CVX Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 41 trades in period
+21.36%
Year to Date Return
$13,204.67
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,880.92
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.5/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
32.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 32.3
30-Day Momentum
42
+4.3%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.7
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,362
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,880.92
Current Value
$13,204.67
Period P&L
$2,323.78
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
19 /
22
Best Trade
+7.33%
Worst Trade
-1.84%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
17.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,014,403.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,323.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,323.78
Gross Return
+21.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.36%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,880.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $153.04 | 71 | $10,865.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $164.26 | 71 | $11,662.11 | $11,677.52 |
+$796.62 (+7.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $157.25 | 74 | $11,636.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $156.81 | 74 | $11,603.94 | $11,644.96 |
$-32.56 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $155.99 | 74 | $11,543.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.36 | 74 | $11,940.27 | $12,041.97 |
+$397.01 (+3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.70 | 73 | $11,950.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $164.51 | 73 | $12,009.23 | $12,101.10 |
+$59.13 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $166.99 | 72 | $12,022.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $166.64 | 72 | $11,998.08 | $12,076.26 |
$-24.84 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $166.85 | 72 | $12,013.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $166.56 | 72 | $11,992.32 | $12,055.38 |
$-20.88 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $166.37 | 72 | $11,978.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $165.98 | 72 | $11,950.57 | $12,027.31 |
$-28.07 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 3:15pm ET | $167.04 | 72 | $12,026.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:20pm ET | $166.83 | 72 | $12,011.40 | $12,012.19 |
$-15.12 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $167.88 | 71 | $11,919.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $167.11 | 71 | $11,864.58 | $11,957.28 |
$-54.90 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 2:05pm ET | $167.34 | 71 | $11,881.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:55pm ET | $167.09 | 71 | $11,863.04 | $11,939.18 |
$-18.10 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:00pm ET | $169.63 | 70 | $11,874.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $172.26 | 70 | $12,058.20 | $12,123.28 |
+$184.10 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $174.48 | 69 | $12,039.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $173.55 | 69 | $11,974.95 | $12,059.11 |
$-64.17 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $175.27 | 68 | $11,918.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET | $176.27 | 68 | $11,986.36 | $12,127.11 |
+$68.00 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:20pm ET | $181.59 | 66 | $11,984.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET | $180.71 | 66 | $11,926.86 | $12,069.03 |
$-58.08 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.37 | 66 | $11,904.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $180.67 | 66 | $11,924.22 | $12,088.83 |
+$19.80 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $182.23 | 66 | $12,026.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:40pm ET | $182.15 | 66 | $12,021.57 | $12,083.55 |
$-5.28 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.85 | 65 | $12,015.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $185.20 | 65 | $12,037.68 | $12,105.98 |
+$22.43 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:50pm ET | $180.26 | 67 | $12,077.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:15pm ET | $182.94 | 67 | $12,256.98 | $12,285.87 |
+$179.89 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 2:15pm ET | $185.80 | 66 | $12,262.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:30pm ET | $185.64 | 66 | $12,252.24 | $12,275.49 |
$-10.38 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $184.79 | 66 | $12,196.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 2:05pm ET | $184.50 | 66 | $12,177.00 | $12,256.35 |
$-19.14 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 12:50pm ET | $183.71 | 66 | $12,124.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.76 | 66 | $12,062.16 | $12,193.65 |
$-62.70 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $184.71 | 66 | $12,190.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $188.23 | 66 | $12,423.18 | $12,426.30 |
+$232.65 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:00pm ET | $186.17 | 66 | $12,287.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $188.12 | 66 | $12,415.92 | $12,555.00 |
+$128.70 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 12:40pm ET | $190.54 | 65 | $12,385.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $189.93 | 65 | $12,345.13 | $12,515.03 |
$-39.97 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 12:50pm ET | $195.77 | 63 | $12,333.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $196.05 | 63 | $12,351.46 | $12,532.98 |
+$17.95 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $197.20 | 63 | $12,423.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $199.49 | 63 | $12,567.87 | $12,677.25 |
+$144.27 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $199.98 | 63 | $12,598.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $204.01 | 63 | $12,852.63 | $12,931.14 |
+$253.89 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $205.96 | 62 | $12,769.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $205.45 | 62 | $12,737.90 | $12,899.52 |
$-31.62 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.26 | 60 | $12,795.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $213.19 | 60 | $12,791.40 | $12,895.32 |
$-4.20 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:25pm ET | $205.95 | 62 | $12,768.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.17 | 62 | $12,534.54 | $12,660.96 |
$-234.36 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $197.80 | 64 | $12,659.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:50am ET | $202.16 | 64 | $12,938.24 | $12,940.00 |
+$279.04 (+2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET | $190.47 | 67 | $12,761.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $194.02 | 67 | $12,999.01 | $13,177.52 |
+$237.52 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $188.17 | 70 | $13,171.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $187.46 | 70 | $13,122.55 | $13,128.17 |
$-49.35 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $190.95 | 68 | $12,984.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.85 | 68 | $12,841.80 | $12,985.71 |
$-142.46 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $186.79 | 69 | $12,888.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $187.70 | 69 | $12,951.30 | $13,048.49 |
+$62.78 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $183.71 | 71 | $13,043.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $187.06 | 71 | $13,281.26 | $13,286.34 |
+$237.85 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $186.40 | 71 | $13,234.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.69 | 71 | $13,183.99 | $13,236.28 |
$-50.06 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $184.96 | 71 | $13,132.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $184.83 | 71 | $13,122.93 | $13,227.05 |
$-9.23 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.10 | 69 | $13,116.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET | $191.52 | 69 | $13,214.88 | $13,325.03 |
+$97.98 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $193.35 | 68 | $13,147.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.06 | 68 | $12,992.08 | $13,169.31 |
$-155.72 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:40pm ET | $192.45 | 68 | $13,086.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $192.97 | 68 | $13,121.96 | $13,204.67 |
+$35.36 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,204.67
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,204.67
Total Return:
+32.05%