COST Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 39 trades in period
+8.11%
Year to Date Return
$11,672.72
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$10,797.17
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.1/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
24.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 24.9
30-Day Momentum
11
+0.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.1
Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,647
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,797.17
Current Value
$11,672.72
Period P&L
$875.52
Max Drawdown
-8.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
16 /
23
Best Trade
+4.75%
Worst Trade
-1.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
18.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$849,254.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$875.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$875.52
Gross Return
+8.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.11%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,797.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:05pm ET | $859.42 | 12 | $10,313.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $858.23 | 12 | $10,298.76 | $10,782.92 |
$-14.28 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $876.70 | 12 | $10,520.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $890.16 | 12 | $10,681.92 | $10,944.44 |
+$161.52 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $899.00 | 12 | $10,788.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $924.00 | 12 | $11,088.00 | $11,244.44 |
+$300.00 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $929.88 | 12 | $11,158.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $938.33 | 12 | $11,259.99 | $11,345.87 |
+$101.43 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $946.44 | 11 | $10,410.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $944.00 | 11 | $10,384.00 | $11,319.08 |
$-26.78 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:10pm ET | $955.14 | 11 | $10,506.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $952.48 | 11 | $10,477.28 | $11,289.82 |
$-29.26 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:20am ET | $960.09 | 11 | $10,560.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $964.51 | 11 | $10,609.61 | $11,338.45 |
+$48.62 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:10pm ET | $974.60 | 11 | $10,720.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $973.32 | 11 | $10,706.52 | $11,324.37 |
$-14.08 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $985.05 | 11 | $10,835.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:10am ET | $982.00 | 11 | $10,802.00 | $11,290.88 |
$-33.49 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 1:05pm ET | $966.42 | 11 | $10,630.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $964.81 | 11 | $10,612.86 | $11,273.11 |
$-17.77 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $960.02 | 11 | $10,560.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:25am ET | $955.00 | 11 | $10,505.00 | $11,217.91 |
$-55.20 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:25pm ET | $938.31 | 11 | $10,321.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $982.92 | 11 | $10,812.07 | $11,708.57 |
+$490.66 (+4.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $990.52 | 11 | $10,895.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:30pm ET | $987.03 | 11 | $10,857.33 | $11,670.23 |
$-38.34 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
42m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $991.90 | 11 | $10,910.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $989.33 | 11 | $10,882.63 | $11,642.01 |
$-28.22 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $998.86 | 11 | $10,987.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $997.12 | 11 | $10,968.32 | $11,622.87 |
$-19.14 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $975.60 | 11 | $10,731.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 1:50pm ET | $982.34 | 11 | $10,805.69 | $11,696.90 |
+$74.03 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,022.88 | 11 | $11,251.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,016.84 | 11 | $11,185.19 | $11,630.41 |
$-66.49 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:45pm ET | $988.26 | 11 | $10,870.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $981.66 | 11 | $10,798.26 | $11,557.81 |
$-72.60 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:55pm ET | $995.45 | 11 | $10,949.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:10pm ET | $994.33 | 11 | $10,937.63 | $11,545.49 |
$-12.32 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $995.38 | 11 | $10,949.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $993.64 | 11 | $10,930.04 | $11,526.35 |
$-19.14 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $1,001.67 | 11 | $11,018.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,006.81 | 11 | $11,074.91 | $11,582.89 |
+$56.54 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1,005.78 | 11 | $11,063.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $1,009.58 | 11 | $11,105.33 | $11,624.63 |
+$41.74 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $982.30 | 11 | $10,805.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $981.02 | 11 | $10,791.22 | $11,610.55 |
$-14.08 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $999.68 | 11 | $10,996.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $997.55 | 11 | $10,973.05 | $11,587.06 |
$-23.49 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $1,004.88 | 11 | $11,053.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $1,000.95 | 11 | $11,010.45 | $11,543.83 |
$-43.23 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,001.72 | 11 | $11,018.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $1,005.22 | 11 | $11,057.42 | $11,582.33 |
+$38.50 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:15pm ET | $976.27 | 11 | $10,738.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 2:25pm ET | $975.01 | 11 | $10,725.11 | $11,568.47 |
$-13.86 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $985.66 | 11 | $10,842.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $970.39 | 11 | $10,674.29 | $11,400.45 |
$-168.02 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $977.56 | 11 | $10,753.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $980.17 | 11 | $10,781.87 | $11,429.16 |
+$28.71 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $983.92 | 11 | $10,823.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET | $992.51 | 11 | $10,917.61 | $11,523.65 |
+$94.49 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $995.63 | 11 | $10,951.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1,007.21 | 11 | $11,079.31 | $11,651.03 |
+$127.38 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:25pm ET | $1,009.59 | 11 | $11,105.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,028.99 | 11 | $11,318.89 | $11,864.43 |
+$213.40 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 1:30pm ET | $985.46 | 12 | $11,825.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $970.03 | 12 | $11,640.36 | $11,679.33 |
$-185.10 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:50pm ET | $988.58 | 11 | $10,874.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $986.11 | 11 | $10,847.21 | $11,652.21 |
$-27.12 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1,005.47 | 11 | $11,060.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,008.62 | 11 | $11,094.82 | $11,686.91 |
+$34.70 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $1,009.77 | 11 | $11,107.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1,008.82 | 11 | $11,097.02 | $11,676.46 |
$-10.45 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET | $998.06 | 11 | $10,978.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:40pm ET | $993.81 | 11 | $10,931.91 | $11,629.71 |
$-46.75 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,013.11 | 11 | $11,144.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:50am ET | $1,014.90 | 11 | $11,163.90 | $11,649.40 |
+$19.69 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1,014.00 | 11 | $11,154.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $1,016.12 | 11 | $11,177.32 | $11,672.72 |
+$23.32 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,672.72
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,672.72
Total Return:
+16.73%