DIS Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 44 trades in period
-3.93%
Year to Date Return
$9,636.06
Current Value
23%
Win Rate
$10,030.74
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
4.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.1
30-Day Momentum
50
+6.6%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.4
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+46 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,717
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,030.74
Current Value
$9,636.06
Period P&L
$-394.70
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
10 /
34
Best Trade
+2.75%
Worst Trade
-6.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
10.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$828,567.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-394.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-394.70
Gross Return
-3.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.93%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,030.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $112.18 | 89 | $9,984.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $112.08 | 89 | $9,975.12 | $10,021.85 |
$-8.90 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $114.28 | 87 | $9,942.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $114.27 | 87 | $9,941.50 | $10,020.99 |
$-0.86 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $113.46 | 88 | $9,984.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $114.41 | 88 | $10,068.08 | $10,105.03 |
+$84.04 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $114.13 | 88 | $10,043.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:45am ET | $113.70 | 88 | $10,005.60 | $10,067.19 |
$-37.84 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:45pm ET | $112.16 | 89 | $9,982.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:30pm ET | $111.93 | 89 | $9,961.33 | $10,046.27 |
$-20.92 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $112.66 | 89 | $10,026.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $112.55 | 89 | $10,016.95 | $10,036.48 |
$-9.79 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $113.66 | 88 | $10,002.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $113.46 | 88 | $9,984.48 | $10,018.88 |
$-17.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $110.75 | 90 | $9,967.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 12:45pm ET | $110.47 | 90 | $9,941.85 | $9,993.68 |
$-25.20 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $111.42 | 89 | $9,916.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:00pm ET | $111.19 | 89 | $9,895.91 | $9,973.21 |
$-20.47 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $113.24 | 88 | $9,964.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.45 | 88 | $9,895.60 | $9,904.13 |
$-69.08 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.89 | 88 | $9,846.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $111.32 | 88 | $9,796.38 | $9,854.19 |
$-49.94 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $110.86 | 88 | $9,755.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $110.62 | 88 | $9,734.38 | $9,832.89 |
$-21.30 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:50pm ET | $110.11 | 89 | $9,799.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $109.78 | 89 | $9,770.42 | $9,803.97 |
$-28.93 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:30pm ET | $112.00 | 87 | $9,743.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.05 | 87 | $9,139.35 | $9,199.75 |
$-604.21 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:00pm ET | $103.69 | 88 | $9,124.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:00pm ET | $103.61 | 88 | $9,117.24 | $9,192.33 |
$-7.43 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $108.16 | 84 | $9,085.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:25pm ET | $107.54 | 84 | $9,033.36 | $9,140.25 |
$-52.08 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $105.45 | 86 | $9,068.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $105.10 | 86 | $9,038.17 | $9,109.72 |
$-30.53 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $107.71 | 84 | $9,047.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:40pm ET | $107.65 | 84 | $9,043.02 | $9,105.10 |
$-4.62 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:35pm ET | $110.33 | 82 | $9,047.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $110.11 | 82 | $9,029.02 | $9,087.06 |
$-18.04 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $105.42 | 86 | $9,066.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $107.27 | 86 | $9,225.22 | $9,246.16 |
+$159.10 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:50pm ET | $106.04 | 87 | $9,225.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $104.84 | 87 | $9,121.08 | $9,141.76 |
$-104.40 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 2:20pm ET | $103.47 | 88 | $9,105.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $106.24 | 88 | $9,348.68 | $9,384.64 |
+$242.88 (+2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 2:05pm ET | $104.95 | 89 | $9,340.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $105.88 | 89 | $9,423.32 | $9,467.64 |
+$83.00 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $103.82 | 91 | $9,448.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.84 | 91 | $9,358.44 | $9,378.00 |
$-89.64 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $103.49 | 90 | $9,314.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $103.39 | 90 | $9,305.55 | $9,369.45 |
$-8.55 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $102.40 | 91 | $9,318.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $100.93 | 91 | $9,184.63 | $9,235.68 |
$-133.77 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $99.88 | 92 | $9,188.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $99.87 | 92 | $9,188.05 | $9,235.23 |
$-0.45 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:45am ET | $101.60 | 90 | $9,144.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:15am ET | $101.07 | 90 | $9,096.30 | $9,187.53 |
$-47.70 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $100.24 | 91 | $9,121.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $100.19 | 91 | $9,117.74 | $9,183.44 |
$-4.09 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $99.11 | 92 | $9,118.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $98.78 | 92 | $9,087.76 | $9,153.08 |
$-30.36 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:05pm ET | $99.92 | 91 | $9,092.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:25am ET | $99.37 | 91 | $9,042.67 | $9,103.03 |
$-50.05 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:45pm ET | $97.07 | 93 | $9,027.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $96.09 | 93 | $8,936.37 | $9,011.42 |
$-91.61 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $94.06 | 95 | $8,935.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:00pm ET | $94.57 | 95 | $8,984.15 | $9,059.87 |
+$48.45 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $97.23 | 93 | $9,042.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $97.09 | 93 | $9,029.37 | $9,046.85 |
$-13.02 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:00pm ET | $96.71 | 93 | $8,994.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:20pm ET | $96.64 | 93 | $8,987.06 | $9,039.88 |
$-6.97 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $96.69 | 93 | $8,992.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.01 | 93 | $9,114.93 | $9,162.64 |
+$122.76 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $99.21 | 92 | $9,126.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $98.97 | 92 | $9,105.24 | $9,141.02 |
$-21.62 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $101.13 | 90 | $9,101.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $102.46 | 90 | $9,221.40 | $9,261.17 |
+$120.15 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $103.40 | 89 | $9,202.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $105.83 | 89 | $9,418.87 | $9,477.44 |
+$216.27 (+2.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $104.76 | 90 | $9,428.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $104.96 | 90 | $9,446.40 | $9,494.99 |
+$17.55 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $103.43 | 91 | $9,412.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:40pm ET | $103.24 | 91 | $9,394.84 | $9,477.70 |
$-17.29 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.66 | 92 | $9,444.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 1:40pm ET | $101.70 | 92 | $9,356.40 | $9,389.38 |
$-88.32 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $100.87 | 93 | $9,380.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $103.64 | 93 | $9,638.52 | $9,647.45 |
+$258.07 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $100.81 | 95 | $9,576.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $100.69 | 95 | $9,565.56 | $9,636.06 |
$-11.39 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,636.06
Net Profit/Loss:
$-363.94
Total Return:
-3.64%