DKNG Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 43 trades in period
+10.08%
Year to Date Return
$12,363.05
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$11,230.85
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.3/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
21.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 21.1
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.3%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,863
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,230.85
Current Value
$12,363.05
Period P&L
$1,132.14
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
12 /
31
Best Trade
+8.01%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
11.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,020,320.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,132.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,132.14
Gross Return
+10.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.08%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,230.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $34.87 | 322 | $11,228.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $35.61 | 322 | $11,466.42 | $11,469.18 |
+$238.28 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $36.75 | 312 | $11,464.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $36.49 | 312 | $11,383.32 | $11,388.03 |
$-81.15 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $34.53 | 329 | $11,358.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $34.35 | 329 | $11,302.63 | $11,331.94 |
$-56.09 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.67 | 309 | $11,331.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $35.98 | 309 | $11,117.82 | $11,118.73 |
$-213.21 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $35.20 | 315 | $11,088.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:25pm ET | $35.35 | 315 | $11,133.68 | $11,164.40 |
+$45.67 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:10pm ET | $34.24 | 326 | $11,160.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $34.10 | 326 | $11,114.97 | $11,118.76 |
$-45.64 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:25pm ET | $34.40 | 323 | $11,111.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $35.61 | 323 | $11,503.48 | $11,511.05 |
+$392.28 (+3.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $32.84 | 350 | $11,492.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $32.66 | 350 | $11,431.00 | $11,449.80 |
$-61.25 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $31.74 | 360 | $11,426.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:15pm ET | $31.54 | 360 | $11,352.60 | $11,376.00 |
$-73.80 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $31.29 | 363 | $11,358.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $31.03 | 363 | $11,263.89 | $11,281.62 |
$-94.38 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $30.66 | 368 | $11,281.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:30pm ET | $30.56 | 368 | $11,244.24 | $11,244.82 |
$-36.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
54m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $30.51 | 368 | $11,227.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $30.27 | 368 | $11,139.36 | $11,156.50 |
$-88.32 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 11:40am ET | $30.16 | 369 | $11,127.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:20pm ET | $30.09 | 369 | $11,101.48 | $11,130.78 |
$-25.72 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.85 | 399 | $11,112.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:25pm ET | $27.84 | 399 | $11,110.15 | $11,128.78 |
$-2.00 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:00pm ET | $26.13 | 425 | $11,103.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:05pm ET | $27.42 | 425 | $11,651.38 | $11,677.03 |
+$548.25 (+4.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $25.34 | 460 | $11,656.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $27.37 | 460 | $12,590.20 | $12,610.83 |
+$933.80 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:50pm ET | $27.32 | 461 | $12,592.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:55pm ET | $27.30 | 461 | $12,583.00 | $12,601.61 |
$-9.22 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $27.21 | 463 | $12,598.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.84 | 463 | $12,429.23 | $12,432.62 |
$-168.99 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $21.89 | 568 | $12,430.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $22.22 | 568 | $12,618.12 | $12,620.06 |
+$187.44 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $22.39 | 563 | $12,605.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:00pm ET | $22.07 | 563 | $12,422.60 | $12,437.09 |
$-182.97 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $21.85 | 569 | $12,432.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $21.66 | 569 | $12,321.70 | $12,326.14 |
$-110.95 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 1:00pm ET | $22.68 | 543 | $12,317.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $22.63 | 543 | $12,285.38 | $12,293.56 |
$-32.58 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $23.05 | 533 | $12,282.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.67 | 533 | $12,083.48 | $12,094.06 |
$-199.50 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $25.50 | 474 | $12,087.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $25.30 | 474 | $11,989.83 | $11,996.84 |
$-97.22 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $24.76 | 484 | $11,983.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.77 | 484 | $11,988.68 | $12,001.68 |
+$4.84 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $25.08 | 478 | $11,988.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 2:10pm ET | $25.00 | 478 | $11,950.00 | $11,962.96 |
$-38.72 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $26.21 | 456 | $11,951.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $26.18 | 456 | $11,938.08 | $11,949.28 |
$-13.68 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $25.13 | 475 | $11,938.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $25.13 | 475 | $11,936.75 | $11,947.38 |
$-1.90 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $25.25 | 473 | $11,945.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $25.72 | 473 | $12,163.20 | $12,164.96 |
+$217.58 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:35pm ET | $24.83 | 490 | $12,164.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:50pm ET | $23.83 | 490 | $11,676.70 | $11,677.41 |
$-487.55 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 2:40pm ET | $24.29 | 480 | $11,659.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $24.19 | 480 | $11,609.09 | $11,627.30 |
$-50.11 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $21.52 | 540 | $11,623.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 11:10am ET | $21.48 | 540 | $11,599.20 | $11,603.00 |
$-24.30 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $20.84 | 556 | $11,587.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET | $22.51 | 556 | $12,515.56 | $12,531.52 |
+$928.52 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $23.00 | 544 | $12,512.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $22.81 | 544 | $12,405.92 | $12,425.44 |
$-106.08 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:35pm ET | $23.02 | 539 | $12,407.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $22.95 | 539 | $12,372.74 | $12,390.40 |
$-35.04 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $22.45 | 551 | $12,370.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $22.23 | 551 | $12,245.98 | $12,266.37 |
$-124.03 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.85 | 536 | $12,247.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:05pm ET | $23.14 | 536 | $12,400.36 | $12,419.13 |
+$152.76 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.84 | 520 | $12,399.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $23.51 | 520 | $12,225.20 | $12,244.93 |
$-174.20 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.24 | 526 | $12,224.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $23.19 | 526 | $12,197.94 | $12,218.63 |
$-26.30 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET | $22.11 | 552 | $12,207.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $22.01 | 552 | $12,149.52 | $12,160.67 |
$-57.96 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $23.45 | 518 | $12,147.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.55 | 518 | $12,196.31 | $12,209.88 |
+$49.21 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $23.11 | 528 | $12,204.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $23.05 | 528 | $12,170.45 | $12,175.61 |
$-34.27 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET | $23.02 | 528 | $12,157.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $23.38 | 528 | $12,344.64 | $12,363.05 |
+$187.44 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,363.05
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,363.05
Total Return:
+23.63%