,357.26 | $10,419.57 |
$-24.38 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $97.46 | 106 | $10,330.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $97.03 | 106 | $10,285.18 | $10,373.99 |
$-45.58 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $98.44 | 105 | $10,336.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $98.26 | 105 | $10,317.30 | $10,355.09 |
$-18.90 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $99.36 | 104 | $10,333.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:00pm ET | $99.35 | 104 | $10,332.40 | $10,354.05 |
$-1.04 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:10pm ET | $101.16 | 102 | $10,318.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:15pm ET | $100.98 | 102 | $10,299.96 | $10,335.69 |
$-18.36 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $103.55 | 99 | $10,251.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $103.05 | 99 | $10,201.95 | $10,286.18 |
$-49.51 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $102.79 | 100 | $10,279.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:55pm ET | $102.21 | 100 | $10,221.00 | $10,228.18 |
$-58.00 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:50pm ET | $104.32 | 98 | $10,223.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:55pm ET | $107.12 | 98 | $10,497.76 | $10,502.58 |
+$274.40 (+2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.21 | 98 | $10,409.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $106.80 | 98 | $10,466.40 | $10,559.91 |
+$57.33 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $107.50 | 98 | $10,535.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $107.50 | 98 | $10,535.00 | $10,559.91 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:40pm ET | $108.96 | 96 | $10,460.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $108.94 | 96 | $10,458.24 | $10,557.99 |
$-1.92 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 12:30pm ET | $112.06 | 94 | $10,533.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:45pm ET | $111.82 | 94 | $10,511.55 | $10,535.74 |
$-22.25 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $110.25 | 95 | $10,473.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:15pm ET | $110.00 | 95 | $10,450.00 | $10,511.99 |
$-23.75 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $110.13 | 95 | $10,461.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 12:45pm ET | $110.74 | 95 | $10,520.30 | $10,570.41 |
+$58.42 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:35pm ET | $116.73 | 90 | $10,505.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 12:30pm ET | $119.39 | 90 | $10,745.10 | $10,810.03 |
+$239.62 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 12:55pm ET | $115.76 | 93 | $10,765.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $115.48 | 93 | $10,739.64 | $10,783.99 |
$-26.04 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:10pm ET | $116.85 | 92 | $10,750.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $116.64 | 92 | $10,730.88 | $10,764.67 |
$-19.32 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $117.99 | 91 | $10,737.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:50am ET | $117.58 | 91 | $10,699.78 | $10,727.36 |
$-37.31 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:50pm ET | $114.67 | 93 | $10,664.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $114.41 | 93 | $10,640.14 | $10,703.19 |
$-24.17 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 2:35pm ET | $120.48 | 88 | $10,602.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $120.35 | 88 | $10,590.80 | $10,691.75 |
$-11.44 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 2:15pm ET | $121.51 | 87 | $10,571.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $123.25 | 87 | $10,722.75 | $10,842.70 |
+$150.95 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $124.76 | 86 | $10,729.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $124.04 | 86 | $10,667.44 | $10,780.35 |
$-62.35 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $126.78 | 85 | $10,776.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:15am ET | $126.14 | 85 | $10,721.90 | $10,725.87 |
$-54.48 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:20pm ET | $129.49 | 82 | $10,618.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:15pm ET | $133.08 | 82 | $10,912.56 | $11,020.25 |
+$294.38 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.20 | 81 | $10,951.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $134.27 | 81 | $10,875.87 | $10,944.92 |
$-75.33 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:20pm ET | $131.00 | 83 | $10,873.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.15 | 83 | $10,636.04 | $10,707.96 |
$-236.96 (-2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $130.56 | 82 | $10,705.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $130.16 | 82 | $10,673.12 | $10,675.16 |
$-32.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $124.36 | 85 | $10,570.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $126.17 | 85 | $10,724.03 | $10,828.59 |
+$153.43 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $122.57 | 88 | $10,786.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $121.89 | 88 | $10,726.32 | $10,768.31 |
$-60.28 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $118.60 | 90 | $10,674.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.25 | 90 | $10,642.50 | $10,736.81 |
$-31.50 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $117.07 | 91 | $10,653.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET | $116.86 | 91 | $10,634.53 | $10,717.97 |
$-18.84 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $121.01 | 88 | $10,648.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 1:50pm ET | $123.78 | 88 | $10,892.64 | $10,961.73 |
+$243.76 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $126.95 | 86 | $10,917.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $123.95 | 86 | $10,659.70 | $10,703.73 |
$-258.00 (-2.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $119.07 | 89 | $10,597.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $118.61 | 89 | $10,555.86 | $10,662.36 |
$-41.37 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,662.36
Net Profit/Loss:
+$662.36
Total Return:
+6.62%